PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UTEP vs Florida A&M Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 79-66
Projected total 145.2
Scheduled
Position#164
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game67.3
UTEP
USA
Vs
86%
14%
■ UTEP 86%■ FLOR 14%
Pythia win probability
Florida A&M
USA
Position#309
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UTEP v Florida A&M
15 Nov 2026
UTEP v FLOR
upcoming
24 Nov 2021
UTEP67
FLOR53
Sections
Game preview & prediction

UTEP hosts Florida A&M in the NCAA on 15 November 2026, and the Pythia model names UTEP the clear favourite, rating them 86% to win, largely because of their 2-1 record and a points-per-game advantage of 71.7 to 67.3, while Florida A&M sits at 1-3 with 77.8 points scored and 80.8 allowed. UTEP is undefeated at home, 2-0, averaging 69.5 points and allowing 59.0, and has won three of its last five games, including a 60-58 win over New Mexico State and a 79-60 victory over Incarnate Word, though they suffered a 76-84 loss to Northern Kentucky away. Florida A&M has struggled on the road, 1-1, with 88.0 points scored and 80.5 allowed, and has lost four of its last five, most recently 65-87 to UMKC, 64-92 to UAB and 70-75 to Fort Valley State. The only previous meeting was in 2021, when UTEP beat Florida A&M 67-53. Pythia projects a 79-66 score, a total of 145.2, with UTEP covering the -19.5 spread only 26% of the time and the over on the 144.0 line at 53%. The game has a 3% chance of overtime, and the last encounter saw UTEP dominate the field.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP win
85.8%fair 1.17
Best odds1.01
Implied91.9%
Edge-6.1pp
Florida A&M win
14.2%fair 7.06
Best odds11.50
Implied8.1%
Edge+6.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A02/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H09/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#292
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
36-31
26-28
38-45
25-35
38-32
26-34
41-43
39-49
26-48
35-25
43-46
29-32
32-32
38-42
38-42
46-29
33-31
28-28
32-30
139.7Avg total
68.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.767.3139.0+4.367%
Season at home (2)69.559.0128.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)68.271.5139.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)70.867.4138.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.173.5140.7-6.425%
vs Similar (2)70.062.0132.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)71.767.3139.0+4.367%
This opponent (Florida A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#232
W
112-69
112
69
+43
A03/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#79
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H06/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
L
64-92
64
92
-28
A10/11
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
36-32
32-33
50-38
30-17
36-42
34-31
47-46
33-34
37-26
37-43
33-30
54-27
58-42
34-28
36-47
27-47
37-45
21-51
44-36
148.2Avg total
75.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.880.8158.5-3.025%
Season at home (2)67.581.0148.5-13.50%
Season away (2)88.080.5168.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)75.672.6148.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)76.279.2155.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.575.2146.7-3.646%
vs Similar (9)75.175.6150.7-0.444%
vs Weaker (6)68.265.0133.2+3.267%
This opponent (UTEP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139
Over 139
64.8%
Under 139
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 144 · main line
Over 144
52.6%
@ 1.86+2.6pp
Under 144
47.4%
@ 1.86-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Over/Under 149
Over 149
40.1%
Under 149
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UTEP total 77.5
Over 77.5
54.9%
Under 77.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UTEP total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
38.9%
@ 1.84-11.3pp
Under 81.5
61.1%
@ 1.86+11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
UTEP total 85.5
Over 85.5
24.7%
Under 85.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida A&M total 58
Over 58
80.5%
Under 58
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida A&M total 62 · main line
Over 62
67.3%
@ 1.82+16.4pp
Under 62
32.7%
@ 1.88-16.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Florida A&M total 66
Over 66
51.3%
Under 66
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UTEP -22.5
UTEP -22.5
18.2%
FLOR +22.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
UTEP
No market prices yet.
FLOR
No market prices yet.
Spread UTEP -19.5 · main line
UTEP -19.5
25.8%
@ 1.89-23.5pp
FLOR +19.5
74.2%
@ 1.84+23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
UTEP
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
FLOR
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Spread UTEP -16.5
UTEP -16.5
35.0%
FLOR +16.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
UTEP
No market prices yet.
FLOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
UTEPFlorida A&M
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#292
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H13/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)31.835.166.9-3.327%37%
Last 30 at home (16)32.333.265.5-0.938%38%
Last 30 away (14)31.237.268.4-6.014%36%
Last 10 (10)32.533.566.0-1.020%30%
Last 5 (5)35.231.266.4+4.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)31.535.566.9-4.025%33%
vs Similar (2)28.530.559.0-2.050%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.333.070.3+4.333%67%
This opponent (Florida A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
30-17
30
17
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#232
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A03/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#79
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/11
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H11/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.057%40%
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.268.9+2.567%47%
Last 30 away (15)32.533.165.6-0.547%33%
Last 10 (10)34.234.268.4+0.050%50%
Last 5 (5)34.639.273.8-4.640%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.033.668.6+1.454%54%
vs Similar (9)33.635.769.2-2.156%44%
vs Weaker (6)33.329.863.2+3.550%17%
This opponent (UTEP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread UTEP -9.5 · main line
UTEP -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
FLOR +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 69 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
UTEP 1st half total 39 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
UTEP
no forecast
@ 1.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
FLOR
no forecast
@ 6.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Florida A&M +1973.4%1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.88		---+24.1pp
Florida A&M +2076.3%1.77
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77		---+23.9pp
Florida A&M +19.574.2%1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84
1xBet
1.84		---+23.5pp
Florida A&M +20.576.9%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.72		-----
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 2 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTEP wins
0
Florida A&M wins
DateGameScore
25/11/21UTEP v Florida A&M67-53
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNew Mexico State60-58
09/11/26HIncarnate Word79-60
02/11/26ANorthern Kentucky76-84
07/03/26HJacksonville State61-64
06/03/26HKennesaw State78-71
28/02/26AWestern Kentucky65-97
27/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.67-77
22/02/26ANew Mexico State63-67
14/02/26HLiberty64-73
12/02/26AJacksonville State69-64
Florida A&Mlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HUMKC65-87
10/11/26AUAB64-92
06/11/26HFort Valley State Wildcats70-75
03/11/26AFlorida State112-69
14/03/26HSouthern Univ.70-73
12/03/26HJackson State70-60
06/03/26HBethune-Cookman81-77
28/02/26AGrambling St.66-59
27/02/26ASouthern Univ.82-71
21/02/26HAlabama State76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game71.769.576.0
Allowed / game67.359.084.0
Point differential+4.3+10.5-8.0
Avg total139.0128.5160.0
Over 14433%0%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida A&M
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game77.867.588.0
Allowed / game80.881.080.5
Point differential-3.0-13.5+7.5
Avg total158.5148.5168.5
Over 144100%100%100%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.