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Vaerlose vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-76
32-21 15-21 20-19 14-15
Position#7
Record6-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#9
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game92.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack
08 Mar 2025
VAER100
HERL80
03 Oct 2024
VAER71
HERL86
07 Jan 2024
VAER81
HERL76
01 Dec 2022
VAER71
HERL85
20 Mar 2022
VAER74
HERL64
13 Jan 2022
VAER103
HERL87
26 Mar 2021
VAER88
HERL82
23 Jan 2020
VAER88
HERL84
11 Oct 2019
VAER96
HERL93
02 Jan 2019
VAER93
HERL84
02 Nov 2018
VAER84
HERL109
09 Mar 2015
VAER77
HERL105
16 Nov 2014
VAER73
HERL84
22 Mar 2014
VAER68
HERL89
11 Dec 2013
VAER68
HERL91
28 Sep 2011
VAER73
HERL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 71
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 71
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 71
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 71
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 71
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
60avg 71
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 71
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 71
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 71
H28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
15-17
21-31
19-20
16-22
26-11
17-23
20-22
15-14
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
167.6Avg total
79.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.886.7168.5-4.846%
Season at home (6)85.285.5170.7-0.350%
Season away (7)79.087.7166.7-8.743%
Last 10 (10)79.088.6167.6-9.630%
Last 5 (5)83.886.6170.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.891.3169.1-13.611%
vs Similar (10)76.780.7157.4-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.874.2162.0+13.680%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 60
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 60
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 60
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 60
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 60
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 60
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 60
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 60
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 60
A30/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
172.5Avg total
76.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.492.4163.7-21.014%
Season at home (7)67.687.1154.7-19.614%
Season away (7)75.197.6172.7-22.414%
Last 10 (10)76.995.6172.5-18.710%
Last 5 (5)79.8108.4188.2-28.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.494.7164.0-25.34%
vs Similar (2)64.068.5132.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
VaerloseHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
85.1Avg total
40.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.580.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.082.5+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.978.6-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.985.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.890.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.146.087.1-4.944%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.737.079.7+5.760%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
86.4Avg total
38.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.646.181.7-10.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.443.477.8-9.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.748.485.1-11.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.947.586.4-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.253.493.6-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.047.682.6-12.512%-
vs Similar (2)33.039.072.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.3
48.4%
51.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.9
27.4%
31.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
67.0%16.3
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.8
48.0%
51.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.3
27.1%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.815.0
68.8%
67.0%15.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLLWLLLLLW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#9
-8.4
Net rating
-24.1
98.6
Offensive rating
91.7
107.0
Defensive rating
115.9
45.7%
Effective FG%
45.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.4%
3-point %
27.1%
55.3%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 91.7Defence107.0 · 115.9Shooting45.7% · 45.0%3-point %27.4% · 27.1%Ball care18.7% · 21.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vaerlose wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HAmager91-89
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
16/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus78-70
12/11/23HHorsens71-90
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
19/11/23ARanders76-86
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game81.885.279.0
Allowed / game86.785.587.7
Point differential-4.8-0.3-8.7
Avg total168.5170.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game71.467.675.1
Allowed / game92.487.197.6
Point differential-21.0-19.6-22.4
Avg total163.7154.7172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1514193%102.375.9+26.4
2 Team FOG Naestved1512380%97.779.9+17.8
3 Horsens1512380%89.471.8+17.6
4 Svendborg1512380%89.379.3+10.0
5 Randers149564%95.484.8+10.6
6 Vaerlose136746%81.886.7-4.8
7 Copenhagen156940%83.381.1+2.2
8 Bears Academy1431121%74.086.1-12.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack1421214%71.492.4-21.0
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1421214%67.993.1-25.2
11 Amager141137%72.9100.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose3215201481
Herlev Wolfpack2121191576
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