Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 87-73

22-17 15-22 26-20 24-14

Position#10

Record2-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game100.2

Amager 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record4-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game85.4

Basketligaen

Other2022-23

Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amager

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

77-95

-18

H01/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

81-106

106

-25

A07/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

67-87

-20

H15/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

61-71

-10

A20/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

90-88 OT

H28/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

78-120

120

-42

A02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-101

101

-19

A27/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

76-105

105

-29

H03/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

65-110

110

-45

A07/12

Basketligaen

Randers

102-138

102

138

-36

A10/12

Basketligaen

23-27

21-24

14-19

19-25

26-22

18-27

24-31

13-26

20-17

16-30

12-17

19-23

17-16

21-12

13-24

10-19

16-16

22-24

26-17

12-19

15-23

16-36

27-24

20-37

19-19

19-24

22-30

22-28

15-21

16-23

24-28

21-33

15-27

15-32

19-34

16-17

32-42

26-36

22-31

22-29

180.0Avg total

77.9Scored

102.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.5	100.2	178.7	-21.7	17%
Season at home (5)	80.2	91.6	171.8	-11.4	40%
Season away (7)	77.3	106.3	183.6	-29.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	102.1	180.0	-24.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	114.8	195.4	-34.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	79.4	98.6	178.0	-19.2	19%
vs Similar (1)	61.0	71.0	132.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	88.0	178.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

84-75

H01/10

Basketligaen

Randers

63-79

-16

A08/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

78-76

H14/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

89-91 OT

-2

A21/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-87

-5

H04/11

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-74

-5

A19/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

85-75

+10

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

71-85

-14

H01/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-109

109

-21

H07/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

78-108

108

-30

A09/12

Basketligaen

23-20

19-23

16-16

26-16

9-19

18-20

22-15

14-25

18-15

23-21

21-15

16-25

20-16

23-24

20-20

19-22

12-32

27-26

24-14

19-15

12-25

20-15

24-14

13-20

11-17

22-11

25-18

27-29

14-20

27-17

15-29

15-19

21-27

23-33

21-26

23-23

14-24

18-33

22-28

24-23

164.6Avg total

78.7Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	80.4	85.4	165.8	-5.0	33%
Season at home (6)	83.5	84.0	167.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (6)	77.3	86.8	164.2	-9.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	85.9	164.6	-7.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	90.2	168.4	-12.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	82.5	96.2	178.8	-13.8	17%
vs Similar (7)	80.7	83.3	164.0	-2.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	86.5	81.3	167.8	+5.2	70%

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmagerVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	23.0	43.0	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	22.1	41.8	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	23.7	44.0	-3.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	26.4	45.6	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.1	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	21.5	36.9	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	22.6	37.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	24.1	43.2	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	22.4	40.6	-4.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	26.0	45.2	-6.7	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	24.5	44.6	-4.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	27.1	45.8	-8.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	26.8	45.8	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	30.2	48.6	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.1	26.6	45.7	-7.4	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	12.0	33.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.9	21.5	43.3	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.6	25.6	47.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.4	22.4	44.9	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.8	15.9	37.7	+5.9	70%	-

AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

44-51

-7

H01/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

44-49

-5

A07/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

36-47

-11

H15/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

38-28

+10

A20/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

38-40

-2

H28/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

31-59

-28

A02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

38-43

-5

A27/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

31-44

-13

H03/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

30-59

-29

A07/12

Basketligaen

Randers

58-78

-20

A10/12

Basketligaen

88.6Avg total

38.8Scored

49.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	48.9	88.3	-9.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	46.6	86.5	-6.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	50.8	89.8	-11.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	49.8	88.6	-11.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	56.6	94.2	-19.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	39.4	50.0	89.5	-10.6	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	38.0	28.0	66.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	40.0	78.0	-2.0	0%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

