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Urupan vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 92-86
21-18 21-14 27-30 23-24
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.9
Urupan 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game96.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Welcome
06 Apr 2025
URUP87
WELC88
20 Dec 2024
URUP92
WELC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 73
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 73
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 73
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 73
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
72avg 73
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 73
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
58avg 73
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
88-62
88
62
+26
90avg 73
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 73
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 73
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
11-18
19-13
19-22
22-12
20-22
15-25
21-12
18-17
18-15
15-31
14-24
27-17
18-15
15-26
13-17
26-24
21-28
17-21
21-22
21-26
25-23
24-26
25-29
21-23
15-26
20-28
17-19
24-25
26-5
11-17
27-15
25-25
22-16
13-20
14-15
18-23
15-23
26-26
16-17
160.6Avg total
77.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.483.9162.3-5.422%
Season at home (4)81.892.8174.5-11.00%
Season away (5)75.876.8152.6-1.040%
Last 10 (10)77.483.2160.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)81.085.4166.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.284.7163.9-5.425%
vs Similar (12)74.778.2152.8-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)75.264.8140.0+10.383%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 62
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
69-99
69
99
-30
57avg 62
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
49avg 62
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
69avg 62
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
41avg 62
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 62
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 62
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 62
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 62
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
12-22
24-19
13-25
14-30
25-27
18-19
18-19
20-25
16-30
15-22
18-22
14-34
14-32
23-20
13-29
22-27
5-30
28-23
27-25
11-23
10-28
12-22
27-13
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
170.2Avg total
74.7Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.496.4170.9-22.00%
Season at home (5)77.095.2172.2-18.20%
Season away (4)71.298.0169.2-26.80%
Last 10 (10)74.795.5170.2-20.80%
Last 5 (5)76.090.8166.8-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.290.9168.1-13.78%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (4)91.084.5175.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
UrupanWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
81.9Avg total
41.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.442.984.3-1.539%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.946.889.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.080.2+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.781.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.085.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.243.384.5-2.242%-
vs Similar (11)40.044.484.4-4.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.038.683.6+6.460%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
84.3Avg total
35.0Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.845.081.8-8.228%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.244.080.2-7.820%-
Last 30 away (14)37.446.083.4-8.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.049.384.3-14.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.079.0-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.745.881.5-10.220%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.8
47.8%
51.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.9
32.9%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.512.3
66.5%
71.7%12.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.6
50.1%
51.5%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.17.8
26.7%
33.0%23.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
70.7%
71.7%11.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LLWLLLLLWL
Welcome
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#12
-7.6
Net rating
-27.5
96.6
Offensive rating
93.4
104.1
Defensive rating
120.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
45.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
26.7%
62.7%
Assist %
49.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 93.4Defence104.1 · 120.9Shooting48.3% · 45.8%3-point %32.9% · 26.7%Ball care19.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Urupan   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Urupan wins
0
Welcome wins
No previous meetings.
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24ANacional75-89
10/12/24HMalvin74-76
07/12/24ATrouville88-62
17/11/24HAguada73-96
11/11/24HHebraica y Macabi95-104
06/11/24HUrunday85-95
31/10/24ABigua73-75
28/10/24ACordon65-87
25/10/24APenarol78-71
21/04/24AMalvin68-77
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74
10/11/24HMalvin60-86
05/11/24HHebraica y Macabi82-105
01/11/24ANacional64-115
28/10/24ABigua69-99
26/10/24ACordon75-95
12/02/19HOlimpia Kings77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game78.481.875.8
Allowed / game83.992.876.8
Point differential-5.4-11.0-1.0
Avg total162.3174.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.477.071.2
Allowed / game96.495.298.0
Point differential-22.0-18.2-26.8
Avg total170.9172.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional990100%91.675.4+16.1
2 Malvin108280%79.674.1+5.5
3 Aguada107370%89.379.3+10.0
4 Penarol96367%79.672.6+7.0
5 Hebraica y Macabi106460%88.287.8+0.4
6 Defensor94544%85.981.2+4.7
7 Bigua94544%84.884.8+0.0
8 Urunday94544%77.081.2-4.2
9 Cordon104640%84.386.3-2.0
10 Urupan92722%78.483.9-5.4
11 Trouville92722%72.183.7-11.6
12 Welcome9090%74.496.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan2121272392
Welcome1814302486
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