PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Utah State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 94-90
42-43 52-47
Position#20
Record24-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game70.5
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
New Mexico
USA
Position#50
Record22-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v New Mexico
07 Mar 2026
UTAH94
NEW 90
01 Feb 2025
UTAH63
NEW 82
09 Mar 2024
UTAH87
NEW 85
09 Mar 2023
UTAH91
NEW 76
01 Feb 2023
UTAH84
NEW 73
22 Feb 2022
UTAH81
NEW 56
05 Mar 2020
UTAH75
NEW 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
37-32
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
154.9Avg total
79.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.770.5153.1+12.280%
Season at home (16)85.169.0154.1+16.194%
Season away (14)79.972.1152.0+7.764%
Last 10 (10)79.575.4154.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)72.677.2149.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.772.3148.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (27)83.470.3153.7+13.281%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
90-91
90
91
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
48-39
41-35
49-45
33-36
33-50
42-43
48-48
40-27
30-37
55-33
43-28
32-44
48-34
23-23
37-44
36-37
45-39
25-40
49-42
154.4Avg total
79.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.470.1150.5+10.473%
Season at home (19)82.770.2152.9+12.579%
Season away (11)76.569.8146.3+6.664%
Last 10 (10)79.874.6154.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)78.672.8151.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.275.8155.0+3.562%
vs Weaker (22)80.968.0148.9+12.977%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
Utah StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.072.0+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.231.872.9+9.475%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.470.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.770.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.736.770.3-3.067%-
vs Weaker (27)39.632.672.2+7.067%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H05/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.168.1+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.732.669.3+4.168%-
Last 30 away (11)34.831.466.2+3.545%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.070.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.469.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.638.274.9-1.638%-
vs Weaker (22)35.829.965.7+5.968%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah State wins
3
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26New Mexico v Utah State66-86
16/02/25New Mexico v Utah State82-79
02/02/25Utah State v New Mexico63-82
10/03/24Utah State v New Mexico87-85
17/01/24New Mexico v Utah State99-86
10/03/23Utah State v New Mexico91-76
02/02/23Utah State v New Mexico84-73
23/02/22Utah State v New Mexico81-56
09/01/22New Mexico v Utah State87-90 OT
09/01/21New Mexico v Utah State46-82
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HColorado State74-82
28/02/26HSan Diego State81-76
25/02/26ANevada60-67
22/02/26AFresno State80-78
18/02/26HAir Force98-61
12/02/26AGrand Canyon70-64
08/02/26HBoise State90-91
05/02/26HUtah State66-86
01/02/26ASan Jose State90-80
28/01/26AUNLV89-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL80%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %80%94%64%
Points / game82.785.179.9
Allowed / game70.569.072.1
Point differential+12.2+16.1+7.7
Avg total153.1154.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeLLWWL79%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %73%79%64%
Points / game80.482.776.5
Allowed / game70.170.269.8
Point differential+10.4+12.5+6.6
Avg total150.5152.9146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3024680%82.770.5+12.2
2 New Mexico3022873%80.470.1+10.4
3 San Diego State30201067%79.471.5+7.9
4 Colorado State30201067%77.171.2+6.0
5 Grand Canyon30191163%75.268.4+6.7
6 Boise State30191163%78.373.3+5.0
7 Nevada30191163%75.972.4+3.6
8 Wyoming30171357%77.072.8+4.2
9 UNLV31161552%80.278.8+1.4
10 Fresno State30131743%73.672.6+1.0
11 San Jose State3082227%71.277.9-6.6
12 Air Force3032710%62.280.1-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State425294
New Mexico434790
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.