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Hamburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-85
22-22 17-22 20-23 20-18
Position#10
Record15-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#3
Record23-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game79.6
GermanyBBLRound 32· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Chemnitz
25 Sep 2026
HAM94
CHE90
31 Jan 2026
HAM86
CHE69
07 May 2025
HAM88
CHE93
04 May 2024
HAM79
CHE85
11 Dec 2022
HAM81
CHE104
29 Sep 2021
HAM82
CHE90
27 Dec 2020
HAM75
CHE95
28 Apr 2019
HAM98
CHE96
23 Apr 2019
HAM81
CHE78
23 Mar 2019
HAM77
CHE80
14 Oct 2017
HAM80
CHE72
19 Nov 2016
HAM63
CHE79
31 Oct 2015
HAM67
CHE60
07 Dec 2014
HAM88
CHE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
76-96
76
96
-20
61avg 76
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
no box
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-76
107
76
+31
108avg 76
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
53avg 76
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 76
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
66avg 76
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
58avg 76
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 76
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
78avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
23-26
19-18
19-31
17-12
17-26
14-18
25-17
30-21
30-12
24-21
23-22
16-19
21-21
15-23
13-22
21-19
20-23
19-22
19-19
17-18
28-25
15-28
20-15
5-16
17-24
26-22
28-22
17-22
31-24
17-13
24-25
24-26
29-33
19-32
20-16
16-24
30-12
21-31
27-21
170.8Avg total
83.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.887.2173.0-1.448%
Season at home (15)85.384.9170.3+0.453%
Season away (16)86.289.3175.5-3.144%
Last 10 (10)83.887.0170.8-3.230%
Last 5 (5)86.289.8176.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.394.1175.4-12.97%
vs Similar (8)84.688.1172.8-3.538%
vs Weaker (7)97.085.7182.7+11.386%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
W
98-73
98
73
+25
90avg 83
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
111-95
111
95
+16
109avg 83
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 83
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 83
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 83
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
88avg 83
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
80avg 83
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
80avg 83
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 83
H01/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
25-17
30-12
27-15
31-17
19-28
30-25
31-25
21-18
15-21
23-18
14-25
16-15
21-18
20-18
23-15
27-25
25-16
29-24
32-17
29-18
21-18
18-22
17-16
28-20
23-17
20-23
18-29
19-18
19-37
29-12
17-28
24-21
20-30
20-29
29-16
20-29
25-26
14-11
24-25
179.4Avg total
93.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)89.579.6169.0+9.974%
Season at home (15)87.575.4162.9+12.180%
Season away (16)91.383.5174.8+7.869%
Last 10 (10)93.086.4179.4+6.650%
Last 5 (5)91.093.2184.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)83.288.0171.2-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.379.0172.3+14.381%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
HamburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/04
BBL
84.8Avg total
42.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.189.3-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.943.785.6-1.831%-
Last 30 away (14)44.748.893.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.484.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.887.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.747.887.5-8.113%-
vs Similar (8)44.945.590.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)49.043.092.0+6.057%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/05
BBL
88.2Avg total
44.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.284.9+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.182.0+5.779%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.087.4+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.888.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.892.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)44.243.787.9+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.938.783.6+6.176%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.4
30.6%
35.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws29.221.7
74.3%
76.0%21.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.0
56.9%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.118.7
71.6%
76.0%18.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLWLLLLWLL
Chemnitz
LLLLWWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
-2.6
Net rating
+8.3
106.9
Offensive rating
115.8
109.5
Defensive rating
107.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.6%
3-point %
34.0%
51.3%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 115.8Defence109.5 · 107.5Shooting49.7% · 54.5%3-point %30.6% · 34.0%Ball care19.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 34.7%Free throws0.47 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hamburg wins
7
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Chemnitz v Hamburg96-87
29/04/23Chemnitz v Hamburg87-80
11/12/22Hamburg v Chemnitz81-104
24/03/22Chemnitz v Hamburg85-89
29/09/21Hamburg v Chemnitz82-90
19/04/21Chemnitz v Hamburg98-97
27/12/20Hamburg v Chemnitz75-95
30/04/19Chemnitz v Hamburg72-78
28/04/19Hamburg v Chemnitz98-96
26/04/19Chemnitz v Hamburg84-63
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24HCrailsheim Merlins94-88
28/04/24AOldenburg92-107
20/04/24HLudwigsburg89-84
17/04/24HAlba Berlin76-84
14/04/24ABamberg80-86
08/04/24HHeidelberg79-83
31/03/24AAlba Berlin65-85
27/03/24HSyntainics MBC107-76
24/03/24HBayern80-81 OT
17/03/24AWurzburg76-96
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24HVechta83-91
27/04/24ALudwigsburg93-96
24/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.95-105 OT
21/04/24AGottingen99-100 OT
17/04/24HBahcesehir Kol.85-74
13/04/24HTubingen113-82
06/04/24HBonn80-66
03/04/24HBilbao73-82
30/03/24ASyntainics MBC111-95
27/03/24ABilbao98-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game85.885.386.2
Allowed / game87.284.989.3
Point differential-1.4+0.4-3.1
Avg total173.0170.3175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%13%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL74%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %74%80%69%
Points / game89.587.591.3
Allowed / game79.675.483.5
Point differential+9.9+12.1+7.8
Avg total169.0162.9174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3025583%89.177.3+11.8
2 Alba Berlin3024680%91.482.2+9.2
3 Chemnitz3123874%89.579.6+9.9
4 Wurzburg3122971%86.879.7+7.1
5 Ulm31211068%91.584.9+6.5
6 Vechta31191261%89.082.7+6.3
7 Bonn31191261%90.285.8+4.4
8 Ludwigsburg31181358%88.682.5+6.1
9 Oldenburg32171553%85.483.6+1.8
10 Hamburg31151648%85.887.2-1.4
11 Basketball Braunschweig31141745%82.685.2-2.5
12 Bamberg32141844%88.590.1-1.6
13 Gottingen31102132%86.293.4-7.3
14 Rostock3192229%88.393.6-5.4
15 Syntainics MBC3192229%85.793.4-7.7
16 Heidelberg3182326%83.394.4-11.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins3272522%81.192.9-11.9
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2217202079
Chemnitz2222231885
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