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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-93
28-27 19-22 28-23 24-21
Position#4
Record20-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#1
Record27-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.4
SpainACBRound 33· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 72
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 72
A27/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 72
A31/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
69-98
69
98
-29
49avg 72
H04/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 72
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 72
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 72
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
98avg 72
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 72
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 72
H04/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
26-15
7-27
27-24
20-21
18-27
20-23
22-24
26-18
11-20
19-13
15-28
19-27
19-25
7-27
24-19
31-14
31-20
25-31
24-36
21-15
16-20
15-23
14-21
23-16
8-23
30-25
27-17
19-15
24-18
25-16
30-24
28-28
17-26
29-24
22-20
16-18
21-16
23-20
23-22
170.7Avg total
84.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.981.1165.1+2.862%
Season at home (16)84.881.6166.4+3.269%
Season away (16)83.180.6163.7+2.456%
Last 10 (10)84.586.2170.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.490.9166.3-15.40%
vs Similar (13)80.281.3161.5-1.254%
vs Weaker (9)88.881.2170.0+7.678%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 85
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 85
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
64avg 85
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 85
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 85
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
87avg 85
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
103avg 85
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 85
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 85
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 85
H05/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-25
16-23
27-30
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
16-9
15-16
13-17
20-20
22-20
15-25
31-20
27-27
20-17
17-9
26-19
16-25
26-17
22-20
22-16
20-21
23-21
23-19
28-23
27-27
28-20
10-17
23-19
18-13
22-22
30-34
20-17
30-25
22-19
29-23
26-15
17-23
168.9Avg total
87.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.678.4165.9+9.284%
Season at home (16)90.078.0168.0+12.088%
Season away (16)85.178.8163.9+6.481%
Last 10 (10)87.481.5168.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)93.282.2175.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.787.7177.3+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.881.7168.5+5.077%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A31/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H04/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
ACB
81.5Avg total
41.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.880.5-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.240.282.4+2.150%-
Last 30 away (18)38.041.379.3-3.328%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.881.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.344.180.4-7.914%-
vs Similar (13)41.038.979.9+2.146%-
vs Weaker (9)41.341.783.0-0.344%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H05/05
ACB
81.6Avg total
42.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.581.5+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.384.4+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)38.339.477.7-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.581.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.489.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.343.385.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.840.481.2+0.454%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
53.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
75.6%13.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.1
55.4%
53.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.9
39.3%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.7
78.9%
75.6%12.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWLWLLLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+8.6
106.8
Offensive rating
117.8
109.0
Defensive rating
109.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
39.3%
56.9%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 117.8Defence109.0 · 109.2Shooting53.8% · 57.0%3-point %35.7% · 39.3%Ball care19.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HJoventut Badalona83-76
28/04/24AManresa96-98
21/04/24HTenerife98-73
14/04/24AGranada88-81
12/04/24APartizan66-79
07/04/24HBaskonia111-101
04/04/24HLyon-Villeurbanne69-98
31/03/24AGran Canaria71-79
27/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-95
24/03/24HMurcia83-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HGranada94-80
01/05/24ABaskonia102-98
28/04/24HObradoiro CAB79-69
25/04/24HBaskonia101-90
23/04/24HBaskonia90-74
21/04/24ABasket Zaragoza79-70
14/04/24HJoventut Badalona95-92
11/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
05/04/24HBaskonia91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%69%56%
Points / game83.984.883.1
Allowed / game81.181.680.6
Point differential+2.8+3.2+2.4
Avg total165.1166.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %84%88%81%
Points / game87.690.085.1
Allowed / game78.478.078.8
Point differential+9.2+12.0+6.4
Avg total165.9168.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3227584%87.678.4+9.2
2 Unicaja3327682%88.677.5+11.1
3 Barcelona33221167%88.381.8+6.4
4 Gran Canaria32201262%84.881.6+3.2
5 Valencia32201262%83.981.1+2.8
6 Murcia33201361%83.781.0+2.6
7 Tenerife33201361%83.781.2+2.5
8 Manresa33191458%84.884.6+0.2
9 Baskonia33181555%88.187.8+0.3
10 Joventut Badalona33161748%82.086.1-4.2
11 Bilbao33132039%79.182.0-2.9
12 Basquet Girona32122038%80.985.8-4.9
13 MoraBanc Andorra33122136%84.485.5-1.2
14 Basket Zaragoza33122136%82.185.3-3.2
15 Breogan33112233%74.879.0-4.2
16 Obradoiro CAB33102330%80.784.8-4.1
17 Granada33102330%81.286.8-5.6
18 Palencia3362718%79.287.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2819282499
Real Madrid2722232193
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