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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 64-67
30-32 34-35
Position#219
Record10-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#189
Record9-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A14/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
20-22
34-37
40-46
30-46
30-43
30-26
32-46
31-28
37-30
28-34
41-30
30-42
36-36
28-27
31-34
35-32
41-28
28-27
39-37
134.5Avg total
66.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.467.2137.6+3.248%
Season at home (11)72.462.4134.7+10.064%
Season away (10)68.372.5140.8-4.230%
Last 10 (10)66.068.5134.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)67.465.4132.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.673.0140.6-5.420%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.374.1143.4-4.840%
vs Weaker (9)73.956.3130.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
26-37
26-33
39-46
30-28
21-45
19-19
34-34
28-28
37-27
29-33
24-36
33-22
36-41
39-31
28-33
20-32
33-35
26-36
31-39
128.1Avg total
60.1Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.267.6133.8-1.350%
Season at home (11)70.164.4134.5+5.764%
Season away (7)60.172.6132.7-12.429%
Last 10 (10)60.168.0128.1-7.940%
Last 5 (5)59.867.6127.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)59.576.5136.0-16.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.970.1145.0+4.757%
vs Weaker (10)73.661.8135.4+11.8100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -6.4-6.4
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H26/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A14/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A20/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A21/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
31.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.631.365.9+3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)33.633.567.1+0.164%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.364.6-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.462.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.534.467.9-0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.934.167.0-1.230%-
vs Weaker (9)34.428.963.3+5.678%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H21/02
NCAA
57.9Avg total
28.1Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.731.362.1-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.730.060.7+0.733%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.364.2-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)28.129.857.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.436.063.4-8.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.931.363.1+0.657%-
vs Weaker (10)34.325.359.6+9.060%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UNLV wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21ASan Jose State67-64
20/02/21ASan Jose State76-60
14/02/21ABoise State59-61
12/02/21ABoise State66-78
09/02/21HAir Force69-64
06/02/21HAir Force68-58
03/02/21ANevada62-72
01/02/21ANevada60-89
28/01/21HUtah State74-83
26/01/21HUtah State59-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21HSan Diego State57-75
19/02/21HSan Diego State53-67
13/02/21AAir Force67-64
12/02/21AAir Force69-63
05/02/21HUtah State53-69
31/01/21HNew Mexico65-55
29/01/21HNew Mexico64-62 OT
21/01/21ABoise State51-73
17/01/21ANevada65-79
16/01/21ANevada57-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game70.472.468.3
Allowed / game67.262.472.5
Point differential+3.2+10.0-4.2
Avg total137.6134.7140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%64%29%
Points / game66.270.160.1
Allowed / game67.664.472.6
Point differential-1.3+5.7-12.4
Avg total133.8134.5132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2117481%75.059.8+15.2
2 Boise State2117481%77.465.7+11.7
3 Colorado State1814478%75.266.4+8.8
4 Grand Canyon1713476%77.461.5+15.9
5 Nevada2013765%72.467.2+5.2
6 Utah State1912763%74.563.7+10.8
7 Wyoming2112957%76.176.1+0.0
8 Fresno State189950%66.267.6-1.3
9 UNLV21101148%70.467.2+3.2
10 San Jose State2051525%65.080.0-14.9
11 Air Force2251723%60.171.5-11.3
12 New Mexico1841422%61.771.1-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV303464
Fresno State323567
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