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UNLV vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-71
28-35 34-36
Position#219
Record11-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#15
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UNLV v San Diego State
24 Jan 2026
UNLV71
SAN 82
04 Mar 2025
UNLV74
SAN 67
14 Mar 2024
UNLV71
SAN 74
05 Mar 2024
UNLV62
SAN 58
31 Dec 2022
UNLV67
SAN 76
01 Jan 2022
UNLV55
SAN 62
03 Mar 2021
UNLV62
SAN 71
02 Jan 2021
UNLV v SAN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
UNLV67
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A14/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
30-43
30-26
32-46
31-28
37-30
28-34
41-30
30-42
36-36
28-27
31-34
35-32
41-28
28-27
39-37
30-32
34-35
32-40
36-27
133.9Avg total
65.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.067.2137.2+2.948%
Season at home (13)71.463.1134.5+8.362%
Season away (10)68.372.5140.8-4.230%
Last 10 (10)65.968.0133.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)66.863.8130.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.173.4142.6-4.322%
vs Similar (11)68.873.5142.3-4.636%
vs Weaker (9)73.956.3130.2+17.6100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#337
W
98-61
98
61
+37
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
78-66 OT
78
66
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
52-16
46-45
44-31
47-28
63-30
24-27
51-28
47-43
47-29
38-25
33-27
44-28
32-20
35-33
36-26
39-31
29-17
34-46
24-20
38-38
140.9Avg total
81.8Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.660.0134.6+14.683%
Season at home (16)75.060.1135.1+14.988%
Season away (7)73.659.9133.4+13.771%
Last 10 (10)81.859.1140.9+22.7100%
Last 5 (5)71.857.8129.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)64.464.6129.0-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)76.459.7136.1+16.891%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-21-10+0+10+211st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +16.7+16.72nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
-21-10+0+10+211st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +16.7+16.72nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
UNLVSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A14/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A20/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
30.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.167.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.932.467.2+2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)34.034.068.0+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.463.6-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.631.662.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.035.269.2-1.244%-
vs Similar (11)33.535.569.0-1.927%-
vs Weaker (9)34.428.963.3+5.678%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#337
W
52-16
52
16
+36
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A21/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H27/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
41.1Scored
24.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.328.364.6+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.328.564.8+7.871%-
Last 30 away (9)36.328.064.3+8.378%-
Last 10 (10)41.124.465.5+16.7100%-
Last 5 (5)30.822.052.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)30.726.357.0+4.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.029.067.0+9.074%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UNLV wins
1
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
23/02/20San Diego State v UNLV63-66
26/01/20UNLV v San Diego State67-71
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HFresno State68-67
25/02/21HFresno State64-67
21/02/21ASan Jose State67-64
20/02/21ASan Jose State76-60
14/02/21ABoise State59-61
12/02/21ABoise State66-78
09/02/21HAir Force69-64
06/02/21HAir Force68-58
03/02/21ANevada62-72
01/02/21ANevada60-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HBoise State62-58
26/02/21HBoise State78-66 OT
21/02/21AFresno State75-57
19/02/21AFresno State67-53
11/02/21HSan Jose State77-55
09/02/21HSan Jose State85-54
31/01/21HWyoming98-71
29/01/21HWyoming87-57
25/01/21AAir Force91-59
23/01/21AAir Force98-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%62%30%
Points / game70.071.468.3
Allowed / game67.263.172.5
Point differential+2.9+8.3-4.2
Avg total137.2134.5140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %83%88%71%
Points / game74.675.073.6
Allowed / game60.060.159.9
Point differential+14.6+14.9+13.7
Avg total134.6135.1133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2319483%74.660.0+14.6
2 Colorado State2117481%75.664.9+10.7
3 Grand Canyon1914574%76.562.1+14.5
4 Boise State2417771%75.566.1+9.4
5 Utah State2114767%75.164.2+10.9
6 Nevada2213959%72.168.5+3.6
7 Wyoming2112957%76.176.1+0.0
8 Fresno State21111052%66.367.2-0.9
9 UNLV23111248%70.067.2+2.9
10 San Jose State2051525%65.080.0-14.9
11 New Mexico1941521%62.371.9-9.7
12 Air Force2451921%59.071.6-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV283462
San Diego State353671
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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