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USC vs Oregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-71
32-35 38-36
Position#153
Record18-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.8
USC
USA
vs
Oregon 🏆
USA
Position#293
Record9-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · USC v Oregon
21 Feb 2026
USC70
OREG71
04 Dec 2024
USC60
OREG68
01 Feb 2024
USC69
OREG78
15 Jan 2022
USC69
OREG79
28 Mar 2021
USC82
OREG68
22 Feb 2021
USC72
OREG58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-41
46-30
32-38
32-31
28-31
40-43
39-41
34-30
28-27
44-46
40-30
38-45
35-30
46-45
36-40
41-35
43-40
39-49
32-54
33-47
152.1Avg total
74.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.776.8157.5+3.869%
Season at home (15)84.876.3161.1+8.573%
Season away (11)75.077.5152.5-2.564%
Last 10 (10)74.877.3152.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)76.683.0159.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.981.5155.4-7.643%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.474.1154.5+6.275%
vs Weaker (8)92.872.4165.1+20.4100%
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H21/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H29/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
25-48
41-40
30-41
26-28
26-40
19-34
38-38
22-36
35-37
26-35
40-49
34-36
30-32
30-36
44-56
38-32
45-40
17-22
27-39
138.4Avg total
62.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.274.3145.5-3.235%
Season at home (18)73.473.3146.7+0.244%
Season away (8)66.076.8142.8-10.812%
Last 10 (10)62.376.1138.4-13.810%
Last 5 (5)66.275.4141.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.074.9142.9-6.921%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.071.1149.1+6.964%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -8.0-8.0
USCOregon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.172.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.833.672.4+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)34.736.971.6-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.936.869.6-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.032.570.5+5.562%-
vs Weaker (8)42.934.877.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H29/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H18/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
28.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.769.4+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.032.968.8+3.150%-
Last 30 away (10)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)28.334.162.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.032.261.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.834.567.3-1.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.035.173.1+2.964%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
USC wins
6
Oregon wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Oregon v USC77-82
01/03/25Oregon v USC82-61
05/12/24USC v Oregon60-68
02/02/24USC v Oregon69-78
29/12/23Oregon v USC82-74
10/02/23Oregon v USC78-60
27/02/22Oregon v USC69-70
16/01/22USC v Oregon69-79
29/03/21USC v Oregon82-68
23/02/21USC v Oregon72-58
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HIllinois65-101
11/02/26AOhio State82-89
08/02/26APenn State77-75
04/02/26HIndiana81-75
01/02/26HRutgers78-75
29/01/26AIowa72-73
25/01/26AWisconsin73-71
22/01/26HNorthwestern68-74
17/01/26HPurdue64-69
14/01/26HMaryland88-71
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HMinnesota44-61
14/02/26HPenn State83-72
10/02/26AIndiana74-92
07/02/26APurdue64-68
02/02/26HIowa66-84
29/01/26HUCLA57-73
25/01/26AWashington57-72
21/01/26HMichigan State52-68
17/01/26HMichigan71-81
14/01/26ANebraska55-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeLLWWL73%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %69%73%64%
Points / game80.784.875.0
Allowed / game76.876.377.5
Point differential+3.8+8.5-2.5
Avg total157.5161.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Oregon
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %35%44%12%
Points / game71.273.466.0
Allowed / game74.373.376.8
Point differential-3.2+0.2-10.8
Avg total145.5146.7142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2625196%90.668.8+21.8
2 Nebraska2723485%78.665.6+13.1
3 Illinois2722581%84.868.1+16.7
4 Purdue2722581%82.969.3+13.7
5 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
8 USC2618869%80.776.8+3.8
9 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
10 UCLA2617965%77.270.9+6.3
11 Indiana27171063%79.772.1+7.6
12 Washington27131448%76.272.1+4.1
13 Minnesota27131448%70.967.7+3.2
14 Northwestern27111641%74.173.0+1.1
15 Rutgers27111641%70.275.7-5.4
16 Maryland27111641%71.277.5-6.3
17 Penn State28111739%74.979.5-4.6
18 Oregon2691735%71.274.3-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC323870
Oregon353671
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