PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vaerlose vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-70
15-17 29-18 20-23 12-12
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game100.0
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
vs
Copenhagen
Denmark
Position#4
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game83.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Copenhagen
19 Nov 2026
VAER v COPE
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
VAER76
COPE75
10 Dec 2024
VAER79
COPE74
23 Sep 2023
VAER76
COPE70
07 Mar 2023
VAER79
COPE91
11 Jan 2023
VAER87
COPE90
22 Apr 2022
VAER96
COPE86
17 Apr 2022
VAER73
COPE77
24 Sep 2021
VAER100
COPE84
09 Feb 2021
VAER77
COPE75
23 Oct 2020
VAER87
COPE72
08 Dec 2019
VAER88
COPE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Copenhagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
no box
A05/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
no box
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 70
A14/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-9
25-17
6-17
18-17
19-27
19-22
23-25
23-19
16-11
27-15
18-17
19-27
20-27
21-21
27-17
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
159.4Avg total
80.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.0100.0182.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.0100.0182.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.978.5159.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.681.6164.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.792.7170.3-15.017%
vs Similar (13)76.981.3158.2-4.438%
vs Weaker (10)85.574.9160.4+10.660%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A07/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
75-58
75
58
+17
no box
A18/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H04/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
68avg 60
A15/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 60
H19/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
27-19
22-19
25-23
25-21
20-22
28-25
21-18
19-14
24-21
20-12
12-11
27-19
9-18
15-17
22-11
20-27
20-28
14-6
21-18
26-14
21-21
15-23
22-24
16-17
23-20
17-19
30-23
25-17
19-17
20-15
23-20
17-27
22-26
19-23
22-17
24-15
12-18
12-18
19-22
157.5Avg total
81.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)67.073.0140.0-6.00%
Season away (1)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.276.3157.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)80.879.2160.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.9101.5179.4-23.60%
vs Similar (11)79.576.0155.5+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.881.5169.3+6.370%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
VaerloseCopenhagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A05/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
79.5Avg total
40.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.178.3-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.581.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.839.875.5-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.879.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.848.786.5-10.817%-
vs Similar (13)37.439.877.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (10)41.834.276.0+7.680%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H04/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/09
Basketligaen
81.2Avg total
41.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.982.6+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.540.983.4+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.640.881.5-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.981.2+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.479.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.447.484.8-10.012%-
vs Similar (11)39.837.577.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.740.085.7+5.770%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.024.0
48.0%
51.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.0
30.4%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
67.0%11.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.519.0
43.7%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.5
29.3%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.59.0
58.1%
67.0%9.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWWWLWLW
Copenhagen
LLWWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#4
-24.4
Net rating
-13.5
97.7
Offensive rating
93.0
122.1
Defensive rating
106.4
47.3%
Effective FG%
43.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.4%
3-point %
29.3%
54.8%
Assist %
45.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 93.0Defence122.1 · 106.4Shooting47.3% · 43.8%3-point %30.4% · 29.3%Ball care15.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds24.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Copenhagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Copenhagen wins
DateGameScore
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
22/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen96-86
17/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen73-77
08/03/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose92-78
04/12/21Copenhagen v Vaerlose84-79
24/09/21Vaerlose v Copenhagen100-84
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
30/03/23HAmager87-92
11/03/23AHolbaek-Stenhus84-62
07/03/23HCopenhagen79-91
05/03/23ABears Academy69-58
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/23HSvendborg67-73
15/09/23ABakken Bears80-93
28/04/23HVaerlose87-69
15/04/23HBears Academy86-79
12/04/23AAmager84-82
04/04/23HVaerlose75-79
01/04/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-65
18/03/23ABears Academy75-58
11/03/23HAmager94-86
07/03/23AVaerlose91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game100.0-100.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total182.0-182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.567.080.0
Allowed / game83.073.093.0
Point differential-9.5-6.0-13.0
Avg total156.5140.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Randers110100%104.053.0+51.0
2 Team FOG Naestved220100%98.082.0+16.0
3 Svendborg330100%82.069.7+12.3
4 Bakken Bears220100%93.583.5+10.0
5 Herlev Wolfpack110100%75.068.0+7.0
6 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
7 Horsens2020%82.087.0-5.0
8 Copenhagen2020%73.583.0-9.5
9 Amager2020%70.082.5-12.5
10 Vaerlose1010%82.0100.0-18.0
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%53.0104.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1529201276
Copenhagen1718231270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.