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Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#22
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Golden State Warriors
28 Jan 2027
UTA v GSW
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
UTA119
GSW116
28 Jan 2026
UTA124
GSW140
13 Jul 2025
UTA93
GSW103
05 Feb 2025
UTA131
GSW128
25 Oct 2024
UTA86
GSW127
15 Feb 2024
UTA137
GSW140
12 Feb 2024
UTA107
GSW129
07 Dec 2022
UTA124
GSW123
09 Feb 2022
UTA111
GSW85
01 Jan 2022
UTA116
GSW123
23 Jan 2021
UTA127
GSW108
13 Dec 2019
UTA114
GSW106
22 Nov 2019
UTA113
GSW109
19 Dec 2018
UTA108
GSW103
19 Oct 2018
UTA123
GSW124
10 Apr 2018
UTA119
GSW79
30 Jan 2018
UTA129
GSW99
08 May 2017
UTA95
GSW121
06 May 2017
UTA91
GSW102
08 Dec 2016
UTA99
GSW106
30 Mar 2016
UTA96
GSW103
30 Nov 2015
UTA103
GSW106
30 Jan 2015
UTA110
GSW100
13 Jan 2015
UTA105
GSW116
31 Jan 2014
UTA90
GSW95
18 Nov 2013
UTA87
GSW98
08 Oct 2013
UTA101
GSW78
19 Feb 2013
UTA115
GSW101
26 Dec 2012
UTA83
GSW94
06 Apr 2012
UTA104
GSW98
17 Mar 2012
UTA99
GSW92
16 Feb 2011
UTA100
GSW107
13 Dec 2010
UTA108
GSW95
31 Mar 2010
UTA128
GSW104
11 Apr 2009
UTA108
GSW118
05 Jan 2009
UTA119
GSW114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 102
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
106-117
106
117
-11
67avg 102
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
119-109
119
109
+10
98avg 102
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 102
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
103-123
103
123
-20
96avg 102
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
120-119
120
119
+1
117avg 102
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 102
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 102
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
27-26
25-25
21-20
31-24
28-41
22-30
25-22
33-26
35-35
31-17
20-31
31-30
28-35
31-30
29-21
31-29
20-35
28-34
24-25
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
225.7Avg total
110.5Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)110.5115.2225.7-4.740%
Season at home (7)110.6116.6227.1-6.029%
Season away (3)110.3112.0222.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)110.5115.2225.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)109.8118.0227.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)112.8125.6238.5-12.818%
vs Similar (8)121.6117.9239.5+3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
85avg 101
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
101-89
101
89
+12
67avg 101
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
101avg 101
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
105-127
105
127
-22
72avg 101
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 101
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 101
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 101
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 101
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
228.1Avg total
116.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)115.9110.9226.8+5.062%
Season at home (6)117.8106.7224.5+11.283%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)116.4111.7228.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)122.2113.2235.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.0117.7222.7-12.70%
vs Similar (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)120.2116.0236.2+4.273%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Utah JazzGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
58.2Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.561.2118.7-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.460.1119.6-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)55.362.5117.8-7.221%-
Last 10 (10)58.260.1118.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)56.458.8115.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)57.063.1120.1-6.132%-
vs Similar (8)58.956.0114.9+2.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
115.4Avg total
58.0Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.957.6113.5-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.056.9115.9+2.146%-
Last 30 away (17)53.658.1111.6-4.524%-
Last 10 (10)58.057.4115.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.854.2113.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.858.5110.3-6.717%-
vs Similar (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.858.6117.5+0.255%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.226.5
52.8%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.9
34.0%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws26.720.6
77.2%
76.4%20.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.4%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLWLWWLW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLLLWWW
#22
League position
#7
-4.2
Net rating
+2.9
102.3
Offensive rating
102.7
106.6
Defensive rating
99.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
7.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
38.1%
65.9%
Assist %
68.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 102.7Defence106.6 · 99.8Shooting52.1% · 54.3%3-point %34.0% · 38.1%Ball care15.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 7.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Utah Jazz wins
8
Golden State Warriors wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
22/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies103-123
17/10/26APhoenix Suns119-116
13/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-109
07/10/26HDenver Nuggets106-117
04/10/26ADenver Nuggets109-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%29%67%
Points / game110.5110.6110.3
Allowed / game115.2116.6112.0
Point differential-4.7-6.0-1.7
Avg total225.7227.1222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%14%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game115.9117.8114.3
Allowed / game110.9106.7114.6
Point differential+5.0+11.2-0.3
Avg total226.8224.5228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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