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Vaerlose vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-74
17-17 24-22 24-17 14-18
Position#10
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#8
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game85.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Copenhagen
19 Nov 2026
VAER v COPE
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
VAER76
COPE75
10 Dec 2024
VAER79
COPE74
23 Sep 2023
VAER76
COPE70
07 Mar 2023
VAER79
COPE91
11 Jan 2023
VAER87
COPE90
22 Apr 2022
VAER96
COPE86
17 Apr 2022
VAER73
COPE77
24 Sep 2021
VAER100
COPE84
09 Feb 2021
VAER77
COPE75
23 Oct 2020
VAER87
COPE72
08 Dec 2019
VAER88
COPE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Copenhagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 71
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 71
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 71
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 71
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
164.9Avg total
75.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.490.4164.8-16.010%
Season at home (5)77.485.8163.2-8.420%
Season away (5)71.495.0166.4-23.60%
Last 10 (10)75.289.7164.9-14.510%
Last 5 (5)75.889.0164.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.693.1169.7-16.514%
vs Similar (4)80.579.8160.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (3)90.381.7172.0+8.7100%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
80avg 75
H04/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 75
H11/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 75
A18/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 75
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
48avg 75
A30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
72avg 75
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 75
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
94avg 75
A07/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
25-21
11-29
24-17
20-24
23-21
20-29
29-22
19-12
15-28
20-15
24-33
23-27
24-26
23-18
16-18
23-16
20-21
18-18
21-22
14-25
14-26
19-25
16-12
22-28
24-15
23-23
18-24
21-25
15-10
16-20
21-20
26-19
24-20
21-24
20-15
15-12
25-16
19-14
37-17
166.0Avg total
83.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.485.3168.7-1.930%
Season at home (6)85.786.2171.8-0.533%
Season away (4)80.084.0164.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)83.282.8166.0+0.430%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.488.1165.5-10.80%
vs Similar (6)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.575.6162.1+10.993%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
VaerloseCopenhagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
78.3Avg total
36.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.482.5-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.343.585.8-1.225%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.278.7-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.878.3-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.043.581.6-5.523%-
vs Similar (4)40.837.878.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)49.342.391.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H11/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A18/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A07/12
Basketligaen
82.9Avg total
41.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.083.6-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.141.785.8+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.481.1-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.382.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.245.884.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (6)43.846.790.5-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.738.781.4+4.180%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.0
52.3%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.3
26.0%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
70.2%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.2
50.5%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
32.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
70.2%13.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWLLLLLL
Copenhagen
WWLLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#8
-20.8
Net rating
-0.3
92.9
Offensive rating
106.3
113.6
Defensive rating
106.5
46.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
23.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.0%
3-point %
35.9%
64.3%
Assist %
56.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 106.3Defence113.6 · 106.5Shooting46.5% · 51.9%3-point %26.0% · 35.9%Ball care23.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Copenhagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Copenhagen wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose85-84
23/09/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen76-70
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
22/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen96-86
17/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen73-77
08/03/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose92-78
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ABears Academy96-59
05/12/24HAmager91-78
17/11/24AVejen73-75
14/11/24HRanders87-90
30/10/24ASvendborg63-88
25/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack82-77
18/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus86-89
11/10/24HHorsens78-88
04/10/24HBakken Bears92-96
28/09/24HTeam FOG Naestved84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game74.477.471.4
Allowed / game90.485.895.0
Point differential-16.0-8.4-23.6
Avg total164.8163.2166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW30%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game83.485.780.0
Allowed / game85.386.284.0
Point differential-1.9-0.5-4.0
Avg total168.7171.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved11110100%98.487.6+10.7
2 Svendborg1110191%87.471.8+15.5
3 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
4 Horsens107370%85.078.2+6.8
5 Randers117464%91.580.7+10.8
6 Herlev Wolfpack114736%78.885.1-6.3
7 Copenhagen103730%83.485.3-1.9
8 Holbaek-Stenhus103730%81.693.2-11.6
9 Amager113827%85.191.3-6.2
10 Bears Academy112918%75.287.8-12.6
11 Vaerlose101910%74.490.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1724241479
Copenhagen1722171874
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