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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-117
31-24 28-41 22-30 25-22
Position#20
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game109.0
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
06 Oct 2026
UTA106
DEN117
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
12 Jul 2023
UTA96
DEN91
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
17 Jul 2022
UTA82
DEN72
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
22 Oct 2015
UTA98
DEN78
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
129-135
129
135
-6
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
109-134
109
134
-25
A29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-122
113
122
-9
H31/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
117-130
117
130
-13
H02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
106-140
106
140
-34
A04/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-146
111
146
-35
A05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
137-156
137
156
-19
A08/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
147-101
147
101
+46
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
107-131
107
131
-24
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A04/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
36-25
43-36
24-37
21-39
24-34
38-35
26-26
29-31
24-32
36-31
24-28
28-39
26-29
36-29
27-33
22-34
28-35
28-38
28-33
25-40
29-35
27-33
30-38
34-24
35-37
27-50
41-45
33-30
41-22
36-22
37-27
22-32
23-30
29-33
33-36
36-26
27-26
25-25
21-20
247.7Avg total
118.5Scored
129.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.097.0206.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)109.097.0206.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)118.5129.2247.7-10.720%
Last 5 (5)122.2126.2248.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)114.6129.6244.2-15.111%
vs Similar ◀ (12)118.4115.3233.8+3.142%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A01/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
97-109
97
109
-12
H04/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
225.8Avg total
113.3Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.0109.0206.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)97.0109.0206.0-12.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)113.3112.5225.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)102.4111.4213.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)129.0124.3253.3+4.767%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.4115.1227.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (10)129.4118.3247.7+11.190%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
45-73
45
73
-28
A29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H31/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
54-75
54
75
-21
A05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A08/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A04/10
NBA
120.6Avg total
56.9Scored
63.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.761.0118.7-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.361.1121.4-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)55.460.9116.3-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)56.963.7120.6-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)61.060.4121.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.564.1120.6-7.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.556.4115.9+3.158%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
116.5Avg total
57.8Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.459.2118.6+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.459.3119.7+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)58.059.0117.0-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)57.858.7116.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)51.056.4107.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.060.7121.7+0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.357.4112.6-2.143%-
vs Weaker (10)64.360.8125.1+3.540%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.935.1
55.8%
54.0%70.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.2
33.7%
34.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
76.4%14.7
They take 96.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.128.7
54.0%
54.0%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.7
34.3%
34.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.820.8
80.6%
76.4%20.8
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
WLWLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLWWWW
#20
League position
#8
-9.5
Net rating
+0.8
105.3
Offensive rating
109.6
114.8
Defensive rating
108.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.0%
Turnover %
11.7%
11.4%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
34.3%
67.0%
Assist %
65.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 109.6Defence114.8 · 108.8Shooting54.0% · 53.0%3-point %33.7% · 34.3%Ball care12.0% · 11.7%Off. rebounds11.4% · 24.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah Jazz wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26ADenver Nuggets109-97
13/04/26ALos Angeles Lakers107-131
11/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies147-101
08/04/26ANew Orleans Pelicans137-156
05/04/26AOklahoma City Thunder111-146
04/04/26AHouston Rockets106-140
02/04/26HDenver Nuggets117-130
31/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-122
29/03/26APhoenix Suns109-134
28/03/26ADenver Nuggets129-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game109.0-109.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total206.0-206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game109.0109.0-
Point differential-12.0-12.0-
Avg total206.0206.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brooklyn Nets110100%124.090.0+34.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers110100%127.0103.0+24.0
3 Miami Heat110100%129.0105.0+24.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers110100%120.097.0+23.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%116.097.0+19.0
6 Utah Jazz110100%109.097.0+12.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies110100%132.0123.0+9.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans110100%116.0110.0+6.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers110100%104.0101.0+3.0
10 Detroit Pistons110100%109.0107.0+2.0
11 Phoenix Suns1010%107.0109.0-2.0
12 Golden State Warriors1010%101.0104.0-3.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder1010%110.0116.0-6.0
14 Atlanta Hawks1010%123.0132.0-9.0
15 Denver Nuggets1010%97.0109.0-12.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks1010%97.0116.0-19.0
17 New York Knicks1010%97.0120.0-23.0
18 Sacramento Kings1010%103.0127.0-24.0
19 Toronto Raptors1010%105.0129.0-24.0
20 Charlotte Hornets1010%90.0124.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz31282225106
Denver Nuggets24413022117
← all games of the day
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