Vaerlose vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

Vaerlose and Bears Academy face off in the Basketligaen on 14 November 2026, a contest where neither side has a clear edge as both have struggled this season. Vaerlose finish 2-8, averaging 78.0 points while conceding 91.7, and are 0-4 at home, scoring 73.2 and allowing 93.8; their last five games include a 107-99 away win but four defeats, one of which was a 59-86 loss to Svendborg. Bears Academy are 1-9 overall, 78.8 points for and 92.6 against, and 1-5 on the road, 79.8 points for and 94.2 against; they have lost all five of their most recent outings, including a 85-90 loss to Gladsaxe. Historically Vaerlose have won seven of the ten meetings, though Bears Academy last beat them 91-70 on 28 April 2026. Pythia rates Bears Academy the favourite with a 54% chance of victory versus 46% for Vaerlose, projecting an 84-83 score and a total of 166.7 points. The home line is -1.5 with a 43% probability of covering, while the over line of 167.5 has a 47% chance, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Vaerlose can overturn their home slump and keep the margin within a point.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

45.7%fair 2.19

Best odds1.75

Implied53.3%

Edge-7.6pp

Bears Academy winWon

54.3%fair 1.84

Best odds2.30

Implied46.7%

Edge+7.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Gladsaxe

88-78

+10

78avg 74

A19/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

74-88

-14

58avg 74

A22/09

Basketligaen

Randers

85-89 OT

-4

62avg 74

H27/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-99

-20

74avg 74

A02/10

Basketligaen

Vejen

80-92

-12

70avg 74

A08/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

82-123

123

-41

71avg 74

H18/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

64-68

-4

55avg 74

H24/10

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#12

107-99 OT

107

101avg 74

A30/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

62-95

-33

no box

H04/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

59-86

-27

no box

A08/11

Basketligaen

24-23

18-11

17-28

29-16

20-16

19-23

14-24

21-25

16-13

20-23

14-25

23-12

25-20

16-26

21-21

17-32

20-25

25-19

18-28

17-20

23-31

18-25

19-33

22-34

10-11

14-29

19-17

21-11

23-25

25-24

17-17

24-23

22-16

8-21

14-27

18-31

16-26

15-24

17-18

11-18

169.7Avg total

78.0Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.0	91.7	169.7	-13.7	20%
Season at home (4)	73.2	93.8	167.0	-20.5	0%
Season away (6)	81.2	90.3	171.5	-9.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	91.7	169.7	-13.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	94.2	169.0	-19.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.1	95.1	167.3	-23.0	7%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	86.8	86.3	173.2	+0.5	69%
vs Weaker (3)	87.0	96.0	183.0	-9.0	33%

This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bears Academy Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAcademy

Date

Competition

BMS Herlev

#12

75-82

-7

61avg 75

H20/09

Basketligaen

Vejen

92-60

+32

91avg 75

A24/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

84-108

108

-24

61avg 75

H27/09

Basketligaen

Randers

73-117

117

-44

61avg 75

A03/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

67-88

-21

51avg 75

A10/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

66-78

-12

54avg 75

H17/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

82-97

-15

68avg 75

A23/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

80-113

113

-33

68avg 75

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-93

-9

no box

H04/11

Basketligaen

Gladsaxe

85-90

-5

no box

A07/11

Basketligaen

14-26

24-25

18-19

19-12

23-13

22-10

28-13

19-24

16-23

20-24

22-33

26-28

16-21

22-24

15-38

20-34

14-15

21-24

14-21

18-28

13-19

19-15

16-18

18-26

12-16

23-32

22-25

25-24

15-35

20-21

26-25

19-32

21-25

12-22

21-19

30-27

16-35

27-21

16-16

26-18

171.4Avg total

78.8Scored

92.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.8	92.6	171.4	-13.8	10%
Season at home (4)	77.2	90.2	167.5	-13.0	0%
Season away (6)	79.8	94.2	174.0	-14.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	92.6	171.4	-13.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	94.2	173.6	-14.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	76.8	103.2	180.0	-26.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	79.6	78.8	158.4	+0.8	40%
vs Weaker (16)	90.4	78.4	168.9	+12.0	75%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163

Over 163

58.2%

Under 163

41.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 168.25 · main lineActual: Under 168.25

Over 168.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 168.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173

Over 173

34.1%

Under 173

65.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Vaerlose total 81.5Actual: Vaerlose under 81.5

