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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 78-69
37-28 41-41
Position#115
Record10-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game70.8
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#304
Record9-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#122
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Carroll College
#430
W
87-51
87
51
+36
H31/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
112-56
112
56
+56
H02/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A06/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
38-32
42-20
45-31
54-28
58-28
25-35
36-37
40-38
43-35
47-40
39-47
36-34
32-30
39-32
36-46
24-39
34-51
32-39
45-26
147.3Avg total
78.1Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.770.8146.5+4.853%
Season at home (13)77.571.5149.1+6.054%
Season away (6)71.769.3141.0+2.350%
Last 10 (10)78.169.2147.3+8.960%
Last 5 (5)72.876.8149.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.275.8149.0-2.640%
vs Similar (14)71.973.0144.9-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.968.6145.5+8.364%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-41
37-24
34-39
23-38
26-22
45-45
26-39
21-35
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
141.0Avg total
67.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.973.0142.9-3.045%
Season at home (12)74.070.8144.8+3.258%
Season away (8)63.876.1139.9-12.425%
Last 10 (10)67.074.0141.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)73.275.0148.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.973.8137.8-9.917%
vs Similar (10)78.269.0147.2+9.280%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#122
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Carroll College
#430
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H31/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H02/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.166.4+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.033.168.1+1.956%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.063.8-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.532.970.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.872.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.034.663.6-5.640%-
vs Similar (14)34.033.967.9+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)34.531.465.8+3.155%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
31.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.865.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.432.766.1+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)29.935.365.2-5.415%-
Last 10 (10)31.937.068.9-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.673.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.336.066.3-5.728%-
vs Similar (10)33.732.065.7+1.740%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UNLV wins
4
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ASan Jose State77-65
24/01/24HAir Force58-90
20/01/24AColorado State75-78
17/01/24ABoise State68-64
13/01/24HUtah State86-87
10/01/24HNew Mexico83-73
06/01/24ASan Diego State61-72
02/01/24HBethesda112-56
31/12/23HCarroll College87-51
22/12/23HHofstra74-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74
30/12/23ASan Diego Toreros71-67
23/12/23ASan Francisco57-77
19/12/23HPortland State72-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %53%54%50%
Points / game75.777.571.7
Allowed / game70.871.569.3
Point differential+4.8+6.0+2.3
Avg total146.5149.1141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%17%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%58%25%
Points / game69.974.063.8
Allowed / game73.070.876.1
Point differential-3.0+3.2-12.4
Avg total142.8144.8139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2119290%82.568.4+14.1
2 Grand Canyon2119290%79.566.7+12.8
3 New Mexico2118386%84.468.8+15.7
4 Colorado State2116576%80.169.9+10.2
5 Nevada2116576%75.966.6+9.3
6 San Diego State2116576%76.067.3+8.7
7 Boise State2014670%74.066.4+7.6
8 Wyoming2112957%74.374.8-0.5
9 UNLV1910953%75.770.8+4.8
10 Fresno State2091145%69.973.0-3.0
11 Air Force2081240%68.969.7-0.8
12 San Jose State2181338%74.174.5-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV374178
Fresno State284169
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