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Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#29
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game118.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves
18 Mar 2027
UTA v MIN
upcoming
14 Dec 2026
UTA v MIN
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
UTA127
MIN122
10 Nov 2025
UTA113
MIN120
28 Feb 2025
UTA117
MIN116
30 Jan 2025
UTA113
MIN138
18 Mar 2024
UTA104
MIN114
16 Mar 2024
UTA100
MIN119
08 Feb 2023
UTA118
MIN143
09 Dec 2022
UTA108
MIN118
31 Dec 2021
UTA120
MIN108
23 Dec 2021
UTA128
MIN116
24 Apr 2021
UTA96
MIN101
26 Dec 2020
UTA111
MIN116
20 Mar 2020
UTA v MIN
upcoming
18 Nov 2019
UTA102
MIN112
14 Mar 2019
UTA120
MIN100
25 Jan 2019
UTA106
MIN102
02 Mar 2018
UTA116
MIN108
13 Nov 2017
UTA98
MIN109
07 Apr 2017
UTA120
MIN113
01 Mar 2017
UTA80
MIN107
01 Apr 2016
UTA98
MIN85
29 Jan 2016
UTA103
MIN90
23 Mar 2015
UTA104
MIN106
30 Dec 2014
UTA100
MIN94
22 Feb 2014
UTA104
MIN121
21 Jan 2014
UTA97
MIN112
12 Apr 2013
UTA107
MIN100
02 Jan 2013
UTA106
MIN84
15 Mar 2012
UTA111
MIN105
21 Jan 2012
UTA108
MIN98
16 Mar 2011
UTA119
MIN104
28 Jan 2011
UTA108
MIN100
17 Mar 2010
UTA122
MIN100
14 Dec 2009
UTA108
MIN110
03 Apr 2009
UTA102
MIN103
20 Jan 2009
UTA112
MIN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 105
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 105
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 105
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 105
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 105
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 105
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 105
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
118-125
118
125
-7
105avg 105
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
27-27
26-36
36-29
29-33
221.9Avg total
105.1Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)107.5118.6226.1-11.28%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (6)105.2119.0224.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)105.1116.8221.9-11.70%
Last 5 (5)107.0118.0225.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)110.5126.7237.2-16.30%
vs Similar (7)123.7120.1243.9+3.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
Utah JazzMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A14/11
NBA
108.5Avg total
50.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.561.6117.1-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.560.7119.3-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)50.957.6108.5-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)54.861.4116.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.063.9119.0-8.913%-
vs Similar (7)57.153.9111.0+3.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.926.0
52.1%
54.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.1
32.3%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.4
78.5%
77.3%19.4
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
#29
League position
#7
-10.1
Net rating
+4.6
104.7
Offensive rating
110.9
114.8
Defensive rating
106.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.3%
3-point %
36.0%
63.0%
Assist %
57.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 110.9Defence114.8 · 106.3Shooting50.5% · 53.1%3-point %32.3% · 36.0%Ball care15.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHouston Rockets118-125
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game107.5109.4105.2
Allowed / game118.6118.3119.0
Point differential-11.2-8.9-13.8
Avg total226.1227.7224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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