Over 81.5

54.4%

@ 1.52-6.9pp

Under 81.5

45.6%

@ 2.45+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.42

Under

Betano

2.45

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.24

Vaerlose total 85.5 · main lineActual: Vaerlose under 85.5

Over 85.5

39.1%

@ 1.91-8.9pp

Under 85.5

60.9%

@ 1.85+8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.80

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.65

Vaerlose total 89.5Actual: Vaerlose under 89.5

Over 89.5

25.6%

@ 2.65-9.4pp

Under 89.5

74.4%

@ 1.43+9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

1xBet

2.51

Under

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.35

Bears Academy total 79.5Actual: Bears Academy over 79.5

Over 79.5

66.5%

@ 1.47+3.9pp

Under 79.5

33.5%

@ 2.42-3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.37

Bears Academy total 83.5 · main lineActual: Bears Academy over 83.5

Over 83.5

51.5%

@ 1.93+1.5pp

Under 83.5

48.5%

@ 1.85-1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.72

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.72

Bears Academy total 87.5Actual: Bears Academy under 87.5

Over 87.5

36.3%

@ 2.60+0.2pp

Under 87.5

63.7%

@ 1.42-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Vaerlose -4.5Actual: Bears Academy +4.5

VAER -4.5

32.0%

@ 2.31-8.0pp

BEAR +4.5

68.0%

@ 1.74+8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

VAER

Pinnacle

2.31

1xBet

2.19

Betano

2.12

Bet365

2.00

BEAR

Bet365

1.74

Betano

1.62

Marathon Be

1.56

Pinnacle

1.54

1xBet

1.48

Spread Vaerlose -1.5 · main lineActual: Bears Academy +1.5

VAER -1.5

42.9%

@ 1.83-8.1pp

BEAR +1.5

57.1%

@ 2.12+8.1pp

Best 5 market prices

VAER

1xBet

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betfair

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

BEAR

Bet365

2.12

Betano

1.98

Pinnacle

1.90

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.89

Spread Vaerlose +1.5Actual: Bears Academy -1.5

VAER +1.5

48.6%

@ 1.66-7.4pp

BEAR -1.5

51.4%

@ 2.27+7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

VAER

Pinnacle

1.66

Bet365

1.64

Marathon Be

1.61

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.52

BEAR

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.12

Bet365

2.12

Marathon Be

2.12

Pinnacle

2.11

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseBears Academy

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-2.9	27%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.3	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.9	36%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	46%	54%
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	25.7	47.7	-3.7	0%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-4.1	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	16.0	22.8	38.8	-6.8	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.4	26.0	41.4	-10.6	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.0	24.8	40.8	-8.8	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	40%	60%
vs Weaker (16)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	56%	56%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	17.8	23.3	41.1	-5.5	17%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	13%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	23.1	41.7	-4.6	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.5	40.3	-4.7	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.6	40.6	-8.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.7	25.0	41.7	-8.3	7%	64%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.1	21.5	39.5	-3.4	15%	38%
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	67%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	23.9	43.2	-4.6	11%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.8	80%	60%
vs Weaker (16)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.9	44%	38%

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gladsaxe

42-34

A19/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

39-39

A22/09

Basketligaen

Randers

36-36

H27/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-46

-5

A02/10

Basketligaen

Vejen

45-44

A08/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

41-56

-15

H18/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

24-40

-16

H24/10

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#12

48-49

-1

A30/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

30-37

-7

H04/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-50

-19

A08/11

Basketligaen

80.8Avg total

37.7Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	38.3	45.9	84.2	-7.6	23%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	45.7	82.1	-9.4	20%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	46.1	86.3	-5.9	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	37.7	43.1	80.8	-5.4	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	34.8	46.4	81.2	-11.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.2	47.4	82.6	-12.2	0%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.4	43.5	83.9	-3.2	46%	46%
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	49.0	92.3	-5.7	33%	100%

This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BMS Herlev

#12

38-51

-13

H20/09

Basketligaen

Vejen

45-23

+22

A24/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-47

-11

H27/09

Basketligaen

Randers

38-45

-7

A03/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

35-39

-4

A10/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

32-34

-2

H17/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-48

-13

A23/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

35-56

-21

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

33-47

-14

H04/11

Basketligaen

Gladsaxe

43-56

-13

A07/11

Basketligaen

81.6Avg total

37.0Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.2	84.5	-1.8	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	43.3	82.6	-4.1	27%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.4	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	37.0	44.6	81.6	-7.6	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	35.6	48.2	83.8	-12.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.3	48.7	84.0	-13.3	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	60%	40%
vs Weaker (16)	43.6	41.1	84.6	+2.5	50%	56%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bears Academy win

