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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 128-102
34-20 28-31 37-25 29-26
Position#7
Record39-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game109.0
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Utah Jazz
USA
Position#30
Record15-52
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game119.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz
07 Feb 2027
MIN v UTA
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
MIN115
UTA100
18 Mar 2026
MIN147
UTA111
07 Nov 2025
MIN137
UTA97
13 Apr 2025
MIN116
UTA105
16 Mar 2025
MIN128
UTA102
30 Nov 2023
MIN101
UTA90
04 Nov 2023
MIN123
UTA95
16 Jan 2023
MIN125
UTA126
21 Oct 2022
MIN126
UTA132
30 Jan 2022
MIN126
UTA106
08 Dec 2021
MIN104
UTA136
26 Apr 2021
MIN105
UTA104
11 Dec 2019
MIN116
UTA127
20 Nov 2019
MIN95
UTA103
27 Jan 2019
MIN111
UTA125
31 Oct 2018
MIN128
UTA125
01 Apr 2018
MIN97
UTA121
20 Oct 2017
MIN100
UTA97
07 Jan 2017
MIN92
UTA94
28 Nov 2016
MIN103
UTA112
26 Mar 2016
MIN84
UTA93
30 Dec 2015
MIN94
UTA80
30 Mar 2015
MIN84
UTA104
03 Jan 2015
MIN89
UTA101
16 Apr 2014
MIN130
UTA136
18 Jan 2014
MIN98
UTA72
15 Apr 2013
MIN80
UTA96
13 Feb 2013
MIN93
UTA97
22 Feb 2012
MIN100
UTA98
11 Mar 2011
MIN122
UTA101
22 Dec 2010
MIN107
UTA112
30 Dec 2009
MIN103
UTA107
05 Dec 2009
MIN108
UTA101
25 Feb 2009
MIN103
UTA120
09 Dec 2008
MIN96
UTA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
126avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 106
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
116-117
116
117
-1
105avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
116-98
116
98
+18
103avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
126-112
126
112
+14
126avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
125-110
125
110
+15
118avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
106-104
106
104
+2
104avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
141-124
141
124
+17
143avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
115-95
115
95
+20
113avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
118-111
118
111
+7
116avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
17-32
35-38
41-19
17-33
30-25
26-26
29-27
40-38
27-18
25-38
24-23
28-34
21-17
34-21
33-26
24-22
33-31
26-27
43-32
39-28
26-30
32-25
28-27
33-25
19-27
28-28
26-24
37-29
31-31
41-34
32-30
34-26
23-22
32-27
26-20
33-30
29-28
16-29
40-24
230.6Avg total
119.6Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)112.9109.0222.0+3.957%
Season at home (33)113.9109.1223.0+4.858%
Season away (35)112.0109.0221.0+3.057%
Last 10 (10)119.6111.0230.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)121.0108.8229.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)118.8122.2241.0-3.440%
vs Similar (9)114.4107.9222.3+6.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)118.8108.8227.6+9.981%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
101-118
101
118
-17
94avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
117-116
117
116
+1
124avg 104
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
121-128
121
128
-7
115avg 104
H03/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
106-134
106
134
-28
94avg 104
H04/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
122-125
122
125
-3
111avg 104
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
109-118
109
118
-9
102avg 104
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
122-126
122
126
-4
110avg 104
A09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-114
108
114
-6
102avg 104
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
115-122
115
122
-7
112avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
118-126
118
126
-8
102avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-33
23-28
32-35
38-40
18-27
38-25
23-24
26-30
31-36
34-25
30-37
22-36
25-31
30-31
29-36
32-32
23-30
36-34
31-29
27-28
19-29
32-35
31-26
32-27
26-38
25-36
39-25
24-25
23-28
22-37
39-24
24-30
26-34
36-26
29-32
26-33
32-23
30-35
30-35
236.6Avg total
113.9Scored
122.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)112.6119.9232.5-7.322%
Season at home (33)111.6118.9230.5-7.224%
Season away (34)113.6120.9234.4-7.321%
Last 10 (10)113.9122.7236.6-8.810%
Last 5 (5)114.4121.2235.6-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)113.6122.0235.6-8.522%
vs Similar (7)118.7123.7242.4-5.014%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/03
NBA
112.7Avg total
56.9Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.9114.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.258.2117.4+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)55.255.7110.9-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)56.955.8112.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.2116.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.261.4116.6-6.240%-
vs Similar (9)57.457.0114.4+0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)57.755.5113.2+2.262%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H03/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H04/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H15/03
NBA
113.2Avg total
