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UTEP vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 61-64
29-32 32-32
Position#307
Record11-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#228
Record14-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTEP v Jacksonville State
07 Mar 2026
UTEP61
JACK64
23 Jan 2025
UTEP66
JACK73
01 Feb 2024
UTEP79
JACK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
32-33
27-25
43-30
33-36
33-34
32-39
40-33
33-33
36-31
26-28
38-45
25-35
38-32
26-34
41-43
39-49
26-48
35-25
43-46
142.3Avg total
69.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.672.7142.3-3.137%
Season at home (16)74.970.9145.8+3.956%
Season away (14)63.674.6138.2-11.114%
Last 10 (10)69.273.1142.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)67.477.0144.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)66.473.9140.2-7.524%
vs Similar (2)70.062.0132.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
36-35
33-28
38-38
37-22
40-36
33-33
31-36
29-32
41-47
20-39
51-38
26-36
52-46
25-25
36-36
34-27
44-54
33-24
35-44
146.4Avg total
73.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.368.6141.9+4.647%
Season at home (18)73.564.1137.6+9.456%
Season away (12)72.975.5148.4-2.633%
Last 10 (10)73.173.3146.4-0.230%
Last 5 (5)76.477.4153.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.065.5127.5-3.550%
vs Similar (19)72.072.2144.2-0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.064.6144.6+15.450%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
UTEPJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/03
NCAA
64.3Avg total
30.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.967.2-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.233.467.7+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)29.936.666.6-6.714%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.064.3-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.264.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)31.435.566.8-4.128%-
vs Similar (2)28.530.559.0-2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A19/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A06/03
NCAA
60.6Avg total
30.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.430.562.9+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.727.961.6+5.767%-
Last 30 away (12)30.634.264.8-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)30.130.560.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)27.630.257.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.034.560.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (19)31.630.962.5+0.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.129.265.4+6.950%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UTEP wins
2
Jacksonville State wins
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HKennesaw State78-71
28/02/26AWestern Kentucky65-97
27/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.67-77
22/02/26ANew Mexico State63-67
14/02/26HLiberty64-73
12/02/26AJacksonville State69-64
08/02/26HNew Mexico State91-88 OT
05/02/26ASam Houston St.66-70
01/02/26HDelaware70-55
29/01/26HLouisiana Tech59-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26ANew Mexico State75-77 OT
28/02/26HLiberty78-81
27/02/26HDelaware80-70 OT
21/02/26ASam Houston St.78-82
19/02/26ALouisiana Tech71-77
14/02/26HNew Mexico State70-79
12/02/26HUTEP64-69
08/02/26HKennesaw State77-58
06/02/26AWestern Kentucky71-66
31/01/26AMissouri State67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %37%56%14%
Points / game69.674.963.6
Allowed / game72.770.974.6
Point differential-3.1+3.9-11.1
Avg total142.3145.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %10%19%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game73.373.572.9
Allowed / game68.664.175.5
Point differential+4.6+9.4-2.6
Avg total141.9137.6148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3125681%78.570.2+8.3
2 Sam Houston St.31211068%83.074.4+8.5
3 Kennesaw State30181260%83.776.3+7.5
4 Louisiana Tech31181358%69.964.6+5.2
5 Western Kentucky31181358%79.075.5+3.5
6 Middle Tenn. St.30161453%75.772.9+2.8
7 New Mexico State29151452%75.872.2+3.6
8 Florida International31151648%80.978.0+2.9
9 Jacksonville State30141647%73.368.6+4.6
10 Missouri State30141647%75.773.9+1.8
11 UTEP30111937%69.672.7-3.1
12 Delaware31102132%67.774.0-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP293261
Jacksonville State323264
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