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U. De Concepcion vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-90
30-21 33-33 22-21 16-15
Position#2
Record21-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#6
Record15-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.2
ChileLNBLNB - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2023-24
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Valdivia
01 Nov 2026
U. D91
VALD76
12 Oct 2025
U. D94
VALD89
06 Feb 2025
U. D99
VALD78
09 Jan 2025
U. D103
VALD77
18 Oct 2024
U. D97
VALD87
26 May 2024
U. D101
VALD90
24 May 2024
U. D85
VALD70
03 Mar 2024
U. D99
VALD89
31 Mar 2023
U. D91
VALD72
19 Mar 2022
U. D88
VALD82
06 Sep 2021
U. D58
VALD56
04 Sep 2021
U. D67
VALD57
09 Feb 2020
U. D84
VALD70
18 Nov 2018
U. D90
VALD88
21 Oct 2017
U. D82
VALD61
19 Nov 2016
U. D79
VALD72
21 Feb 2016
U. D76
VALD78
07 Feb 2016
U. D82
VALD57
06 Feb 2016
U. D89
VALD82
11 Oct 2015
U. D90
VALD76
25 Oct 2014
U. D95
VALD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
53avg 83
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
83avg 83
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 83
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
83avg 83
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 83
H28/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 83
A04/05
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
75-85
75
85
-10
74avg 83
A05/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 83
H25/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
14-24
17-21
19-26
20-11
19-18
15-18
18-25
28-23
20-11
32-24
22-13
30-15
20-16
18-16
16-19
27-28
31-17
17-20
14-21
22-21
27-25
19-18
17-24
27-21
26-21
25-13
23-18
28-18
19-24
18-19
20-21
21-21
22-21
20-19
12-24
28-22
21-17
19-11
17-20
164.9Avg total
85.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.979.0165.9+7.978%
Season at home (14)87.279.6166.9+7.686%
Season away (13)86.578.3164.8+8.269%
Last 10 (10)85.679.3164.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)86.279.6165.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.791.0164.7-17.317%
vs Similar (5)82.884.4167.2-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.975.3164.2+13.795%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
68avg 74
A31/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 74
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
77-63
77
63
+14
75avg 74
H13/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
102-88
102
88
+14
106avg 74
H21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
92avg 74
A25/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
71-87
71
87
-16
68avg 74
A27/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 74
A28/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
95avg 74
H05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 74
H06/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 74
A25/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-12
15-20
13-18
19-19
27-18
20-20
17-13
21-15
24-20
13-12
19-16
18-21
28-22
28-25
28-20
29-19
23-23
23-29
15-15
17-28
22-24
19-20
13-15
23-21
20-11
16-22
15-18
37-13
29-14
11-28
23-20
17-20
29-12
19-13
18-23
22-28
17-21
11-19
20-17
158.3Avg total
82.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.881.2165.0+2.656%
Season at home (13)86.679.8166.5+6.862%
Season away (14)81.182.4163.6-1.350%
Last 10 (10)82.176.2158.3+5.980%
Last 5 (5)79.677.4157.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.682.6154.2-11.010%
vs Similar (8)80.081.6161.6-1.638%
vs Weaker (12)88.876.1164.8+12.792%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
U. De ConcepcionValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H28/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/05
LNB
85.6Avg total
46.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.784.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.887.7+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.580.4+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.385.6+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.290.4+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.348.385.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.637.382.9+8.379%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A31/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A25/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A27/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A28/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
66-27
66
27
+39
H05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H06/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A25/05
LNB
84.4Avg total
46.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.880.5+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.581.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.180.0+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.537.984.4+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.485.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.842.378.1-6.520%-
vs Similar (8)42.938.281.1+4.675%-
vs Weaker (12)46.036.282.2+9.892%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.3
51.9%
50.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.1
37.6%
32.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.9
73.7%
70.3%12.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
70.3%12.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLWWLWWWWL
Valdivia
LWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#6
+7.9
Net rating
+5.8
109.6
Offensive rating
104.4
101.8
Defensive rating
98.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.5%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.6%
3-point %
36.0%
62.4%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 104.4Defence101.8 · 98.6Shooting53.5% · 52.9%3-point %37.6% · 36.0%Ball care19.6% · 20.5%Off. rebounds33.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
U. De Concepcion wins
1
Valdivia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HValdivia85-70
05/05/24ANaviera Ulloa75-85
04/05/24AAncud85-82
28/04/24HEspanol de Talca101-73
21/04/24HEspanol Osorno85-88
19/04/24HLas Animas89-86
14/04/24APuerto Montt84-66
14/04/24ACD Puerto Varas102-71
08/04/24ACatolica87-82 OT
06/04/24ALeones Quilpue63-90
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24AU. De Concepcion70-85
06/05/24HPuerto Montt83-68
05/05/24HCD Puerto Varas100-75
28/04/24ACatolica74-72
27/04/24ALeones Quilpue71-87
25/04/24ASportiva Italiana90-86
21/04/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda102-88
13/04/24HPuente Alto77-63
13/04/24HSportiva Italiana83-70
31/03/24ANaviera Ulloa71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game86.987.286.5
Allowed / game79.079.678.3
Point differential+7.9+7.6+8.2
Avg total165.9166.9164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)83% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %15%14%15%
Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game83.886.681.1
Allowed / game81.279.882.4
Point differential+2.6+6.8-1.3
Avg total165.0166.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2823582%84.668.4+16.3
2 Espanol Osorno2822679%82.169.5+12.6
3 Ancud2822679%84.278.4+5.8
4 U. De Concepcion2721678%86.979.0+7.9
5 Las Animas32181456%81.681.5+0.1
6 Valdivia27151256%83.881.2+2.6
7 Puente Alto28141450%77.775.2+2.5
8 Sportiva Italiana32131941%77.080.5-3.5
9 Naviera Ulloa30121840%70.672.5-1.9
10 CD Puerto Varas30111937%79.582.7-3.2
11 Puerto Montt2992031%70.781.3-10.6
12 Catolica2681831%74.478.3-3.9
13 Liceo Pablo Neruda2662023%70.684.0-13.4
14 Espanol de Talca2962321%75.385.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion30332216101
Valdivia2133211590
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