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UTRGV vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#212
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#89
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game61.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UTRGV v Stephen F. Austin
19 Dec 2026
UTRG v STEP
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
UTRG57
STEP66
05 Dec 2024
UTRG68
STEP65
04 Jan 2024
UTRG78
STEP85
11 Feb 2023
UTRG72
STEP82
05 Mar 2022
UTRG63
STEP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#515
W
120-61
120
61
+59
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#510
W
89-32
89
32
+57
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#294
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#208
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
42-44
23-31
50-46
42-16
35-40
28-26
48-42
32-39
28-19
25-42
34-34
62-26
58-35
46-17
43-15
35-29
41-42
30-39
42-33
144.7Avg total
78.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.861.2152.0+29.575%
Season at home (3)95.758.0153.7+37.767%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.965.8144.7+13.170%
Last 5 (5)84.464.2148.6+20.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)63.367.3130.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.365.8143.0+11.592%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +7.1+7.1
UTRGVStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
42-16
42
16
+26
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#515
W
62-26
62
26
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#510
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#294
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#208
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H14/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.2Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.166.6+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.729.867.4+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)37.228.265.4+9.192%-
Last 10 (10)36.229.966.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)31.331.763.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.929.466.4+7.580%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTRGV wins
9
Stephen F. Austin wins
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRice78-81 OT
12/11/26AAbilene Christian76-71
07/11/26HTexas Lutheran89-32
03/11/26HLyon120-61
11/03/26HMcNeese State59-76
10/03/26HTexas A&M-CC60-58
03/03/26AIncarnate Word76-68
28/02/26AHouston Christian77-56
24/02/26HNew Orleans73-77
21/02/26HNicholls State81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game90.895.776.0
Allowed / game61.258.071.0
Point differential+29.5+37.7+5.0
Avg total152.0153.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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