VAER win

no forecast

@ 1.80

BEAR win

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Spread Vaerlose -0.5 · main lineActual: Bears Academy +0.5

VAER -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

BEAR +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Over 84.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Vaerlose 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Vaerlose over 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Bears Academy 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Bears Academy over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

1st half: VAER + total 84.5

VAER & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

VAER & under

no forecast

@ 3.50

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: BEAR + total 84.5

BEAR & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

BEAR & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 83Actual: Over 83

Over

no forecast

@ 1.74

Under

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Spread Vaerlose -1.5Actual: Bears Academy +1.5

VAER -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.02

BEAR +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half Spread Vaerlose +1Actual: Bears Academy -1

VAER +1

no forecast

@ 1.64

BEAR -1

no forecast

@ 2.16

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Vaerlose -2.5Actual: Bears Academy +2.5

VAER -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

BEAR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bears Academy (regulation)

VAER

no forecast

@ 1.83

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

BEAR

no forecast

@ 2.12

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.7	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	7%	73%
Last 10 (10)	17.0	23.8	40.8	-6.8	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	23.6	41.1	-6.2	14%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	38%	77%
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.0	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	53%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-0.9	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.4	25.9	47.3	-4.4	33%	78%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.4	21.2	36.6	-5.8	20%	20%
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.4	62%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	60%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	47%	67%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.6	22.9	41.6	-4.3	36%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.2	19.7	43.9	+4.5	77%	62%
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	33%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.8	44.1	+0.4	57%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.7	41.1	-0.4	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	22.9	47.1	+1.2	53%	73%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	25.3	47.3	-3.3	40%	90%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	25.4	49.0	-1.8	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	28.7	48.7	-8.7	22%	89%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	60%	40%
vs Weaker (16)	24.4	19.3	43.8	+5.1	75%	56%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	40.2	44.2	84.4	-4.0	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	44.0	84.9	-3.1	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	44.3	83.9	-4.8	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	46.0	83.3	-8.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.4	45.8	82.2	-9.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.1	46.6	82.6	-10.5	14%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	45.2	41.7	86.9	+3.5	69%	69%
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	43.7	81.3	-6.0	33%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	43.2	42.8	86.0	+0.4	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	40.9	82.5	+0.6	53%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	44.6	89.5	+0.3	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	48.0	89.8	-6.2	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	43.8	46.0	89.8	-2.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.4	54.6	96.0	-13.1	11%	78%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.6	38.8	73.4	-4.2	60%	0%
vs Weaker (16)	46.9	37.4	84.2	+9.5	75%	56%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

VAER win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

BEAR win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VAER leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (VAER:BEAR): VAER wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bears Academy +6	73.6%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Bears Academy +7	76.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Bears Academy +5	70.3%	1.68	Bet365 1.68	-	-	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Bears Academy +5.5	71.3%	1.52	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Bears Academy +6.5	74.4%	1.45	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.33	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Bears Academy +7.5	77.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Bears Academy +8.5	79.8%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Bears Academy +9.5	82.2%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Vaerlose under 89.5	74.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Vaerlose under 90.5	77.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Vaerlose under 91.5	80.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Vaerlose under 88.5	71.3%	1.44	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Vaerlose under 93.5	84.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Bears Academy +11.5	86.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Vaerlose under 95.5	88.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Vaerlose under 94.5	87.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Bears Academy +16.5	93.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Vaerlose under 97.5	92.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Bears Academy +21.5	97.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Vaerlose under 99.5	94.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Vaerlose +23.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Under 178.5	76.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 183.5	84.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Bears Academy over 73.5	84.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 193.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Bears Academy under 98.5	91.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Bears Academy over 72.5	86.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Bears Academy over 70.5	90.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Bears Academy over 74.5	81.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Bears Academy under 94.5	84.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Under 188.5	90.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Vaerlose +18.5	92.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Bears Academy over 77.5	73.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Bears Academy under 96.5	88.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Bears Academy over 76.5	76.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Bears Academy under 92.5	79.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Bears Academy under 93.5	82.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Bears Academy under 90.5	73.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 143.5	91.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Bears Academy under 89.5	70.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Vaerlose +13.5	85.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Vaerlose over 71.5	86.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Over 148.5	86.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Vaerlose over 74.5	78.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Vaerlose over 73.5	81.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Over 153.5	78.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Vaerlose +8.5	73.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Lost
Vaerlose over 75.5	75.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.3	53.8%	55.2%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	8.5	29.6%	31.2%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.7	13.7	63.1%	68.0%	13.7

