Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	117.3	114.8	232.1	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	105.8	113.4	219.2	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	124.7	121.0	245.7	+3.7	33%
vs Similar (17)	116.4	115.8	232.2	+0.6	59%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	129.4	118.3	247.7	+11.1	90%

This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Utah Jazz

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJazz

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#30

110-133

110

133

-23

88avg 109

H26/03

NBA

Denver Nuggets

129-135

129

135

-6

127avg 109

A28/03

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#16

109-134

109

134

-25

95avg 109

A29/03

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

113-122

113

122

-9

100avg 109

H31/03

NBA

Denver Nuggets

117-130

117

130

-13

104avg 109

H02/04

NBA

Houston Rockets

106-140

106

140

-34

92avg 109

A04/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

111-146

111

146

-35

98avg 109

A05/04

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#23

137-156

137

156

-19

110avg 109

A08/04

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#25

147-101

147

101

+46

122avg 109

H11/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

107-131

107

131

-24

71avg 109

A13/04

NBA

20-33

25-39

30-32

35-29

26-37

36-25

43-36

24-37

21-39

24-34

38-35

26-26

29-31

24-32

36-31

24-28

28-39

26-29

36-29

27-33

22-34

28-35

28-38

28-33

25-40

29-35

27-33

30-38

34-24

35-37

27-50

41-45

33-30

41-22

36-22

37-27

22-32

23-30

29-33

33-36

251.4Avg total

118.6Scored

132.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	118.6	132.8	251.4	-14.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	121.6	134.8	256.4	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	114.7	129.1	243.8	-14.4	11%
vs Similar (11)	119.3	117.0	236.3	+2.3	36%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.9	29.5	60.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	31.8	28.8	60.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	29.6	30.4	60.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.9	29.2	59.1	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	26.0	53.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	27.7	63.3	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	28.0	28.9	56.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	34.4	31.0	65.4	+3.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.7	31.0	59.7	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.9	29.9	60.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.8	31.9	58.7	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	33.9	59.9	-7.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	32.0	59.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	28.2	33.6	61.8	-5.4	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	29.6	26.5	56.1	+3.2	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.4	29.2	57.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.3	29.6	57.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	28.4	28.6	57.0	-0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	30.4	58.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	30.6	56.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	28.0	51.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	28.3	29.1	57.4	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	29.9	29.8	59.7	+0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.0	30.1	59.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.4	31.2	60.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.8	29.1	57.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.1	31.8	60.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	31.8	63.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	28.7	29.9	58.7	-1.2	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	29.5	30.4	59.9	-0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portland Trail Blazers

#19

58-72

-14

H07/04

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#25

68-72

-4

H09/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

59-51

H11/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

70-56

+14

A13/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

62-62

H18/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

64-64

H21/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

39-61

-22

A24/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

54-50

A26/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

60-51

H28/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#10

50-57

-7

A01/05

NBA

118.0Avg total

58.4Scored

59.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.3	58.7	117.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	60.1	58.4	118.6	+1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	58.0	59.0	117.0	-1.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.4	59.6	118.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	56.6	110.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	59.3	55.7	115.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	56.3	57.9	114.2	-1.6	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	64.3	60.8	125.1	+3.5	40%	-

