Vaerlose vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 79-91

18-17 19-27 19-22 23-25

Position#7

Record8-13

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game82.3

Vaerlose

Copenhagen 🏆

Position#5

Record7-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game91.6

Basketligaen

Other2022-23

Meetings · Vaerlose v Copenhagen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Copenhagen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

73-87

-14

A15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

45-101

101

-56

A17/12

Denmark Cup

Randers

71-85

-14

H20/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-83

-8

A29/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-90 OT

-3

H11/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

63-90

-27

A22/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

84-62

+22

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

84-81

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

90-68

+22

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-58

+11

A05/03

Basketligaen

17-22

22-15

20-26

14-24

11-22

3-29

25-17

6-33

19-23

23-18

13-14

16-30

18-24

22-18

22-17

13-24

12-25

7-9

26-23

32-20

13-22

20-20

16-26

14-22

22-20

14-9

25-17

23-16

21-21

16-17

26-26

21-17

29-22

26-17

17-17

18-12

19-15

19-9

25-17

6-17

154.6Avg total

74.1Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.1	82.3	161.4	-3.2	38%
Season at home (10)	83.3	82.8	166.1	+0.5	50%
Season away (11)	75.3	81.9	157.2	-6.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	80.5	154.6	-6.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	71.8	149.8	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	80.0	90.4	170.4	-10.4	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	78.6	82.1	160.7	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker (10)	83.8	78.1	161.9	+5.7	70%

This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Copenhagen Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

86-79

H16/12

Denmark Cup

Amager

#10

92-106

106

-14

A21/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

77-66

+11

H03/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

80-107

107

-27

H07/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

90-87 OT

A11/01

Basketligaen

Randers

71-80

-9

H14/01

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

86-97

-11

A21/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

75-68

H27/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

69-93

-24

A16/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

92-59

+33

H04/03

Basketligaen

35-17

22-17

19-19

10-26

29-15

26-30

21-21

16-40

33-20

20-17

4-18

20-11

23-23

18-19

20-32

19-33

25-12

9-7

23-26

20-32

21-22

20-17

19-18

11-23

18-19

24-27

17-28

27-23

17-21

22-15

16-20

20-12

16-28

21-21

15-21

17-23

28-22

22-11

18-13

24-13

166.0Avg total

81.8Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.8	91.6	174.4	-8.8	33%
Season at home (11)	83.7	89.2	172.9	-5.5	45%
Season away (10)	81.8	94.3	176.1	-12.5	20%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	84.2	166.0	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	79.4	158.0	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.0	102.3	181.3	-23.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.7	82.5	165.2	+0.2	60%
vs Weaker (9)	91.6	86.1	177.7	+5.4	56%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseCopenhagen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.3	39.8	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.1	37.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	23.0	40.9	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.6	42.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	19.9	44.4	+4.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.7	23.7	41.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.9	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.5	39.1	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.1	33.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	14.4	33.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	25.3	45.9	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.1	19.2	39.2	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.7	15.1	35.8	+5.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	20.2	42.7	+2.2	67%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

39-37

A15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

14-51

-37

A17/12

Denmark Cup

Randers

42-41

H20/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-42

-2

A29/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

19-34

-15

H11/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

33-42

-9

A22/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

36-29

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

37-38

-1

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

55-39

+16

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-24

+14

A05/03

Basketligaen

73.0Avg total

35.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	40.1	81.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	41.6	76.9	-6.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	37.7	73.0	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	48.3	86.7	-9.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	80%	-

This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

57-34

+23

H16/12

Denmark Cup

Amager

#10

55-45

+10

A21/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

53-37

+16

H03/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-42

-1

H07/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

34-19

+15

A11/01

Basketligaen

Randers

41-39

H14/01

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

42-46

-4

A21/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

39-36

H27/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-49

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

50-33

+17

H04/03

Basketligaen

82.9Avg total

44.9Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.1	85.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	42.6	86.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	43.6	84.8	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	38.0	82.9	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.6	82.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.5	47.2	84.7	-9.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.1	40.1	82.2	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	47.9	42.8	90.7	+5.1	67%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	20.9	40.1	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	24.3	44.2	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	24.3	43.9	-4.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	29.7	49.9	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.3	40.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.5	37.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	25.4	46.7	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.3	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.2	81.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	40.0	81.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.4	81.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	41.5	79.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.6	39.1	78.7	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	42.2	83.3	-1.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	46.4	87.1	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	44.7	83.9	-5.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	48.4	90.8	-6.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	45.2	80.8	-9.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	38.8	75.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.5	55.1	96.6	-13.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.4	40.7	79.1	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.7	43.3	87.0	+0.3	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Copenhagen wins

Date	Game	Score
11/01/23	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	87-90 OT
21/10/22	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	91-89 OT
22/04/22	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	96-86
17/04/22	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	73-77
08/03/22	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	92-78
04/12/21	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	84-79
24/09/21	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	100-84
09/02/21	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	77-75 OT
26/01/21	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	70-89
23/10/20	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	87-72

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	A	Bears Academy	69-58
16/02/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	90-68
07/02/23	H	Bears Academy	84-81
03/02/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	84-62
22/01/23	A	Horsens	63-90
11/01/23	H	Copenhagen	87-90 OT
29/12/22	A	Svendborg	75-83
20/12/22	H	Randers	71-85
17/12/22	A	Bakken Bears	45-101
15/12/22	A	Amager	73-87

Copenhagenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	92-59
16/02/23	A	Bakken Bears	69-93
27/01/23	H	Bears Academy	75-68
21/01/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	86-97
14/01/23	H	Randers	71-80
11/01/23	A	Vaerlose	90-87 OT
07/01/23	H	Svendborg	80-107
03/01/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	77-66
21/12/22	A	Amager	92-106
16/12/22	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	38%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LLLWW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	38%	50%	27%
Points / game	79.1	83.3	75.3
Allowed / game	82.3	82.8	81.9
Point differential	-3.2	+0.5	-6.6
Avg total	161.4	166.1	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	20%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	10%	9%

Copenhagen

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	33%
Home	LWLWW	45%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	33%	45%	20%
Points / game	82.8	83.7	81.8
Allowed / game	91.6	89.2	94.3
Point differential	-8.8	-5.5	-12.5
Avg total	174.4	172.9	176.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Randers	22	19	3	86%	89.9	75.2	+14.7
2	Bakken Bears	21	17	4	81%	95.2	76.6	+18.6
3	Team FOG Naestved	21	16	5	76%	98.3	84.6	+13.7
4	Horsens	22	15	7	68%	86.3	81.0	+5.3
5	Svendborg	22	12	10	55%	88.4	84.8	+3.6
6	Herlev Wolfpack	22	11	11	50%	77.6	81.3	-3.7
7	Vaerlose	21	8	13	38%	79.1	82.3	-3.2
8	Copenhagen	21	7	14	33%	82.8	91.6	-8.8
9	Bears Academy	22	7	15	32%	73.7	80.5	-6.9
10	Amager	21	5	16	24%	81.0	94.5	-13.5
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	21	1	20	5%	69.8	90.3	-20.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	18	19	19	23	79
Copenhagen	17	27	22	25	91

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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