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Urunday vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 111-79
31-16 22-15 33-29 25-19
Position#9
Record9-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.2
Urunday 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record4-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game95.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urunday Universitario
Other2025-26
Meetings · Urunday v Welcome
13 Mar 2026
URUN111
WELC79
09 Oct 2025
URUN113
WELC73
16 Jan 2025
URUN86
WELC97
08 Feb 2019
URUN89
WELC91
17 Mar 2018
URUN80
WELC86
28 Dec 2017
URUN91
WELC70
10 Oct 2016
URUN71
WELC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urunday winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
106avg 82
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 82
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 82
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
94avg 82
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
64-86
64
86
-22
61avg 82
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 82
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 82
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
83-100
83
100
-17
74avg 82
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 82
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
20-13
17-22
29-21
25-23
18-19
17-22
18-16
14-26
18-17
25-17
17-27
22-26
17-29
21-15
25-20
24-25
26-16
26-25
21-28
16-22
20-24
12-24
16-16
18-17
22-19
15-20
21-23
31-21
20-23
26-15
29-19
28-23
21-23
19-28
15-26
19-29
15-14
15-16
30-25
170.6Avg total
84.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.586.2174.7+2.339%
Season at home (12)89.884.3174.2+5.542%
Season away (11)87.088.3175.3-1.336%
Last 10 (10)84.286.4170.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)81.685.4167.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.690.3171.9-8.757%
vs Similar (15)82.887.1169.9-4.320%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.968.5162.4+25.488%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 74
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
62avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 74
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
53avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 74
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
76avg 74
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 74
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
89avg 74
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
20-20
20-38
20-16
13-12
15-27
18-25
24-24
17-31
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
19-15
19-12
18-22
15-22
8-24
22-21
20-25
24-16
16-31
24-30
29-21
22-22
170.8Avg total
80.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.995.2176.0-14.317%
Season at home (12)81.790.8172.4-9.125%
Season away (12)80.199.6179.7-19.58%
Last 10 (10)80.790.1170.8-9.430%
Last 5 (5)77.687.4165.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.595.0177.5-12.526%
vs Similar (3)86.788.3175.0-1.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
UrundayWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.7Avg total
42.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.843.288.0+1.555%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.441.687.0+3.971%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.888.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.986.7-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.085.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.644.388.9+0.357%-
vs Similar (15)41.644.085.6-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)51.740.692.3+11.186%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.0Avg total
37.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.349.090.3-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.947.086.9-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)42.650.793.2-8.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.546.584.0-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.479.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.849.089.9-8.222%-
vs Similar (3)46.048.394.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
53.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.413.1
64.2%
70.9%13.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.4
56.7%
53.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
70.9%10.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urunday
LLWLLWLLLW
Welcome
LLWLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#12
-1.5
Net rating
-10.6
98.0
Offensive rating
87.4
99.5
Defensive rating
98.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.4%
3-point %
31.4%
67.8%
Assist %
64.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 87.4Defence99.5 · 98.0Shooting53.6% · 52.9%3-point %34.4% · 31.4%Ball care17.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds35.1% · -Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Urunday   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Urunday wins
5
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
09/12/25Welcome v Urunday63-102
09/10/25Urunday v Welcome113-73
12/03/25Welcome v Urunday97-90
16/01/25Urunday v Welcome86-97 OT
16/11/24Welcome v Urunday66-74
09/02/19Urunday v Welcome89-91
07/12/18Welcome v Urunday87-97
18/03/18Urunday v Welcome80-86
28/12/17Urunday v Welcome91-70
16/10/17Welcome v Urunday98-78
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HBigua79-84
19/02/26HPenarol83-100
09/02/26ACordon106-78
04/02/26HUnion Atletica76-79
30/01/26AMalvin64-86
27/01/26HNacional97-94
19/01/26AHebraica y Macabi85-90
15/01/26ABigua74-87
07/01/26HDefensor78-80
20/12/25AGoes100-86
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AUnion Atletica91-104
07/03/26HBigua74-86
18/02/26ABigua86-81 OT
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77
20/01/26APenarol74-107
17/01/26HCordon73-86
13/01/26ANacional91-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game88.589.887.0
Allowed / game86.284.388.3
Point differential+2.3+5.5-1.3
Avg total174.7174.2175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%25%8%
Points / game80.981.780.1
Allowed / game95.290.899.6
Point differential-14.3-9.1-19.5
Avg total176.0172.4179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2420483%87.574.0+13.5
2 Aguada2316770%91.786.3+5.4
3 Malvin2315865%82.180.7+1.5
4 Nacional2214864%92.383.1+9.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi2415962%84.482.3+2.1
6 Bigua24131154%88.187.8+0.3
7 Defensor24121250%86.285.4+0.8
8 Union Atletica24121250%83.282.9+0.4
9 Urunday2391439%88.586.2+2.3
10 Goes2371630%82.289.0-6.8
11 Cordon2442017%80.994.4-13.5
12 Welcome2442017%80.995.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urunday31223325111
Welcome1615291979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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