This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#30

45-72

-27

H26/03

NBA

Denver Nuggets

62-62

A28/03

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#16

45-73

-28

A29/03

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

53-63

-10

H31/03

NBA

Denver Nuggets

54-68

-14

H02/04

NBA

Houston Rockets

50-69

-19

A04/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

54-75

-21

A05/04

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#23

69-61

A08/04

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#25

74-52

+22

H11/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

45-62

-17

A13/04

NBA

120.8Avg total

55.1Scored

65.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.8	61.1	118.8	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	60.3	61.1	121.4	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	55.6	61.0	116.6	-5.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.1	65.7	120.8	-10.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	58.4	63.8	122.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	56.9	63.5	120.5	-6.6	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	59.2	56.8	116.0	+2.4	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.8	30.0	61.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	32.6	29.0	61.6	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	30.6	31.5	62.1	-0.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.2	27.1	57.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	26.8	55.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.3	30.3	59.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	30.9	29.2	60.1	+1.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	34.1	31.2	65.3	+2.9	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.1	32.9	63.0	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.1	31.2	61.3	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	30.2	34.4	64.6	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	33.9	66.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	35.2	64.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	30.2	34.2	64.4	-3.9	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	30.0	30.7	60.7	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.0	27.0	56.0	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	29.3	25.9	55.2	+3.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	28.6	28.5	57.1	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.5	27.4	54.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	30.0	53.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.3	28.3	59.7	+3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	28.1	27.5	55.6	+0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	29.8	25.6	55.4	+4.2	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.5	30.7	59.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.8	29.1	58.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	27.3	32.1	59.4	-4.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.5	33.2	63.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	35.8	69.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	27.5	31.4	58.9	-3.9	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	30.1	29.5	59.5	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	60.8	57.0	117.8	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	61.9	54.9	116.8	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	59.2	60.0	119.2	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	57.7	54.5	112.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	56.8	109.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	60.7	58.7	119.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	59.0	56.8	115.8	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	63.9	56.8	120.7	+7.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.6	63.6	122.2	-5.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	59.9	60.4	120.2	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	57.5	66.4	123.9	-8.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	63.5	67.1	130.6	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	63.2	71.0	134.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	57.7	65.6	123.3	-7.8	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	60.1	60.2	120.3	-0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.4	30.2	55.5%	54.0%	60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	11.8	34.7%	35.1%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	26.1	21.5	82.4%	77.1%	21.5

They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 118.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀62%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers73.0 pts a game · 62% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	64.8	36.5	56.3%	54.0%	73.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.4	32.9%	35.1%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	21.3	14.4	67.6%	77.1%	14.4

They take 96.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.5	28.6	53.5%	54.0%	57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.7	13.5	35.8%	35.1%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.1	76.3%	77.1%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.5	34.8	61.6%	54.0%	69.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.1	15.0	37.4%	35.1%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	23.0	18.2	79.1%	77.1%	18.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.9	29.1	56.0%	54.0%	58.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.8	14.1	38.4%	35.1%	42.4
🏀 Free throws	26.1	21.0	80.7%	77.1%	21.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	57.2	31.2	54.5%	54.0%	62.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.3	11.8	33.4%	35.1%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.3	76.4%	77.1%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.8	29.8	56.4%	54.0%	59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.1	13.4	34.3%	35.1%	40.3
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.3	76.0%	77.1%	17.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.1	30.9	60.4%	54.0%	61.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.6	14.4	36.3%	35.1%	43.2
🏀 Free throws	26.5	20.6	77.6%	77.1%	20.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

LWLLLWWWWW

Utah Jazz

LWLLLLLLLL

#13

League position

#29

+2.4

Net rating

-12.5

114.0

Offensive rating

104.3

111.5

Defensive rating

116.8

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.0%

53.6%

Opp. effective FG%

59.3%

11.8%

Turnover %

12.3%

26.4%

Off. rebound %

11.4%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.22

34.7%

3-point %

32.9%

65.0%

Assist %

67.4%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Utah Jazz

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Utah Jazz wins

Date	Game	Score
02/04/26	Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets	117-130
28/03/26	Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz	135-129
03/03/26	Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets	125-128
23/12/25	Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz	135-112
29/03/25	Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz	129-93
31/12/24	Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets	121-132
28/11/24	Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets	103-122
03/11/24	Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz	129-103
10/04/24	Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets	95-111
10/03/24	Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz	142-121

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	98-110
28/04/26	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	125-113
26/04/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	96-112
24/04/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	96-113
21/04/26	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	114-119
18/04/26	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	116-105
13/04/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	128-118
11/04/26	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	127-107
09/04/26	H	Memphis Grizzlies	136-119
07/04/26	H	Portland Trail Blazers	137-132 OT

Utah Jazzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/26	A	Los Angeles Lakers	107-131
11/04/26	H	Memphis Grizzlies	147-101
08/04/26	A	New Orleans Pelicans	137-156
05/04/26	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	111-146
04/04/26	A	Houston Rockets	106-140
02/04/26	H	Denver Nuggets	117-130
31/03/26	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	113-122
29/03/26	A	Phoenix Suns	109-134
28/03/26	A	Denver Nuggets	129-135
26/03/26	H	Washington Wizards	110-133

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Utah Jazz

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Denver Nuggets	26	26	25	20	97
Utah Jazz	36	27	25	21	109

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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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