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Valencia vs Basquet Girona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game95.4
SpainACBRound 26· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Basquet Girona
28 Mar 2027
VAL v GIR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
VAL98
GIR72
07 Dec 2024
VAL98
GIR78
23 Sep 2023
VAL85
GIR89
11 Dec 2022
VAL104
GIR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 98
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 98
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 98
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 98
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 98
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 98
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 79
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
109-68
109
68
+41
118avg 79
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
101-87
101
87
+14
91avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
L
79-81
79
81
-2
55avg 79
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
78-107
78
107
-29
63avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
21-23
19-25
20-30
18-29
12-14
36-20
22-16
20-16
19-25
27-19
20-23
26-20
29-17
21-20
15-23
27-24
22-14
16-27
18-18
14-23
174.0Avg total
91.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.195.4183.5-7.250%
Season at home (4)96.885.2182.0+11.5100%
Season away (4)79.5105.5185.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)91.282.8174.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)84.485.2169.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.592.8177.3-8.231%
vs Similar (10)87.287.4174.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (7)91.376.3167.6+15.086%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
ValenciaBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/11
ACB
85.7Avg total
46.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.1+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.283.0+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.786.9-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.085.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.045.186.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.984.5+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)47.736.484.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
55.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
36.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
76.0%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Basquet Girona
LWWWLLWWWW
#2
League position
#11
+8.9
Net rating
+1.0
108.3
Offensive rating
100.3
99.4
Defensive rating
99.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
8.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
35.5%
51.0%
Assist %
54.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 100.3Defence99.4 · 99.3Shooting54.8% · 56.6%3-point %34.6% · 35.5%Ball care8.8% · 17.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
2
Basquet Girona wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUnicaja70-82
11/11/26ADinamo Bucharest92-84
07/11/26HBilbao92-87
03/11/26HLevice90-66
31/10/26ABasket Zaragoza78-107
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.196.879.5
Allowed / game95.485.2105.5
Point differential-7.2+11.5-26.0
Avg total183.5182.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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