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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-63
22-13 20-20 26-16 22-14
Position#4
Record12-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.9
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.6
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2022-23
Meetings · Horsens v Vaerlose
02 Oct 2026
HORS99
VAER79
02 Nov 2025
HORS98
VAER72
01 Dec 2024
HORS95
VAER64
14 Nov 2024
HORS95
VAER59
28 Mar 2024
HORS70
VAER78
29 Oct 2023
HORS88
VAER56
22 Jan 2023
HORS90
VAER63
16 Jan 2022
HORS95
VAER92
11 Oct 2020
HORS96
VAER88
24 Nov 2019
HORS95
VAER85
22 Dec 2018
HORS85
VAER65
05 Feb 2015
HORS107
VAER78
06 Feb 2014
HORS92
VAER83
26 Jan 2014
HORS103
VAER89
13 Dec 2012
HORS89
VAER77
15 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER79
27 Nov 2011
HORS80
VAER73
26 Sep 2010
HORS70
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H17/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H27/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H21/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H27/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A05/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H12/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A15/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-26
18-22
16-17
19-19
24-19
30-22
28-22
17-28
21-19
20-18
30-19
13-23
32-32
25-17
21-16
19-12
22-23
25-12
14-16
17-23
25-19
23-24
22-23
24-21
22-23
28-19
18-18
24-22
19-16
25-33
22-27
23-25
16-13
20-20
25-21
12-32
22-12
14-23
20-17
169.5Avg total
86.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.878.9165.7+7.975%
Season at home (8)86.975.0161.9+11.975%
Season away (8)86.882.8169.5+4.075%
Last 10 (10)86.283.3169.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)84.286.2170.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.588.0173.5-2.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.685.8173.4+1.858%
vs Weaker (11)89.473.8163.2+15.5100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A19/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A27/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H01/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-109
88
109
-21
H07/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A09/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-101
45
101
-56
A17/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H20/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A29/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H11/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
20-15
24-14
13-20
11-17
22-11
25-18
27-29
14-20
27-17
15-29
15-19
21-27
23-33
21-26
23-23
14-24
18-33
22-28
24-23
17-22
22-15
20-26
14-24
11-22
3-29
25-17
6-33
19-23
23-18
13-14
16-30
18-24
22-18
22-17
13-24
12-25
7-9
26-23
32-20
163.9Avg total
74.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.485.6165.1-6.225%
Season at home (8)82.484.9167.2-2.538%
Season away (8)76.586.4162.9-9.912%
Last 10 (10)74.289.7163.9-15.510%
Last 5 (5)70.289.2159.4-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.794.3176.0-12.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.884.0164.8-3.222%
vs Weaker (9)84.782.1166.8+2.667%
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -6.2-6.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -6.2-6.2
HorsensVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H17/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/01
Denmark Cup
84.5Avg total
41.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.537.783.2+7.787%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.986.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.784.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.282.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.341.286.5+4.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.941.387.2+4.667%-
vs Weaker (11)44.038.582.5+5.573%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A27/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H07/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A09/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
14-51
14
51
-37
A17/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H11/01
Basketligaen
76.3Avg total
33.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.382.5-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.341.082.3+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)37.445.282.6-7.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.642.776.3-9.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.071.8-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.548.588.9-8.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.143.381.4-5.233%-
vs Weaker (9)41.636.077.6+5.667%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Horsens wins
0
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
04/11/22Vaerlose v Horsens82-87
16/01/22Horsens v Vaerlose95-92
22/10/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-89
03/01/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-100
11/10/20Horsens v Vaerlose96-88
24/11/19Horsens v Vaerlose95-85
27/09/19Vaerlose v Horsens73-93
16/01/19Vaerlose v Horsens94-101
22/12/18Horsens v Vaerlose85-65
05/02/15Horsens v Vaerlose107-78
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23ABakken Bears68-84
12/01/23HHolbaek-Stenhus84-79
05/01/23ATeam FOG Naestved90-98
30/12/22AHerlev Wolfpack92-81
27/12/22HBakken Bears87-89
21/12/22HBears Academy80-63
10/12/22ACopenhagen91-88
30/11/22ASvendborg88-84
27/11/22HAmager101-82
17/11/22HRanders81-85
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HCopenhagen87-90 OT
29/12/22ASvendborg75-83
20/12/22HRanders71-85
17/12/22ABakken Bears45-101
15/12/22AAmager73-87
09/12/22ABakken Bears78-108
07/12/22HTeam FOG Naestved88-109
01/12/22HHerlev Wolfpack71-85
27/11/22AHolbaek-Stenhus85-75
19/11/22ABears Academy69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.886.986.8
Allowed / game78.975.082.8
Point differential+7.9+11.9+4.0
Avg total165.7161.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game79.482.476.5
Allowed / game85.684.986.4
Point differential-6.2-2.5-9.9
Avg total165.1167.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1714382%99.485.4+13.9
2 Randers1714382%91.177.5+13.5
3 Bakken Bears1613381%97.676.4+21.2
4 Horsens1612475%86.878.9+7.9
5 Herlev Wolfpack1711665%80.679.2+1.4
6 Svendborg178947%87.285.1+2.1
7 Bears Academy1871139%74.580.8-6.3
8 Copenhagen1851328%83.594.7-11.2
9 Vaerlose1641225%79.485.6-6.2
10 Amager1741324%80.295.1-14.9
11 Holbaek-Stenhus171166%70.189.3-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2220262290
Vaerlose1320161463
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