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Valencia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-73
23-20 27-19 22-16 15-18
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#17
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Alba Berlin
02 Nov 2023
VAL79
ABE71
27 Oct 2022
VAL87
ABE73
03 Dec 2020
VAL92
ABE100
15 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE63
09 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE75
11 Jan 2017
VAL85
ABE80
19 Mar 2014
VAL86
ABE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 79
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 79
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 79
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
55avg 79
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 79
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
17-25
17-19
5-23
21-19
21-14
25-24
16-21
23-18
20-19
24-24
20-26
21-19
12-20
23-20
15-22
10-20
24-10
19-15
12-26
27-16
11-26
21-20
17-15
22-26
23-14
15-15
14-20
20-21
25-24
21-23
26-23
25-20
18-14
15-26
19-19
27-27
21-14
18-18
18-25
162.4Avg total
80.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.082.0161.0-3.025%
Season at home (2)73.579.0152.5-5.50%
Season away (2)84.585.0169.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.182.3162.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.083.7163.7-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.780.7162.4+0.953%
vs Weaker (12)86.279.8166.0+6.367%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 82
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 82
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 82
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
100-84
100
84
+16
106avg 82
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
no box
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 82
H23/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
26-19
24-18
20-27
26-25
19-20
20-18
16-15
24-20
18-20
20-20
28-20
33-18
28-25
16-18
23-23
21-19
23-17
26-16
19-29
26-12
12-18
22-21
10-19
24-27
21-22
30-20
23-26
17-9
26-24
21-12
30-20
23-22
14-19
23-17
14-20
16-18
17-12
16-18
29-22
166.6Avg total
88.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.075.2162.2+11.875%
Season at home (2)97.074.5171.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)88.078.6166.6+9.490%
Last 5 (5)84.876.4161.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.3167.0-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (2)87.069.5156.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker (24)89.576.2165.8+13.396%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
ValenciaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/10
ACB
78.3Avg total
40.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.680.2+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.980.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.480.3+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.578.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.339.379.7+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.938.980.8+2.973%-
vs Weaker (12)41.538.079.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/10
BBL
82.3Avg total
44.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.384.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.440.387.6+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.338.081.3+5.362%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.382.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.044.389.3+0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.531.572.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)46.138.985.0+7.275%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
78.5%13.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.5
51.5%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
78.5%14.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLLLLWWL
Alba Berlin
WLWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#17
-3.4
Net rating
+9.1
103.4
Offensive rating
112.9
106.8
Defensive rating
103.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
36.8%
58.4%
Assist %
76.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 112.9Defence106.8 · 103.8Shooting50.0% · 53.0%3-point %34.1% · 36.8%Ball care17.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
02/04/21Alba Berlin v Valencia86-90
03/12/20Valencia v Alba Berlin92-100
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22AObradoiro CAB103-98 OT
20/10/22AFenerbahce77-79
18/10/22AAnadolu Efes92-91
16/10/22HMurcia74-75
14/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne76-77
09/10/22ABilbao65-71
06/10/22HBaskonia71-81
02/10/22HJoventut Badalona101-97 OT
30/09/22AReal Betis83-78
30/05/22HBaskonia59-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HHeidelberg78-70
21/10/22AAnadolu Efes74-78
19/10/22HPanathinaikos94-65
17/10/22HBonn98-95
14/10/22AOlimpia Milano80-74 OT
09/10/22AOldenburg89-81
07/10/22HPartizan100-84
02/10/22ABamberg90-80
28/09/22HHamburg81-78
19/06/22ABayern96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.073.584.5
Allowed / game82.079.085.0
Point differential-3.0-5.5-0.5
Avg total161.0152.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.097.077.0
Allowed / game75.274.576.0
Point differential+11.8+22.5+1.0
Avg total162.2171.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce440100%80.868.2+12.5
2 Maccabi Tel Aviv54180%81.276.4+4.8
3 Olympiacos54180%86.482.0+4.4
4 Monaco54180%82.478.4+4.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%87.075.2+11.8
6 Baskonia43175%92.084.8+7.2
7 Olimpia Milano43175%76.574.5+2.0
8 Real Madrid42250%75.872.0+3.8
9 Anadolu Efes42250%83.280.0+3.2
10 Barcelona42250%75.274.8+0.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas42250%76.077.8-1.8
12 Partizan41325%86.286.2+0.0
13 Valencia41325%79.082.0-3.0
14 Virtus Bologna41325%64.876.0-11.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%67.879.2-11.5
16 Panathinaikos51420%72.881.6-8.8
17 Bayern4040%69.876.8-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda4040%66.278.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2327221587
Alba Berlin2019161873
← all games of the day
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