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Valencia vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 105-103 (OT)
25-17 22-26 17-20 20-21 21-19
Position#8
Record11-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#1
Record16-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v CSKA Moscow
04 Feb 2021
VAL105
CMO103
08 Feb 2018
VAL103
CMO99
03 Nov 2010
VAL82
CMO57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
70avg 80
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
106-73
106
73
+33
107avg 80
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
77avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 80
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 80
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
83-61
83
61
+22
81avg 80
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 80
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 80
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 80
A31/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-20
21-29
18-22
25-21
22-11
31-24
28-17
20-21
16-33
24-22
20-19
27-15
22-27
19-15
23-14
23-18
17-17
22-25
21-18
17-17
17-23
20-21
23-29
14-18
21-13
23-12
25-18
20-20
18-27
17-13
23-19
20-22
14-26
18-20
20-23
18-21
16-13
27-24
28-27
164.3Avg total
83.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.082.0162.9-1.048%
Season at home (11)81.079.0160.0+2.064%
Season away (12)80.984.7165.6-3.833%
Last 10 (10)83.181.2164.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)79.881.2161.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.784.3167.0-1.767%
vs Similar (12)81.983.7165.6-1.842%
vs Weaker (15)87.980.7168.7+7.273%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
no box
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
83-63
83
63
+20
76avg 82
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
82avg 82
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 82
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 82
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
A27/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
62avg 82
H29/01
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
88avg 82
A01/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-16
20-25
21-22
24-21
22-14
20-15
17-13
19-31
26-15
22-33
26-16
18-11
27-21
15-20
23-21
25-20
16-22
15-22
19-24
27-20
32-17
15-21
24-24
21-15
17-23
28-25
17-26
20-15
14-22
18-19
19-12
27-25
12-15
21-10
6-19
29-24
28-24
12-22
21-23
164.0Avg total
83.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.178.5161.6+4.770%
Season at home (12)81.875.8157.5+6.067%
Season away (11)84.681.5166.1+3.273%
Last 10 (10)83.380.7164.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)81.680.2161.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)86.479.9166.3+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.776.2162.8+10.574%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
ValenciaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A12/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
ACB
78.1Avg total
38.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.481.9+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.785.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.040.179.1-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.178.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.342.383.7-1.033%-
vs Similar (12)39.940.880.8-0.958%-
vs Weaker (15)42.939.782.5+3.247%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H29/01
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
83.1Avg total
44.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.982.6+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.636.781.3+7.969%-
Last 30 away (17)44.838.883.6+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.883.1+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.085.4+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.737.079.7+5.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.338.183.5+7.274%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.0
57.9%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.116.2
80.6%
79.3%16.2
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.6%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
38.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.117.0
80.6%
79.3%17.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLWWLWL
CSKA Moscow
LLWLWLWLWW
#8
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+3.5
116.4
Offensive rating
114.2
114.9
Defensive rating
110.7
58.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
41.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.4%
3-point %
35.1%
70.6%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.2Defence114.9 · 110.7Shooting58.5% · 50.7%3-point %39.4% · 35.1%Ball care18.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.3% · 41.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
3
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
29/10/20CSKA Moscow v Valencia84-75
08/02/18Valencia v CSKA Moscow103-99
09/11/17CSKA Moscow v Valencia94-67
08/12/10CSKA Moscow v Valencia73-63
03/11/10Valencia v CSKA Moscow82-57
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21AUnicaja89-85
29/01/21APanathinaikos72-91
27/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-79
24/01/21HBaskonia83-61
21/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne77-90
17/01/21ASan Pablo Burgos83-78
15/01/21HCrvena zvezda91-71
12/01/21AOlimpia Milano80-95
09/01/21ABilbao106-73
07/01/21ABarcelona72-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/21AZielona Gora90-93
29/01/21HBayern66-69
27/01/21AAlba Berlin71-68
22/01/21HFenerbahce83-89
18/01/21ASaratov98-82
15/01/21HBarcelona75-88
13/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas83-73
07/01/21ABaskonia93-95
03/01/21ANizhny Novgorod83-63
30/12/20AOlimpia Milano91-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game81.081.080.9
Allowed / game82.079.084.7
Point differential-1.0+2.0-3.8
Avg total162.9160.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL70%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%67%73%
Points / game83.181.884.6
Allowed / game78.575.881.5
Point differential+4.7+6.0+3.2
Avg total161.6157.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %13%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2317674%81.073.4+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow2316770%83.178.5+4.7
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%82.478.2+4.2
4 Real Madrid2315865%81.376.9+4.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2113862%77.474.2+3.2
6 Bayern2314961%78.576.9+1.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas23131057%79.377.7+1.6
8 Fenerbahce23131057%78.078.0+0.0
9 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
10 Olympiacos23111248%80.280.9-0.7
11 Valencia23111248%81.082.0-1.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia23101343%79.278.7+0.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2391439%76.780.5-3.8
15 Panathinaikos2281436%80.382.8-2.5
16 Alba Berlin2381535%76.382.3-6.0
17 Crvena zvezda2371630%74.178.7-4.6
18 Khimki M.232219%79.191.4-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia2522172021105
CSKA Moscow1726202119103
← all games of the day
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