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UT Arlington vs UALR Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#82
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#318
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game85.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UT Arlington v UALR
27 Jan 2027
UT A v UALR
upcoming
17 Feb 2022
UT A85
UALR70
23 Jan 2021
UT A66
UALR61
22 Jan 2021
UT A59
UALR66
15 Feb 2020
UT A76
UALR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UALR win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A14/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#426
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Portland
#265
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#101
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A09/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
116-65
116
65
+51
A10/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
29-28
29-28
36-32
25-33
39-24
29-24
40-39
29-33
36-34
42-22
47-34
46-43
43-42
27-27
35-44
57-32
59-33
45-24
40-53
142.9Avg total
76.0Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.270.8159.0+17.480%
Season at home (2)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)89.073.7162.7+15.367%
Last 10 (10)76.066.9142.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)88.270.8159.0+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.872.2136.0-8.420%
vs Similar (13)64.766.8131.5-2.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.669.0148.6+10.682%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#155
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A03/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
42-44
28-32
39-33
32-30
33-40
24-37
46-39
51-31
38-39
21-35
41-37
33-37
39-45
39-46
40-37
34-47
35-47
35-40
35-30
150.2Avg total
72.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.085.5161.5-9.525%
Season at home (2)81.583.0164.5-1.550%
Season away (2)70.588.0158.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)72.977.3150.2-4.430%
Last 5 (5)73.282.8156.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.676.3142.9-9.616%
vs Similar (7)78.671.6150.1+7.071%
vs Weaker (3)80.773.3154.0+7.367%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
UT ArlingtonUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#426
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Portland
#265
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#101
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A09/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
57-32
57
32
+25
A10/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H15/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.263.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.827.860.7+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)31.133.764.8-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.666.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.673.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.236.265.4-7.020%-
vs Similar (13)27.430.658.0-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.530.467.8+7.173%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H27/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#155
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.136.468.5-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.436.170.6-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)30.136.666.6-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)32.736.969.6-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.441.073.4-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.236.565.7-7.321%-
vs Similar (7)34.435.169.6-0.714%-
vs Weaker (3)41.337.078.3+4.367%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UT Arlington wins
4
UALR wins
DateGameScore
18/02/22UT Arlington v UALR85-70
22/01/22UALR v UT Arlington98-96 OT
23/01/21UT Arlington v UALR66-61
23/01/21UT Arlington v UALR59-66
02/01/21UALR v UT Arlington54-59
01/01/21UALR v UT Arlington102-93
15/02/20UT Arlington v UALR76-65
04/01/20UALR v UT Arlington92-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUTRGV85-77
10/11/26ABethesda116-65
09/11/26AHawaii62-71
07/11/26APortland89-85
03/11/26HNorth Texas-Dallas89-56
14/03/26AUtah Valley State65-67
13/03/26HSouthern Utah69-63
08/03/26AAbilene Christian64-57
06/03/26ATarleton65-60
27/02/26ACalifornia Baptist56-68
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNorthwestern St.84-83 OT
11/11/26ANew Mexico69-94
08/11/26HSE Louisiana79-83
03/11/26AVCU Rams72-82
05/03/26ALindenwood62-72
28/02/26HSouthern Indiana89-70
27/02/26HMorehead State70-76
21/02/26HSoutheast Missouri State65-70
20/02/26HUT Martin67-65
14/02/26AEastern Illinois72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.287.089.0
Allowed / game70.866.573.7
Point differential+17.4+20.5+15.3
Avg total159.0153.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game76.081.570.5
Allowed / game85.583.088.0
Point differential-9.5-1.5-17.5
Avg total161.5164.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State330100%86.075.7+10.3
2 UT Arlington54180%88.270.8+17.4
3 Tarleton43175%81.270.5+10.8
4 Southern Utah53260%96.869.6+27.2
5 Abilene Christian31233%71.083.7-12.7
6 Utah Tech41325%80.587.2-6.8
7 California Baptist41325%66.877.0-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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