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Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game115.6
vs
Position#13
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Toronto Raptors
21 Mar 2027
UTA v TOR
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
UTA127
TOR143
14 Mar 2025
UTA118
TOR126
17 Jul 2024
UTA86
TOR76
12 Jan 2024
UTA145
TOR113
01 Feb 2023
UTA131
TOR128
13 Jul 2022
UTA74
TOR80
18 Nov 2021
UTA119
TOR103
01 May 2021
UTA106
TOR102
09 Mar 2020
UTA92
TOR101
05 Nov 2018
UTA111
TOR124
02 Oct 2018
UTA105
TOR90
03 Nov 2017
UTA100
TOR109
23 Dec 2016
UTA98
TOR104
18 Nov 2015
UTA93
TOR89
03 Dec 2014
UTA104
TOR123
03 Feb 2014
UTA79
TOR94
07 Dec 2012
UTA131
TOR99
25 Jan 2012
UTA106
TOR111
03 Nov 2010
UTA125
TOR108
18 Nov 2009
UTA104
TOR91
05 Dec 2008
UTA114
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Utah Jazz
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 116.4
112.4▼ 4.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 125.6
120.2▼ 5.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
56%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 28.6
26.8▼ 1.8
🔥 Form · Toronto Raptors
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 116.7
116.8▲ 0.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.3
106.2▼ 5.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
52%▼ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 29.4
25.5▼ 3.9
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
107-131
107
131
-24
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
106-117
106
117
-11
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
119-109
119
109
+10
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-116
119
116
+3
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
103-123
103
123
-20
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-119
120
119
+1
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
123-132
123
132
-9
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
105-110
105
110
-5
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
23-30
29-33
33-36
36-26
27-26
25-25
21-20
31-24
28-41
22-30
25-22
33-26
35-35
31-17
20-31
31-30
28-35
31-30
29-21
31-29
20-35
28-34
24-25
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
229.3Avg total
112.2Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.8115.6228.3-2.844%
Season at home (6)114.0117.3231.3-3.333%
Season away (3)110.3112.0222.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)112.2117.1229.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)112.4120.2232.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)113.1127.4240.5-14.311%
vs Similar (11)119.3117.5236.7+1.845%
vs Weaker (1)119.0116.0235.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
L
105-129
105
129
-24
H03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
114-106
114
106
+8
H10/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
148-98
148
98
+50
H13/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
120-122
120
122
-2
A15/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
125-129
125
129
-4
A16/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
135-92
135
92
+43
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
112-102
112
102
+10
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
94-117
94
117
-23
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
129-99
129
99
+30
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-41
32-35
25-19
25-34
24-18
33-27
32-27
25-34
42-22
44-25
30-31
32-20
32-35
26-28
21-24
41-35
33-33
19-26
28-34
45-36
43-23
26-21
34-27
32-21
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
231.1Avg total
119.6Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)119.6111.5231.1+8.150%
Season at home (6)124.2107.5231.7+16.767%
Season away (4)112.8117.5230.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)119.6111.5231.1+8.150%
Last 5 (5)116.8106.2223.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0118.0222.0-14.00%
vs Similar (14)112.1111.7223.9+0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)124.5109.4233.8+15.169%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
Utah JazzToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
118.9Avg total
58.5Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.761.0118.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.660.2120.8+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)54.861.9116.7-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)58.560.4118.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.8118.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)55.863.3119.2-7.528%-
vs Similar (11)60.656.9117.5+3.755%-
vs Weaker (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H10/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
86-47
86
47
+39
H13/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A15/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A16/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
116.6Avg total
60.8Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.754.3111.9+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.152.0114.1+10.173%-
Last 30 away (15)53.256.5109.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)60.855.8116.6+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.053.6113.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.354.7100.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (14)55.253.9109.1+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)63.254.5117.7+8.669%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.428.1
53.6%
54.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.5
33.4%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.820.3
75.7%
76.2%20.3
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.1
51.2%
54.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.5
32.6%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws32.124.1
75.1%
76.2%24.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLWLWWLWL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWLLWWL
#21
League position
#13
-4.4
Net rating
+3.5
102.8
Offensive rating
102.5
107.2
Defensive rating
99.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.4%
3-point %
32.6%
64.4%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 102.5Defence107.2 · 99.0Shooting52.2% · 50.3%3-point %33.4% · 32.6%Ball care15.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 22.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Utah Jazz wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
22/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies103-123
17/10/26APhoenix Suns119-116
13/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-109
07/10/26HDenver Nuggets106-117
04/10/26ADenver Nuggets109-97
13/04/26ALos Angeles Lakers107-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102
21/10/26HChicago Bulls135-92
16/10/26ADetroit Pistons125-129
15/10/26ANew York Knicks120-122
13/10/26HNew York Knicks148-98
10/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers114-106
03/10/26HMiami Heat105-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%33%67%
Points / game112.8114.0110.3
Allowed / game115.6117.3112.0
Point differential-2.8-3.3-1.7
Avg total228.3231.3222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game119.6124.2112.8
Allowed / game111.5107.5117.5
Point differential+8.1+16.7-4.8
Avg total231.1231.7230.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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