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Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-70
30-19 17-12 22-21 16-18
Position#4
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ChileLNB· Fernandez Valenzuela E.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valdivia v U. De Concepcion
09 Oct 2026
VALD101
U. D85
25 Sep 2025
VALD85
U. D70
21 Mar 2025
VALD88
U. D79
24 Jan 2025
VALD72
U. D84
09 Nov 2024
VALD78
U. D81
02 Jun 2024
VALD83
U. D93
24 Mar 2024
VALD82
U. D105
21 Jan 2023
VALD64
U. D74
15 Jan 2022
VALD74
U. D76
11 Sep 2021
VALD68
U. D71
10 Sep 2021
VALD61
U. D52
21 Dec 2019
VALD61
U. D75
13 Jan 2019
VALD82
U. D62
15 Dec 2017
VALD89
U. D73
14 Dec 2016
VALD103
U. D93
28 Feb 2016
VALD83
U. D79
14 Feb 2016
VALD91
U. D81
13 Feb 2016
VALD88
U. D86
29 Nov 2015
VALD88
U. D75
06 Dec 2014
VALD62
U. D96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Ancud
#6
L
70-87
70
87
-17
57avg 62
A23/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
66-94
66
94
-28
54avg 62
H26/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 62
A28/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
65-82
65
82
-17
52avg 62
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
72avg 62
A03/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
42-85
42
85
-43
27avg 62
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
68avg 62
A07/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
82-66
82
66
+16
88avg 62
H11/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
49avg 62
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 62
H13/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
25-24
15-26
21-17
15-26
17-16
16-30
18-22
16-22
19-25
19-12
7-15
24-22
11-17
13-14
17-29
24-24
23-28
17-21
20-22
14-32
13-16
3-17
12-20
20-30
17-30
17-19
21-22
20-12
26-25
16-15
20-14
24-13
10-18
17-19
12-16
21-21
17-24
17-11
16-20
150.5Avg total
67.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.982.6150.5-14.710%
Last 5 (5)66.678.8145.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.081.4150.4-12.49%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.771.5142.2-0.833%
vs Weaker (2)83.080.5163.5+2.550%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 82
H19/05
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
60avg 82
A25/05
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 82
A26/05
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
86-68
86
68
+18
82avg 82
H08/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
73-59
73
59
+14
64avg 82
H09/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
59avg 82
A13/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 82
A15/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 82
A16/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
79-68
79
68
+11
69avg 82
H13/09
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 82
A14/09
Supercopa
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
28-19
24-27
21-23
17-25
11-24
16-14
22-11
29-23
23-21
22-22
15-18
22-18
31-15
14-18
19-17
27-21
14-15
19-18
13-5
14-21
16-12
12-20
28-23
22-19
18-20
19-21
29-25
20-27
25-14
20-24
21-15
19-23
11-16
20-21
29-8
27-14
20-25
21-20
14-14
157.6Avg total
81.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.775.9157.6+5.880%
Last 5 (5)81.076.4157.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.073.2151.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (22)89.774.8164.5+14.982%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
ValdiviaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A23/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A28/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A07/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H11/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/04
LNB
81.0Avg total
36.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.576.6-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.636.472.0-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.544.781.1-8.220%-
Last 10 (10)36.544.581.0-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.941.276.1-6.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker (2)46.544.591.0+2.050%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/05
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A25/05
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A26/05
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H08/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A15/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H13/09
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/09
Supercopa
81.4Avg total
41.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.784.6+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.438.785.1+7.769%-
Last 30 away (17)43.740.584.2+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.581.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.938.578.4+1.462%-
vs Weaker (22)46.740.186.8+6.573%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.519.7
45.3%
47.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.1
23.1%
30.6%15.3
🏀 Free throws18.512.4
67.0%
68.4%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.1
49.5%
47.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
30.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
68.4%15.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
LLWLLLLLLL
U. De Concepcion
WWWWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
-18.5
Net rating
+7.5
85.7
Offensive rating
108.1
104.2
Defensive rating
100.6
41.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
23.1%
3-point %
34.9%
55.2%
Assist %
63.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 108.1Defence104.2 · 100.6Shooting41.7% · 50.5%3-point %23.1% · 34.9%Ball care19.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Valdivia   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valdivia wins
9
U. De Concepcion wins
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HPuente Alto71-76
13/04/25HColo Colo63-66
11/04/25HEspanol de Talca82-66
07/04/25APuente Alto75-101
05/04/25AColo Colo42-85
03/04/25AEspanol de Talca84-95
30/03/25HCD Puerto Varas65-82
28/03/25ALas Animas61-74
26/03/25HEspanol Osorno66-94
23/03/25AAncud70-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/25AAncud82-73
13/09/25HLeones Quilpue79-68
16/06/25ALeones Quilpue86-80
15/06/25ALeones Quilpue88-85
13/06/25ALeones Quilpue70-76
09/06/25HLeones Quilpue73-59
08/06/25HLeones Quilpue86-68
26/05/25AEspanol Osorno89-84
25/05/25AEspanol Osorno66-74
19/05/25HEspanol Osorno98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue110100%85.054.0+31.0
2 Catolica110100%85.072.0+13.0
3 Puente Alto110100%65.060.0+5.0
4 CD Puerto Varas110100%92.089.0+3.0
5 Las Animas1010%89.092.0-3.0
6 Espanol de Talca1010%60.065.0-5.0
7 Boston C. C.1010%72.085.0-13.0
8 Colo Colo1010%54.085.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia3017221685
U. De Concepcion1912211870
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