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Vaerlose vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-78
23-19 16-19 19-22 27-18
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game84.3
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
vs
Bears Academy
Denmark
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bears Academy
14 Nov 2026
VAER v BEAR
upcoming
28 Apr 2026
VAER70
BEAR91
21 Mar 2026
VAER85
BEAR80
22 Nov 2025
VAER95
BEAR87
12 Apr 2025
VAER104
BEAR93
24 Sep 2024
VAER91
BEAR82
07 Oct 2023
VAER85
BEAR78
02 Apr 2023
VAER77
BEAR74
07 Feb 2023
VAER84
BEAR81
17 Dec 2021
VAER73
BEAR74
12 Dec 2021
VAER75
BEAR68
14 Mar 2021
VAER105
BEAR87
18 Oct 2020
VAER82
BEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bears Academy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
no box
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 78
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 78
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 78
A28/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
16-11
27-15
18-17
19-27
20-27
21-21
27-17
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
162.8Avg total
83.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.784.3171.0+2.367%
Season at home (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)92.091.5183.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.978.9162.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)81.685.2166.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.391.8168.2-15.517%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.981.3158.2-4.438%
vs Weaker (10)85.976.0161.9+9.960%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
no box
A07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
96-63
96
63
+33
no box
H15/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
no box
H18/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A24/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A02/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H04/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A15/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 71
A16/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
84avg 71
H20/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
44avg 71
A23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
15-21
19-24
20-17
20-7
23-22
25-17
28-17
14-19
21-24
12-20
11-12
15-16
19-10
19-22
17-25
17-21
19-17
26-28
12-11
17-17
17-19
30-21
31-23
17-16
20-23
19-17
23-30
24-17
23-23
21-17
22-15
21-32
17-33
21-8
23-23
13-31
20-15
20-24
12-23
158.6Avg total
78.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.087.0166.0-8.033%
Season at home (1)82.096.0178.0-14.00%
Season away (2)77.582.5160.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)78.280.4158.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.691.2165.8-16.59%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.975.1146.0-4.225%
vs Weaker (10)80.273.3153.5+6.960%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
VaerloseBears Academy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
81.9Avg total
42.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.378.6-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.541.281.6-0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)36.539.776.2-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.481.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.247.385.5-9.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.439.877.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (10)41.835.777.5+6.180%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A24/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A02/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-65
38
65
-27
H20/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A23/09
Basketligaen
78.1Avg total
37.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.740.878.5-3.134%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.139.475.5-3.338%-
Last 30 away (16)39.042.081.0-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.078.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.283.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.747.785.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.438.074.4-1.638%-
vs Weaker (10)38.735.574.2+3.270%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.7
50.4%
51.8%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.3
36.2%
31.7%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.8%
67.0%15.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.0
55.2%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.3
26.4%
31.7%19.0
🏀 Free throws21.012.7
60.3%
67.0%12.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWLLLWWWLW
Bears Academy
LLWLWLLLWL
#7
League position
#8
+2.0
Net rating
-10.6
104.1
Offensive rating
94.8
102.1
Defensive rating
105.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
24.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
26.4%
51.6%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 94.8Defence102.1 · 105.3Shooting51.7% · 49.5%3-point %36.2% · 26.4%Ball care20.7% · 24.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 33.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bears Academy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vaerlose wins
2
Bears Academy wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Vaerlose v Bears Academy77-74
05/03/23Bears Academy v Vaerlose58-69
07/02/23Vaerlose v Bears Academy84-81
19/11/22Bears Academy v Vaerlose74-69
17/12/21Vaerlose v Bears Academy73-74
12/12/21Vaerlose v Bears Academy75-68
02/10/21Bears Academy v Vaerlose71-84
14/03/21Vaerlose v Bears Academy105-87
13/12/20Bears Academy v Vaerlose73-74
18/10/20Vaerlose v Bears Academy82-77
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AAmager102-83
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
30/03/23HAmager87-92
11/03/23AHolbaek-Stenhus84-62
Bears Academylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23ASvendborg65-93
20/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved82-96
16/09/23AAmager90-72
15/04/23ACopenhagen79-86
04/04/23HAmager95-80
02/04/23AVaerlose74-77
24/03/23AHolbaek-Stenhus70-73
18/03/23HCopenhagen58-75
15/03/23HHolbaek-Stenhus96-63
07/03/23AAmager73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.776.092.0
Allowed / game84.370.091.5
Point differential+2.3+6.0+0.5
Avg total171.0146.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.082.077.5
Allowed / game87.096.082.5
Point differential-8.0-14.0-5.0
Avg total166.0178.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%97.873.8+24.0
2 Svendborg440100%83.268.8+14.5
3 Bakken Bears330100%90.383.3+7.0
4 Vaerlose32167%86.784.3+2.3
5 Horsens42250%86.578.5+8.0
6 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
7 Herlev Wolfpack31233%58.086.7-28.7
8 Randers41325%93.584.8+8.8
9 Copenhagen51420%80.284.8-4.6
10 Amager3030%74.389.0-14.7
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%59.595.5-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2316192785
Bears Academy1919221878
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