They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 79.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	16.6	48.7%	55.2%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.8	11.3	29.9%	31.2%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	20.7	12.8	61.8%	68.0%	12.8

They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.1	57.0%	55.2%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.4	36.7%	31.2%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.9	16.6	66.7%	68.0%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	24.5	54.1%	55.2%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	31.2%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.3	70.4%	68.0%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.4	53.9%	55.2%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.0	32.2%	31.2%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	25.1	16.8	67.2%	68.0%	16.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	55.2%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.8	11.0	32.5%	31.2%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.3	70.2%	68.0%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.4	56.7%	55.2%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.5	35.0%	31.2%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.0	70.8%	68.0%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	23.5	54.0%	55.2%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.9	34.1%	31.2%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	20.5	13.8	67.6%	68.0%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LLWLLLLLLW

Bears Academy

LLLLLLLLWL

#11

League position

#10

-9.7

Net rating

-9.7

86.1

Offensive rating

82.3

95.7

Defensive rating

92.0

49.9%

Effective FG%

46.7%

56.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.6%

17.7%

Turnover %

18.0%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.29

29.6%

3-point %

29.9%

61.7%

Assist %

68.8%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Bears Academy

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Bears Academy wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/26	Vaerlose v Bears Academy	70-91
31/03/26	Bears Academy v Vaerlose	75-61
21/03/26	Vaerlose v Bears Academy	85-80
22/11/25	Vaerlose v Bears Academy	95-87
12/10/25	Bears Academy v Vaerlose	72-91
12/04/25	Vaerlose v Bears Academy	104-93
12/03/25	Bears Academy v Vaerlose	73-72
21/12/24	Bears Academy v Vaerlose	70-80
24/09/24	Vaerlose v Bears Academy	91-82
17/02/24	Bears Academy v Vaerlose	61-72

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Svendborg	59-86
04/11/26	H	Team FOG Naestved	62-95
30/10/26	A	BMS Herlev	107-99 OT
24/10/26	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	64-68
18/10/26	H	Bakken Bears	82-123
08/10/26	A	Vejen	80-92
02/10/26	A	Horsens	79-99
27/09/26	H	Randers	85-89 OT
22/09/26	A	Copenhagen	74-88
19/09/26	A	Gladsaxe	88-78

Bears Academylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Gladsaxe	85-90
04/11/26	H	Horsens	84-93
28/10/26	A	Team FOG Naestved	80-113
23/10/26	A	Svendborg	82-97
17/10/26	H	Copenhagen	66-78
10/10/26	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	67-88
03/10/26	A	Randers	73-117
27/09/26	H	Bakken Bears	84-108
24/09/26	A	Vejen	92-60
20/09/26	H	BMS Herlev	75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Points / game	78.0	73.2	81.2
Allowed / game	91.7	93.8	90.3
Point differential	-13.7	-20.5	-9.2
Avg total	169.7	167.0	171.5
Over 168.25	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	10%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	20%	25%	17%

Bears Academy

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	10%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	10%	0%	17%
Points / game	78.8	77.2	79.8
Allowed / game	92.6	90.2	94.2
Point differential	-13.8	-13.0	-14.3
Avg total	171.4	167.5	174.0
Over 168.25	60%	50%	67%
Win by 10+	10%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	11	10	1	91%	99.0	72.6	+26.4
2	Bakken Bears	9	8	1	89%	104.7	74.9	+29.8
3	Horsens	10	8	2	80%	89.2	77.6	+11.6
4	Svendborg	10	8	2	80%	90.6	79.7	+10.9
5	Randers	10	7	3	70%	95.6	86.0	+9.6
6	Copenhagen	10	5	5	50%	83.0	82.3	+0.7
7	Holbaek-Stenhus	11	5	6	45%	78.2	86.2	-8.0
8	Gladsaxe	10	3	7	30%	79.4	88.9	-9.5
9	Vejen	10	3	7	30%	78.9	96.8	-17.9
10	Vaerlose	10	2	8	20%	78.0	91.7	-13.7
11	Bears Academy	10	1	9	10%	78.8	92.6	-13.8
12	BMS Herlev	11	1	10	9%	74.4	97.0	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	16	28	16	16	76
Bears Academy	25	27	15	19	86

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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