PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Villanova vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:10
Final 76-86
39-37 37-49
Position#46
Record24-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game70.8
Villanova
USA
vs
Utah State 🏆
USA
Position#20
Record28-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
43-33
36-32
41-42
41-27
39-42
43-42
38-39
32-34
31-39
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
151.5Avg total
76.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.270.8147.9+6.475%
Season at home (19)79.369.5148.8+9.879%
Season away (13)74.072.7146.7+1.369%
Last 10 (10)76.275.3151.5+0.970%
Last 5 (5)74.075.0149.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.779.0142.7-15.30%
vs Similar (7)72.770.0142.7+2.771%
vs Weaker (20)80.569.7150.1+10.890%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
34-35
39-27
152.7Avg total
78.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.570.4152.9+12.282%
Season at home (20)84.469.1153.5+15.395%
Season away (14)79.972.1152.0+7.764%
Last 10 (10)78.873.9152.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)78.274.0152.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)80.376.7157.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.170.6152.7+11.581%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
VillanovaUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.168.5+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.730.267.9+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)34.335.169.4-0.867%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.269.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.466.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.738.066.7-9.333%-
vs Similar (7)34.031.665.6+2.471%-
vs Weaker (20)38.431.469.8+6.980%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/03
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.371.6+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.932.372.2+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.470.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.370.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.068.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.739.071.7-6.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.932.771.6+6.367%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Villanova wins
0
Utah State wins
No previous meetings.
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73
21/02/26HUconn63-73
17/02/26AXavier92-89 OT
14/02/26ACreighton80-69
11/02/26HMarquette77-74
07/02/26AGeorgetown80-73
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HSan Diego State73-62
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %75%79%69%
Points / game77.279.374.0
Allowed / game70.869.572.7
Point differential+6.4+9.8+1.3
Avg total147.9148.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%63%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %9%5%15%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342014
Win %82%95%64%
Points / game82.584.479.9
Allowed / game70.469.172.1
Point differential+12.2+15.3+7.7
Avg total152.9153.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3429585%77.565.1+12.4
2 St. John's (N.Y.)3628878%80.070.9+9.1
3 Villanova3224875%77.270.8+6.4
4 Seton Hall33211264%70.365.3+5.0
5 Butler32161650%79.477.5+1.8
6 DePaul32161650%70.269.6+0.7
7 Georgetown34161847%73.672.9+0.7
8 Creighton32151747%75.175.0+0.1
9 Providence33151845%85.384.0+1.3
10 Xavier33151845%78.480.6-2.3
11 Marquette32122038%75.275.8-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3428682%82.570.4+12.2
2 New Mexico33231070%80.570.8+9.7
3 San Diego State33221167%78.271.0+7.2
4 Nevada34221265%75.971.6+4.4
5 Colorado State33211264%76.171.1+4.9
6 Grand Canyon32201262%75.668.7+7.0
7 Boise State32201262%78.273.5+4.7
8 Wyoming32181456%77.173.0+4.1
9 UNLV33171652%79.478.6+0.8
10 Fresno State32131941%72.872.8+0.0
11 San Jose State3392427%72.078.5-6.5
12 Air Force323299%61.579.9-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova393776
Utah State374986
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.