42-43

-1

H01/10

Basketligaen

Randers

27-39

-12

A08/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-36

H14/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

43-40

A21/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

39-58

-19

H04/11

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

32-40

-8

A19/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

33-28

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-37

H01/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-60

-16

H07/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-57

-25

A09/12

Basketligaen

81.2Avg total

37.4Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	43.4	84.3	-2.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	46.5	85.9	-7.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	43.8	81.2	-6.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	44.4	80.8	-8.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.7	49.7	90.3	-9.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.6	44.9	85.4	-4.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.5	34.8	76.3	+6.7	60%	-

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	24.4	44.4	-4.5	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	23.6	41.7	-5.5	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	25.1	46.6	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	25.5	45.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	29.4	52.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	20.0	24.7	44.7	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	24.8	43.8	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	23.2	41.9	-4.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.6	42.4	-4.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	25.6	43.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	28.8	49.0	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	23.5	42.8	-4.2	19%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	19.0	29.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.7	44.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.7	47.6	86.3	-8.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.7	46.2	82.9	-9.5	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	48.8	89.1	-8.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	51.1	88.8	-13.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	58.2	101.2	-15.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	39.3	48.2	87.5	-8.9	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	43.0	66.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	43.7	85.7	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	45.9	87.4	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.2	81.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.8	87.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.8	46.6	88.4	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	37.1	76.3	+2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.1	44.8	88.9	-0.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amager wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-72
09/04/22	Amager v Vaerlose	99-91 OT
27/03/22	Vaerlose v Amager	77-76
28/01/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-88
28/10/21	Amager v Vaerlose	71-78
14/02/21	Amager v Vaerlose	72-82
06/02/21	Vaerlose v Amager	102-88
31/10/20	Amager v Vaerlose	83-76
16/02/20	Vaerlose v Amager	82-74
15/01/20	Amager v Vaerlose	71-98

Amagerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/22	A	Randers	102-138
07/12/22	A	Svendborg	65-110
03/12/22	H	Bakken Bears	76-105
27/11/22	A	Horsens	82-101
02/11/22	A	Team FOG Naestved	78-120
28/10/22	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	90-88 OT
20/10/22	A	Herlev Wolfpack	61-71
15/10/22	H	Bears Academy	67-87
07/10/22	A	Copenhagen	81-106
01/10/22	H	Randers	77-95

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/22	A	Bakken Bears	78-108
07/12/22	H	Team FOG Naestved	88-109
01/12/22	H	Herlev Wolfpack	71-85
27/11/22	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	85-75
19/11/22	A	Bears Academy	69-74
04/11/22	H	Horsens	82-87
21/10/22	A	Copenhagen	89-91 OT
14/10/22	H	Svendborg	78-76
08/10/22	A	Randers	63-79
01/10/22	H	Bakken Bears	84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	17%	40%	0%
Points / game	78.5	80.2	77.3
Allowed / game	100.2	91.6	106.3
Point differential	-21.7	-11.4	-29.0
Avg total	178.7	171.8	183.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	8%	20%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	50%	17%
Points / game	80.4	83.5	77.3
Allowed / game	85.4	84.0	86.8
Point differential	-5.0	-0.5	-9.5
Avg total	165.8	167.5	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	13	11	2	85%	100.2	85.2	+15.0
2	Randers	12	10	2	83%	92.1	76.8	+15.3
3	Horsens	11	9	2	82%	86.9	77.5	+9.5
4	Bakken Bears	11	8	3	73%	98.0	74.8	+23.2
5	Herlev Wolfpack	13	9	4	69%	79.5	75.8	+3.7
6	Bears Academy	12	6	6	50%	74.2	77.9	-3.7
7	Svendborg	12	5	7	42%	86.1	83.0	+3.1
8	Vaerlose	12	4	8	33%	80.4	85.4	-5.0
9	Copenhagen	13	3	10	23%	82.9	95.5	-12.5
10	Amager	12	2	10	17%	78.5	100.2	-21.7
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	13	0	13	0%	70.3	93.1	-22.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amager	22	15	26	24	87
Vaerlose	17	22	20	14	73

← all games of the day

Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature