Utah State faces Nebraska O. on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Aggies the clear favourite with a 99% chance of winning, driven by their 1-0 season record, 94.0 points per game and only 58.0 allowed, placing them 47th in the league, while Nebraska O. sits at 264th with a 1-1 record, 70.0 points per game and 86.5 allowed; Utah State's single home game was a 94-58 victory over Idaho State, and their last five games show four wins and one loss, whereas Nebraska O.'s last five include two wins and three losses, with a recent 67-108 loss to Brigham Young; the projected score is 92-64, giving a total of 155.9 points, and the over-152.5 line has a 58% probability of hitting, with no chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 94.0 | 58.0 | 152.0 | +36.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 94.0 | 58.0 | 152.0 | +36.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 74.0 | 152.3 | +4.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.6 | 68.0 | 147.6 | +11.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 66.0 | 78.0 | 144.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 80.3 | 76.7 | 157.0 | +3.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (26) | 81.7 | 70.2 | 151.8 | +11.5 | 81% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 70.0 | 86.5 | 156.5 | -16.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 73.0 | 65.0 | 138.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 67.0 | 108.0 | 175.0 | -41.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.6 | 79.9 | 153.5 | -6.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 63.8 | 75.4 | 139.2 | -11.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 69.8 | 80.5 | 150.2 | -10.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (16) | 74.8 | 77.7 | 152.5 | -2.9 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 71.5 | 66.5 | 138.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.4 | 33.2 | 70.6 | +4.2 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.9 | 32.0 | 71.9 | +7.9 | 69% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 34.6 | 34.6 | 69.1 | +0.0 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.8 | 33.9 | 68.7 | +0.9 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 33.6 | 67.8 | +0.6 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 24.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | -9.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 32.7 | 39.0 | 71.7 | -6.3 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (26) | 38.5 | 32.5 | 71.0 | +6.0 | 65% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.1 | 35.9 | 72.9 | +1.2 | 53% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 41.5 | 33.2 | 74.7 | +8.4 | 77% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 33.6 | 37.9 | 71.6 | -4.3 | 35% | 41% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.5 | 39.2 | 75.7 | -2.7 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.6 | 38.2 | 69.8 | -6.6 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 33.8 | 38.5 | 72.2 | -4.8 | 38% | 50% |
| vs Similar (16) | 36.4 | 36.3 | 72.7 | +0.1 | 50% | 44% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 36.0 | 33.0 | 69.0 | +3.0 | 50% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska O. +34.5 | 74.2% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. +34 | 73.4% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Push |
| Nebraska O. +33 | 70.4% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Utah State over 84.5 | 76.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Utah State over 85.5 | 73.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Utah State over 86.5 | 70.0% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 70.6% | 1.50 | 1.65 | 1.47 | 1.38 | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Utah State (regulation) | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Over 144 | 78.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 78.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 58.5 | 72.7% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Nebraska O. over 56.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Nebraska O. +33.5 | 71.3% | 1.42 | 1.52 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Over 145 | 76.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 55.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Utah State over 75.5 | 94.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 57.5 | 75.9% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Over 146.5 | 72.7% | 1.46 | 1.61 | 1.42 | 1.34 | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Utah State over 79.5 | 89.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 74.7% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Utah State over 77.5 | 92.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 54.5 | 84.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Utah State over 74.5 | 95.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Utah State over 70.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Over 147 | 72.1% | 1.51 | 1.65 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Utah State over 72.5 | 97.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Utah State -19.5 | 75.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Utah State over 76.5 | 93.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Utah State win | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 53.5 | 86.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 46.5 | 96.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Utah State -19 | 77.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 47.5 | 95.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Utah State -20 | 74.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 48.5 | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 146 | 74.2% | 1.49 | 1.66 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Push |
| Nebraska O. over 49.5 | 93.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Utah State -18.5 | 77.8% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Utah State over 81.5 | 84.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Utah State over 78.5 | 90.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 50.5 | 92.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Utah State over 80.5 | 87.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 51.5 | 90.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. over 52.5 | 88.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Utah State over 82.5 | 82.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Utah State under 101.5 | 83.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Utah State -20.5 | 72.3% | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Utah State under 100.5 | 81.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Utah State -21 | 71.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Nebraska O. under 72.5 | 79.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -8.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Idaho State | 94-58 |
| 23/03/26 | A | Arizona | 66-78 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Villanova | 86-76 |
| 14/03/26 | H | San Diego State | 73-62 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Nevada | 79-66 |
| 12/03/26 | H | UNLV | 80-60 |
| 07/03/26 | H | New Mexico | 94-90 |
| 04/03/26 | A | UNLV | 65-92 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Grand Canyon | 74-69 |
| 26/02/26 | A | San Diego State | 72-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Brigham Young | 67-108 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Mid-America Christian | 73-65 |
| 08/03/26 | A | North Dakota St | 50-74 |
| 07/03/26 | A | South Dakota Coyotes | 76-62 |
| 01/03/26 | A | St. Thomas (Minn.) | 53-68 |
| 26/02/26 | A | South Dakota Coyotes | 72-89 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Oral Roberts | 80-71 |
| 15/02/26 | H | Denver | 83-76 |
| 13/02/26 | H | St. Thomas (Minn.) | 98-94 |
| 07/02/26 | A | North Dakota St | 84-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 94.0 | 94.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 58.0 | 58.0 | - |
| Point differential | +36.0 | +36.0 | - |
| Avg total | 152.0 | 152.0 | - |
| Over 154 | 0% | 0% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.0 | 73.0 | 67.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.5 | 65.0 | 108.0 |
| Point differential | -16.5 | +8.0 | -41.0 |
| Avg total | 156.5 | 138.0 | 175.0 |
| Over 154 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 132.0 | 53.0 | +79.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 60.0 | +40.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 49.0 | +37.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 58.0 | +36.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 79.0 | +24.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 74.0 | +21.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 89.5 | 72.0 | +17.5 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 77.0 | +12.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 70.5 | +10.5 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 88.0 | 79.0 | +9.0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 89.0 | 80.0 | +9.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 69.5 | 57.5 | +12.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 74.5 | 77.0 | -2.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 71.5 | 87.5 | -16.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.0 | 86.5 | -16.5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 91.3 | 82.0 | +9.3 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 81.0 | -6.3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 68.0 | 75.0 | -7.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 85.0 | -30.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 46 | 90 | |
| 21 | 35 | 56 |
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