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Vaerlose vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-86
15-16 21-20 15-28 20-22
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game92.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack
08 Mar 2025
VAER100
HERL80
03 Oct 2024
VAER71
HERL86
07 Jan 2024
VAER81
HERL76
01 Dec 2022
VAER71
HERL85
20 Mar 2022
VAER74
HERL64
13 Jan 2022
VAER103
HERL87
26 Mar 2021
VAER88
HERL82
23 Jan 2020
VAER88
HERL84
11 Oct 2019
VAER96
HERL93
02 Jan 2019
VAER93
HERL84
02 Nov 2018
VAER84
HERL109
09 Mar 2015
VAER77
HERL105
16 Nov 2014
VAER73
HERL84
22 Mar 2014
VAER68
HERL89
11 Dec 2013
VAER68
HERL91
28 Sep 2011
VAER73
HERL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 71
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
72avg 71
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 71
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 71
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 71
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 71
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
54avg 71
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 71
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 71
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 71
H24/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
20-22
11-19
16-21
24-23
18-24
13-28
24-28
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
16-25
23-11
21-20
23-32
21-26
19-18
9-28
21-33
20-25
19-19
29-26
18-33
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
172.7Avg total
79.5Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.094.0172.0-16.050%
Season at home (1)91.082.0173.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)65.0106.0171.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)79.593.2172.7-13.730%
Last 5 (5)79.096.8175.8-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)79.294.3173.5-15.014%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.773.7156.3+9.0100%
vs Weaker (5)85.677.0162.6+8.6100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 66
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 66
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 66
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
40avg 66
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 66
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
94-97
94
97
-3
78avg 66
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 66
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 66
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 66
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
73avg 66
H28/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
14-21
28-15
8-26
24-16
20-19
27-20
20-26
21-14
14-22
18-22
30-21
32-32
17-16
15-22
17-27
16-17
22-22
7-21
18-29
17-21
21-26
16-14
25-22
20-27
23-31
18-24
21-20
18-19
162.8Avg total
77.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.392.0167.3-16.70%
Season at home (2)72.093.5165.5-21.50%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)77.085.8162.8-8.820%
Last 5 (5)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.994.0168.0-20.15%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.878.0160.8+4.875%
vs Weaker (3)92.790.7183.3+2.033%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
VaerloseHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
41.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.184.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.444.888.1-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.379.7-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.184.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.545.085.5-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.735.776.3+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H28/09
Basketligaen
79.3Avg total
37.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.682.9-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.843.681.4-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)38.745.684.3-6.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.879.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.078.2-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.946.483.3-9.514%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.837.279.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (3)42.742.785.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.1
49.5%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.114.9
70.6%
70.2%14.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.9
47.8%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.16.8
25.1%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.015.8
65.8%
70.2%15.8
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLLLLLWWLL
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#9
-17.6
Net rating
-11.0
99.3
Offensive rating
94.8
116.9
Defensive rating
105.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
43.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.1%
3-point %
25.1%
67.7%
Assist %
67.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 94.8Defence116.9 · 105.7Shooting47.8% · 43.8%3-point %30.1% · 25.1%Ball care17.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vaerlose wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
15/04/24ABakken Bears86-103
11/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved70-105
08/04/24ASvendborg83-88
04/04/24HRanders87-103
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86
21/03/24HBakken Bears79-103
18/03/24HHorsens64-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24HHorsens80-94
26/09/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-89
21/09/24HSvendborg64-93
27/04/24HCopenhagen65-82
23/04/24AAmager94-97
07/04/24HBears Academy88-79
26/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus74-78
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.091.065.0
Allowed / game94.082.0106.0
Point differential-16.0+9.0-41.0
Avg total172.0173.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.372.082.0
Allowed / game92.093.589.0
Point differential-16.7-21.5-7.0
Avg total167.3165.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg330100%83.069.3+13.7
2 Horsens330100%89.377.0+12.3
3 Team FOG Naestved330100%88.779.3+9.3
4 Randers32167%91.071.3+19.7
5 Bakken Bears32167%85.080.0+5.0
6 Vaerlose21150%78.094.0-16.0
7 Amager31233%84.079.7+4.3
8 Copenhagen2020%79.594.0-14.5
9 Bears Academy3030%75.791.0-15.3
10 Herlev Wolfpack3030%75.392.0-16.7
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%73.591.5-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1521152071
Herlev Wolfpack1620282286
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