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Vaerlose vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-75
16-22 19-20 21-17 20-16
Position#6
Record8-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#7
Record10-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game83.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Copenhagen
19 Nov 2026
VAER v COPE
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
VAER76
COPE75
10 Dec 2024
VAER79
COPE74
23 Sep 2023
VAER76
COPE70
07 Mar 2023
VAER79
COPE91
11 Jan 2023
VAER87
COPE90
22 Apr 2022
VAER96
COPE86
17 Apr 2022
VAER73
COPE77
24 Sep 2021
VAER100
COPE84
09 Feb 2021
VAER77
COPE75
23 Oct 2020
VAER87
COPE72
08 Dec 2019
VAER88
COPE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Copenhagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 69
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 69
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 69
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 69
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 69
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 69
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 69
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 69
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 69
A03/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-20
27-25
14-15
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
165.0Avg total
77.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.388.4164.8-12.150%
Season at home (8)77.588.2165.8-10.850%
Season away (8)75.188.6163.8-13.550%
Last 10 (10)77.787.3165.0-9.650%
Last 5 (5)75.095.6170.6-20.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.397.3168.7-26.07%
vs Similar (14)85.482.5167.9+2.971%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
91-106
91
106
-15
75avg 75
H29/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-74
100
74
+26
96avg 75
H01/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 75
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
58avg 75
H14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
82avg 75
H19/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
83avg 75
A23/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 75
H12/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 75
A18/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
92-97
92
97
-5
91avg 75
A27/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
68-75
68
75
-7
56avg 75
H03/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
15-32
22-20
31-26
24-15
22-17
25-17
29-25
19-25
18-15
21-13
16-20
16-19
19-10
19-16
19-25
19-26
25-25
22-17
25-20
27-8
17-29
23-31
21-17
27-20
24-15
21-16
19-22
22-11
29-27
21-20
24-14
27-31
16-16
23-23
26-27
23-17
12-21
17-15
16-22
167.7Avg total
86.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.983.6171.6+4.362%
Season at home (8)89.180.0169.1+9.175%
Season away (8)86.887.2174.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.481.3167.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.4167.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.893.2172.0-14.316%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.574.0168.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
VaerloseCopenhagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
37.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.686.1-7.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.546.387.8-4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.646.984.5-9.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.845.082.8-7.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.048.085.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.450.985.3-16.50%-
vs Similar (14)44.742.487.1+2.471%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H29/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H01/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H12/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A18/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A27/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/01
Basketligaen
83.1Avg total
42.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.885.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.140.484.5+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.486.4-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.783.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.083.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.246.685.8-7.526%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.536.184.6+12.582%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.7
49.5%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.015.6
65.0%
70.1%15.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.6
31.8%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.814.3
65.6%
70.1%14.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLLWWWWLW
Copenhagen
LLWWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#7
-15.3
Net rating
+2.5
88.3
Offensive rating
104.5
103.6
Defensive rating
102.0
47.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
25.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
31.8%
59.2%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 104.5Defence103.6 · 102.0Shooting47.8% · 51.3%3-point %30.1% · 31.8%Ball care25.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds23.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Copenhagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Copenhagen wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-73
01/02/25Copenhagen v Vaerlose86-61
10/12/24Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-74
17/12/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose85-84
23/09/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen76-70
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
29/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-83
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HHorsens68-75
27/12/25ARanders92-97
18/12/25ABMS Herlev96-72
12/12/25HVaerlose91-73
23/11/25AVejen88-85
19/11/25HHolbaek-Stenhus91-88
14/11/25HRanders73-70
04/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus74-73
01/11/25HVejen100-74
29/10/25HTeam FOG Naestved91-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.377.575.1
Allowed / game88.488.288.6
Point differential-12.1-10.8-13.5
Avg total164.8165.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game87.989.186.8
Allowed / game83.680.087.2
Point differential+4.3+9.1-0.5
Avg total171.6169.1174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1514193%104.174.7+29.4
2 Team FOG Naestved1513287%108.683.7+24.9
3 Horsens1714382%86.373.5+12.8
4 Randers1713476%94.283.0+11.2
5 Svendborg1612475%93.978.4+15.4
6 Copenhagen1610662%87.983.6+4.3
7 Vaerlose168850%76.388.4-12.1
8 BMS Herlev1541127%80.792.0-11.3
9 Bears Academy1741324%78.696.9-18.2
10 Amager1721512%79.598.5-19.0
11 Holbaek-Stenhus151147%77.792.5-14.8
12 Vejen161156%73.793.7-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1619212076
Copenhagen2220171675
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