52.0Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.659.4114.0-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.458.9114.3-3.641%-
Last 30 away (13)53.760.0113.7-6.38%-
Last 10 (10)52.061.2113.2-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)51.859.0110.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)53.859.8113.6-6.022%-
vs Similar (7)57.458.0115.4-0.643%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.8
55.5%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.617.1
40.1%
35.9%51.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.8%
77.8%16.5
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.327.8
53.2%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.313.7
35.8%
35.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws24.117.2
71.4%
77.8%17.2
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWWWLLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#30
+8.4
Net rating
-8.3
118.8
Offensive rating
107.8
110.5
Defensive rating
116.1
57.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.1%
3-point %
35.8%
69.0%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 107.8Defence110.5 · 116.1Shooting57.7% · 53.4%3-point %40.1% · 35.8%Ball care11.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
3
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves117-116
31/01/25Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves113-138
19/03/24Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves104-114
17/03/24Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves100-119
01/12/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz101-90
05/11/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz123-95
09/02/23Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves118-143
16/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz125-126
10/12/22Utah Jazz v Minnesota Timberwolves108-118
22/10/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz126-132 OT
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HOrlando Magic118-111
13/03/25ADenver Nuggets115-95
10/03/25HSan Antonio Spurs141-124
08/03/25AMiami Heat106-104
06/03/25ACharlotte Hornets125-110
05/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers126-112
03/03/25APhoenix Suns116-98
01/03/25AUtah Jazz116-117
28/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers102-111
25/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder131-128 OT
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HToronto Raptors118-126
13/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies115-122
10/03/25ABoston Celtics108-114
09/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers122-126
08/03/25AToronto Raptors109-118
06/03/25AWashington Wizards122-125
04/03/25HDetroit Pistons106-134
03/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans121-128
01/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves117-116
27/02/25HSacramento Kings101-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %57%58%57%
Points / game112.9113.9112.0
Allowed / game109.0109.1109.0
Point differential+3.9+4.8+3.0
Avg total222.0223.0221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)42% (12)60% (10)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL24%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %22%24%21%
Points / game112.6111.6113.6
Allowed / game119.9118.9120.9
Point differential-7.3-7.2-7.3
Avg total232.5230.5234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won26% (19)31% (13)17% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers67561184%122.5111.5+11.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder65531282%119.7107.4+12.3
3 Boston Celtics68491972%116.6108.2+8.4
4 New York Knicks65422365%117.0112.5+4.5
5 Houston Rockets66422464%113.8109.0+4.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies68432563%122.7116.6+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets68432563%121.2116.9+4.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers66412562%112.9111.4+1.4
9 Golden State Warriors66392759%113.9111.2+2.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves68392957%112.9109.0+3.9
11 Milwaukee Bucks64362856%115.0112.8+2.3
12 Indiana Pacers66372956%116.3115.3+1.0
13 Los Angeles Clippers67373055%111.2108.7+2.5
14 Detroit Pistons68373154%114.8113.2+1.7
15 Sacramento Kings66333350%116.3115.5+0.8
16 Dallas Mavericks68333549%114.9115.1-0.2
17 Orlando Magic68323647%104.5105.9-1.4
18 Atlanta Hawks66313547%117.4120.1-2.7
19 Phoenix Suns68313746%114.2116.1-2.0
20 Miami Heat67293843%109.3110.7-1.4
21 Portland Trail Blazers68293943%110.6114.5-3.9
22 San Antonio Spurs66283842%114.2116.5-2.3
23 Chicago Bulls67283942%116.6120.1-3.5
24 Toronto Raptors68244435%110.9115.6-4.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers67234434%109.6114.6-5.0
26 Brooklyn Nets68234534%105.6111.7-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans68185026%110.8119.0-8.2
28 Charlotte Hornets66174926%106.0113.3-7.3
29 Washington Wizards66155123%108.9120.7-11.7
30 Utah Jazz67155222%112.6119.9-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34283729128
Utah Jazz20312526102
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