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Olimpia Milano vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-107
15-23 21-27 25-27 20-30
Position#15
Record4-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.1
Olimpia Milano
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record12-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2017
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow
30 Sep 2021
MIL84
CMO74
30 May 2021
MIL83
CMO73
30 Dec 2020
MIL87
CMO91
08 Nov 2018
MIL85
CMO90
11 Jan 2018
MIL81
CMO107
08 Dec 2016
MIL64
CMO79
09 Apr 2015
MIL79
CMO88
24 Nov 2010
MIL71
CMO65
03 Dec 2008
MIL80
CMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A10/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A15/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H17/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H20/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A22/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
13-16
8-20
24-19
23-14
18-25
16-25
15-16
30-26
20-15
21-17
22-19
27-25
22-12
27-21
16-27
20-26
22-9
11-20
18-19
22-16
23-19
15-27
14-9
15-29
25-16
20-16
28-30
20-13
17-18
15-20
26-13
17-26
17-22
19-22
27-17
26-19
9-13
21-14
23-17
154.9Avg total
78.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.384.1163.4-4.825%
Season at home (8)79.182.6161.8-3.538%
Season away (8)79.585.5165.0-6.012%
Last 10 (10)78.676.3154.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)79.875.2155.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.087.9168.9-6.922%
vs Similar (8)79.081.0160.0-2.025%
vs Weaker (13)75.568.8144.2+6.785%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
108-100
108
100
+8
H04/12
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A07/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A10/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A20/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H07/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
21-23
27-30
34-22
22-20
20-19
28-20
22-17
23-22
22-19
16-14
27-20
21-20
28-14
23-23
29-29
20-23
28-22
20-19
18-24
23-16
20-17
14-22
22-13
21-16
19-14
17-18
22-15
18-26
33-22
19-24
20-9
17-25
25-22
13-19
17-19
18-19
19-22
20-21
22-28
168.6Avg total
87.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.078.9166.9+9.175%
Season at home (8)90.979.0169.9+11.988%
Season away (8)85.178.9164.0+6.262%
Last 10 (10)87.481.2168.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)79.877.4157.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
vs Similar (3)81.084.0165.0-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.376.7167.0+13.688%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Olimpia MilanoCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H20/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A22/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H26/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A08/01
Lega A
77.5Avg total
40.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.176.2-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.838.777.5+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.537.675.1-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.577.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.843.184.9-1.344%-
vs Similar (8)34.637.972.5-3.225%-
vs Weaker (13)37.734.872.5+2.877%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/12
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
VTB United League
85.0Avg total
44.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.139.685.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.640.084.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)47.939.187.0+8.786%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.685.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.882.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.040.087.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (3)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.839.085.8+7.881%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
51.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
37.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
76.3%15.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.5%
51.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.59.4
43.7%
37.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.617.2
79.6%
76.3%17.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWWLL
CSKA Moscow
LLWWWLWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+2.6
Net rating
+14.8
107.1
Offensive rating
118.8
104.5
Defensive rating
104.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
58.5%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.3%
3-point %
43.7%
56.7%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 118.8Defence104.5 · 104.0Shooting51.0% · 58.5%3-point %33.3% · 43.7%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 28.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
13/02/15CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano97-75
24/11/10Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow71-65
21/10/10CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano73-88
03/12/08Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow80-79
22/10/08CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano90-64
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/18APistoia79-63
05/01/18AOlympiacos80-87
02/01/18APesaro78-64
29/12/17HCrvena zvezda88-91
26/12/17HBrescia74-71
22/12/17AUnicaja71-74
20/12/17HBaskonia92-85
17/12/17HCantu93-77
15/12/17APanathinaikos72-80
10/12/17ATorino59-71
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/18HLokomotiv Kuban79-90
04/01/18ABarcelona72-85
29/12/17ABaskonia90-81
25/12/17HAstana79-63
22/12/17HKhimki M.79-68
20/12/17AOlympiacos86-88
15/12/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-86
10/12/17AUnics Kazan88-75
07/12/17ABamberg92-76
04/12/17HBC Kalev/Cramo108-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game79.379.179.5
Allowed / game84.182.685.5
Point differential-4.8-3.5-6.0
Avg total163.4161.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game88.090.985.1
Allowed / game78.979.078.9
Point differential+9.1+11.9+6.2
Avg total166.9169.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1612475%88.078.9+9.1
2 Olympiacos1612475%76.472.8+3.7
3 Panathinaikos1712571%78.875.6+3.1
4 Fenerbahce1610662%80.174.1+6.1
5 Real Madrid1610662%85.179.3+5.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1610662%80.179.9+0.2
7 Khimki M.169756%77.178.8-1.7
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.482.0-1.6
9 Baskonia167944%80.881.5-0.7
10 Unicaja167944%77.080.7-3.7
11 Crvena zvezda167944%76.580.5-4.0
12 Barcelona1761135%80.678.8+1.8
13 Bamberg1761135%73.879.6-5.8
14 Valencia1651131%76.779.4-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes1641225%76.481.2-4.8
16 Olimpia Milano1641225%79.384.1-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1521252081
CSKA Moscow23272730107
← all games of the day
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