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CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-87
33-11 21-20 24-29 15-27
Position#1
Record16-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#3
Record13-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2017
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid
26 Nov 2020
CMO74
MAD73
17 May 2019
CMO95
MAD90
08 Feb 2019
CMO82
MAD78
18 May 2018
CMO83
MAD92
01 Feb 2018
CMO93
MAD87
11 Nov 2016
CMO91
MAD90
07 Jan 2016
CMO95
MAD81
23 Jan 2014
CMO85
MAD71
28 Mar 2013
CMO81
MAD72
17 Dec 2008
CMO78
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
107-81
107
81
+26
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H17/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A19/01
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H22/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-14
17-18
22-15
18-26
33-22
19-24
20-9
17-25
25-22
13-19
17-19
18-19
19-22
20-21
22-28
23-15
27-21
27-25
30-20
22-22
23-18
22-23
16-24
35-21
23-25
23-15
29-18
15-20
16-9
20-22
24-19
25-19
22-20
22-15
28-26
18-19
21-11
16-16
26-26
166.1Avg total
87.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.078.2167.3+10.880%
Season at home (10)91.878.3170.1+13.590%
Season away (10)86.378.2164.5+8.170%
Last 10 (10)87.378.8166.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (28)90.577.2167.8+13.286%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A03/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H05/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A07/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A12/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H14/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H17/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A19/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
98-84
98
84
+14
A21/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H25/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H28/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-18
24-19
24-14
25-26
23-24
21-10
24-21
26-6
13-20
29-17
16-23
26-17
25-14
16-18
28-29
24-17
21-19
25-20
30-16
18-17
16-17
25-27
16-12
15-20
12-18
25-19
23-23
21-24
26-15
32-25
19-20
20-14
19-16
21-17
27-21
19-21
29-13
25-13
22-18
161.9Avg total
88.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.778.4163.1+6.265%
Season at home (10)86.775.8162.5+10.980%
Season away (10)82.681.0163.6+1.650%
Last 10 (10)88.373.6161.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)86.074.0160.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.580.5160.0-1.067%
vs Weaker (24)89.577.6167.1+11.875%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
CSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H17/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A19/01
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/01
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
44.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.684.7+5.680%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.539.184.6+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)44.740.284.8+4.585%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.682.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.880.8+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.045.582.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (28)45.839.184.9+6.686%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A07/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A12/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A19/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/01
ACB
76.5Avg total
41.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.681.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.638.781.3+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.538.681.1+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.476.5+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.842.281.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (24)43.537.881.2+5.762%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.8
52.9%
51.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.89.6
46.2%
37.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
76.3%17.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
51.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.3
41.7%
37.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.8
72.2%
76.3%14.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWLWLLWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+14.2
Net rating
+19.7
121.7
Offensive rating
118.9
107.5
Defensive rating
99.1
58.6%
Effective FG%
59.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
46.2%
3-point %
41.7%
56.9%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 118.9Defence107.5 · 99.1Shooting58.6% · 59.0%3-point %46.2% · 41.7%Ball care14.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 32.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
CSKA Moscow wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/18HBamberg81-72
22/01/18HNizhny Novgorod97-80
19/01/18APanathinaikos75-70
17/01/18HAnadolu Efes110-79
14/01/18AZenit Petersburg83-87
11/01/18AOlimpia Milano107-81
07/01/18HLokomotiv Kuban79-90
04/01/18ABarcelona72-85
29/12/17ABaskonia90-81
25/12/17HAstana79-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18HBilbao95-65
25/01/18HAnadolu Efes87-68
21/01/18AGipuzkoa98-84
19/01/18AUnicaja75-80
17/01/18HBaskonia75-73
14/01/18HFuenlabrada100-72
12/01/18AKhimki M.95-78
07/01/18AJoventut Badalona84-66
05/01/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81
03/01/18ABaskonia81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game89.091.886.3
Allowed / game78.278.378.2
Point differential+10.8+13.5+8.1
Avg total167.3170.1164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game84.786.782.6
Allowed / game78.475.881.0
Point differential+6.2+10.9+1.6
Avg total163.1162.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%70%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2016480%89.078.2+10.8
2 Fenerbahce2014670%80.274.0+6.2
3 Real Madrid2013765%84.778.4+6.2
4 Panathinaikos2013765%78.276.0+2.2
5 Olympiacos2013765%75.274.2+0.9
6 Zalgiris Kaunas2012860%81.381.2+0.1
7 Khimki M.2011955%77.878.2-0.5
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv2011955%81.583.2-1.7
9 Baskonia2091145%81.080.0+1.0
10 Unicaja2081240%78.081.5-3.6
11 Crvena zvezda2081240%77.781.9-4.2
12 Barcelona2071335%80.578.7+1.9
13 Valencia2071335%77.179.8-2.6
14 Bamberg2071335%74.380.0-5.8
15 Olimpia Milano2061430%81.886.6-4.8
16 Anadolu Efes2051525%77.984.0-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow3321241593
Real Madrid1120292787
← all games of the day
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