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Urania Milano vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-79
31-22 11-21 21-23 18-13
Position#14
Record6-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#16
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.7
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Allianz Cloud
Other2023-24
Meetings · Urania Milano v Treviglio
01 Dec 2023
URAN81
TREV79
04 Feb 2023
URAN72
TREV84
30 Oct 2021
URAN69
TREV90
27 Mar 2021
URAN81
TREV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 78
H07/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 78
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
100-81
100
81
+19
91avg 78
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
96-82
96
82
+14
97avg 78
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
84-97
84
97
-13
79avg 78
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
71avg 78
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 78
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
102-89
102
89
+13
102avg 78
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 78
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 78
A25/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
20-22
24-17
13-15
26-28
21-23
20-21
14-19
24-15
26-19
23-27
27-20
29-22
20-15
20-20
27-25
29-19
22-32
15-29
18-17
20-21
19-23
10-19
33-15
27-20
18-25
21-18
16-32
20-27
24-27
25-17
33-18
12-11
16-12
22-19
20-23
12-21
25-22
25-25
21-29
169.9Avg total
84.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.585.3170.8+0.355%
Season at home (6)83.783.2166.8+0.550%
Season away (5)87.887.8175.6+0.060%
Last 10 (10)84.985.0169.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.4166.8-6.030%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.984.6168.5-0.862%
vs Weaker (4)87.076.2163.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 84
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 84
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 84
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 84
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 84
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 84
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 84
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 84
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
81avg 84
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 84
H26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
25-28
19-25
24-20
24-17
23-24
23-23
17-9
24-13
168.7Avg total
85.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.083.7169.7+2.373%
Season at home (6)88.386.7175.0+1.767%
Season away (5)83.280.2163.4+3.080%
Last 10 (10)85.882.9168.7+2.980%
Last 5 (5)90.484.0174.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.791.0176.7-5.367%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.978.5162.4+5.569%
vs Weaker (14)79.974.4154.2+5.557%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
Urania MilanoTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/11
Serie A2
84.7Avg total
42.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.683.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.2+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.583.1+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.584.7-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.880.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.044.585.5-3.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.840.282.1+1.650%-
vs Weaker (4)42.539.582.0+3.075%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H26/11
Serie A2
87.1Avg total
43.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.180.1+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.687.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.091.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.540.282.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker (14)41.138.879.9+2.350%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.8
49.5%
50.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.1
37.6%
34.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.116.2
84.8%
74.2%16.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.2
50.9%
50.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
74.2%14.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
LWWLWLWWLL
Treviglio
WWWLWWWLWW
#14
League position
#16
+0.1
Net rating
+4.0
110.4
Offensive rating
109.0
110.2
Defensive rating
105.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.6%
3-point %
39.3%
65.6%
Assist %
71.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 109.0Defence110.2 · 105.0Shooting53.0% · 54.3%3-point %37.6% · 39.3%Ball care15.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.6% · 22.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Urania Milano wins
3
Treviglio wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AMonferrato83-97
17/11/23HBasket Torino70-65
11/11/23HLuiss Roma102-89
06/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-95
01/11/23ASebastiani Rieti82-78
28/10/23HCantu84-97
21/10/23HLatina96-82
15/10/23AVigevano100-81
11/10/23HTrapani81-91
07/10/23HAgrigento69-75
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HLuiss Roma87-69
19/11/23ALatina92-90
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game85.583.787.8
Allowed / game85.383.287.8
Point differential+0.3+0.5+0.0
Avg total170.8166.8175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game86.088.383.2
Allowed / game83.786.780.2
Point differential+2.3+1.7+3.0
Avg total169.7175.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1110191%93.580.3+13.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna119282%78.972.7+6.2
3 Udine118373%82.273.3+8.9
4 Cantu118373%89.782.2+7.5
5 Forli118373%78.974.3+4.6
6 Trieste118373%78.674.7+3.9
7 Treviglio118373%86.083.7+2.3
8 Basket Torino117464%85.280.7+4.5
9 Verona117464%76.172.1+4.0
10 Nardo117464%79.583.5-4.0
11 JuVi Cremona116555%88.684.1+4.5
12 Sebastiani Rieti116555%82.479.7+2.6
13 Urania Milano116555%85.585.3+0.3
14 Assigeco Piacenza115645%80.779.7+1.0
15 Cento115645%75.878.0-2.2
16 Vigevano114736%81.084.5-3.5
17 Agrigento114736%75.880.1-4.3
18 Cividale113827%74.577.1-2.6
19 Monferrato113827%81.686.1-4.5
20 Rimini112918%73.878.4-4.5
21 Orzinuovi112918%70.076.2-6.2
22 Latina112918%78.987.9-9.0
23 Chiusi112918%64.873.9-9.1
24 Luiss Roma112918%75.388.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urania Milano3111211881
Treviglio2221231379
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