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Vaerlose vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-80
28-19 20-27 16-22 36-12
Position#10
Record5-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#9
Record6-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game88.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack
08 Mar 2025
VAER100
HERL80
03 Oct 2024
VAER71
HERL86
07 Jan 2024
VAER81
HERL76
01 Dec 2022
VAER71
HERL85
20 Mar 2022
VAER74
HERL64
13 Jan 2022
VAER103
HERL87
26 Mar 2021
VAER88
HERL82
23 Jan 2020
VAER88
HERL84
11 Oct 2019
VAER96
HERL93
02 Jan 2019
VAER93
HERL84
02 Nov 2018
VAER84
HERL109
09 Mar 2015
VAER77
HERL105
16 Nov 2014
VAER73
HERL84
22 Mar 2014
VAER68
HERL89
11 Dec 2013
VAER68
HERL91
28 Sep 2011
VAER73
HERL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 68
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 68
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 68
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 68
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 68
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 68
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 68
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 68
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 68
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 68
A03/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
170.7Avg total
79.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.090.0167.0-13.024%
Season at home (10)76.285.3161.5-9.130%
Season away (11)77.794.4172.1-16.618%
Last 10 (10)79.491.3170.7-11.930%
Last 5 (5)74.690.8165.4-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.592.5168.0-16.918%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.987.1172.0-2.343%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 71
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 71
A18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
80-105
80
105
-25
75avg 71
H27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 71
H17/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
72-105
72
105
-33
68avg 71
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
91avg 71
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 71
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
68avg 71
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 71
H05/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
19-23
23-24
29-20
15-30
25-27
15-20
16-22
24-30
21-21
18-22
17-32
21-17
15-29
19-18
28-29
23-27
17-17
22-20
14-26
20-28
18-28
18-31
16-18
26-28
27-24
16-33
26-16
24-14
20-22
22-8
14-29
21-30
23-16
15-20
16-27
22-30
22-17
23-19
14-13
172.5Avg total
79.8Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.388.7168.0-9.429%
Season at home (11)78.586.3164.8-7.736%
Season away (10)80.191.4171.5-11.320%
Last 10 (10)79.892.7172.5-12.920%
Last 5 (5)80.690.2170.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.790.2164.9-15.512%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.084.0167.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (2)91.087.0178.0+4.050%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
VaerloseHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
89.9Avg total
41.0Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.484.3-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.944.285.1-3.421%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.583.6-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.048.989.9-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.687.0-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.045.283.2-7.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.942.986.7+1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/03
Basketligaen
89.7Avg total
41.7Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.6-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.441.783.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.645.686.2-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.748.089.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.492.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.644.082.6-5.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.842.786.5+1.140%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.6
48.2%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.7
30.9%
32.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.715.3
64.6%
70.2%15.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.4
49.9%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.4
32.2%
32.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
70.2%15.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLLWLLLWW
Herlev Wolfpack
WLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-14.7
Net rating
-15.3
96.8
Offensive rating
95.0
111.4
Defensive rating
110.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
24.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.9%
3-point %
32.2%
59.7%
Assist %
64.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 95.0Defence111.4 · 110.3Shooting47.4% · 49.4%3-point %30.9% · 32.2%Ball care21.0% · 24.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Vaerlose wins
3
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HBears Academy81-79
13/02/25AAmager75-93
07/02/25HHolbaek-Stenhus80-73
01/02/25ABakken Bears95-101
30/01/25ARanders72-105
17/01/25HCopenhagen76-90
11/01/25ABears Academy83-93
27/12/24HVaerlose80-105
18/12/24AHorsens71-99
12/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeWLLWL30%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game77.076.277.7
Allowed / game90.085.394.4
Point differential-13.0-9.1-16.6
Avg total167.0161.5172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game79.378.580.1
Allowed / game88.786.391.4
Point differential-9.4-7.7-11.3
Avg total168.0164.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2218482%87.575.0+12.6
2 Team FOG Naestved2218482%97.587.6+9.9
3 Horsens2217577%88.079.4+8.6
4 Bakken Bears2216673%94.682.3+12.3
5 Randers2215768%92.681.1+11.5
6 Copenhagen2281436%83.384.8-1.5
7 Amager2171433%86.692.7-6.0
8 Herlev Wolfpack2161529%79.388.7-9.4
9 Holbaek-Stenhus2261627%80.592.4-12.0
10 Vaerlose2151624%77.090.0-13.0
11 Bears Academy2131814%74.789.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose28201636100
Herlev Wolfpack1927221280
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