Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 76-74

20-20 10-15 25-16 21-23

Position#9

Record3-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game86.9

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#7

Record8-13

FormLWWLL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game82.3

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

63-67

-4

A06/01

LBL

Jekabpils

73-74

-1

H10/01

LBL

BK Ogre

80-101

101

-21

H20/01

LBL

Jekabpils

66-81

-15

A31/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

66-98

-32

A04/02

LBL

VEF Riga

60-94

-34

H07/02

LBL

Ventspils

82-90

-8

H15/02

LBL

Jurmala

83-86

-3

H21/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

73-87

-14

A24/02

LBL

BK Ogre

75-97

-22

A03/03

LBL

12-15

14-15

21-15

16-22

20-16

20-19

15-13

18-26

29-27

14-28

19-29

18-17

14-11

19-22

19-21

14-27

17-23

22-14

8-31

19-30

24-21

9-20

12-29

15-24

23-25

23-18

21-24

15-23

24-18

20-28

24-19

15-21

23-23

12-15

26-21

12-28

15-21

20-27

20-22

159.6Avg total

72.1Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	71.4	86.9	158.2	-15.5	12%
Season at home (12)	74.8	88.8	163.6	-13.9	17%
Season away (12)	67.9	85.0	152.9	-17.1	8%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	87.5	159.6	-15.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	90.8	165.4	-16.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	71.5	86.8	158.3	-15.3	12%
vs Similar (4)	66.8	78.8	145.5	-12.0	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

88-89 OT

-1

H27/12

LBL

Ventspils

71-97

-26

A29/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

70-78

-8

A21/01

LBL

Ventspils

66-93

-27

H03/02

LBL

Jekabpils

91-83

A11/02

LBL

BK Ogre

68-83

-15

H14/02

LBL

Jekabpils

89-73

+16

H21/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

87-73

+14

H24/02

LBL

VEF Riga

56-98

-42

H28/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

65-87

-22

H04/03

LBL

8-23

21-17

24-16

23-20

17-26

28-24

14-21

12-26

19-16

22-22

22-24

7-16

14-25

20-29

15-21

17-18

23-19

31-12

21-22

16-30

14-21

18-23

15-25

21-14

20-18

27-21

14-18

28-16

23-23

15-12

21-26

28-12

15-22

14-36

14-25

13-15

9-22

17-18

27-19

12-28

160.5Avg total

75.1Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	73.6	82.3	156.0	-8.7	38%
Season at home (11)	73.4	83.5	156.9	-10.2	36%
Season away (10)	73.9	81.0	154.9	-7.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	85.4	160.5	-10.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	82.8	155.8	-9.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	67.8	83.8	151.6	-16.1	16%
vs Similar (8)	77.4	77.2	154.6	+0.1	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	84.7	76.3	161.0	+8.3	100%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	21.4	37.1	-5.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.2	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.0	20.8	35.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	21.5	38.6	-4.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.5	37.7	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.8	21.5	38.3	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	20.3	42.7	+2.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.5	36.9	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.6	37.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.2	19.0	33.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	16.1	38.4	+6.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	16.3	17.3	33.7	-1.0	33%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

26-30

-4

A06/01

LBL

Jekabpils

40-35

H10/01

LBL

BK Ogre

43-55

-12

H20/01

LBL

Jekabpils

33-33

A31/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

39-37

A04/02

LBL

VEF Riga

33-41

-8

H07/02

LBL

Ventspils

46-43

H15/02

LBL

Jurmala

44-46

-2

H21/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

35-38

-3

A24/02

LBL

BK Ogre

35-48

-13

A03/03

LBL

78.0Avg total

37.4Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	42.0	77.8	-6.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	43.2	81.5	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.2	40.9	74.1	-7.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.6	78.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	36.8	42.4	79.2	-5.6	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	29.2	39.8	69.0	-10.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

29-40

-11

H27/12

LBL

Ventspils

45-50

-5

A29/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

41-38

A21/01

LBL

Ventspils

34-54

-20

H03/02

LBL

Jekabpils

54-31

+23

A11/02

LBL

BK Ogre

32-44

-12

H14/02

LBL

Jekabpils

47-39

H21/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

38-35

H24/02

LBL

VEF Riga

29-58

-29

H28/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

26-40

-14

H04/03

LBL

80.4Avg total

37.5Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	40.5	76.6	-4.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	42.0	77.9	-6.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	42.9	80.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	43.2	77.6	-8.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	33.8	42.9	76.7	-9.2	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.5	35.8	76.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	38.7	37.7	76.3	+1.0	33%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.9	39.7	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	20.1	37.1	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.8	21.3	38.1	-4.4	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	22.4	39.0	-5.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	23.5	39.6	-7.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	24.0	40.2	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	23.6	39.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.6	22.4	39.0	-5.8	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	22.8	39.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	17.6	36.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	20.8	37.4	-4.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.5	18.9	35.5	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	26.3	15.3	41.7	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	43.7	78.8	-8.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	43.1	78.3	-7.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.0	44.3	79.3	-9.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	46.9	81.6	-12.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	47.6	83.6	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	34.7	44.4	79.2	-9.7	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	39.0	76.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	40.2	75.4	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	40.8	74.6	-7.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	41.2	77.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	33.4	40.2	73.6	-6.8	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	46.0	38.7	84.7	+7.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
24/02/18	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	87-73
17/12/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	75-84
07/10/17	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	83-81
01/05/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	102-75
29/04/17	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	93-74
27/04/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	100-94
24/04/17	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	85-80
21/04/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	101-70
22/03/17	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	79-86
25/02/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	103-99 OT

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/18	A	BK Ogre	75-97
24/02/18	A	BK Liepaja	73-87
21/02/18	H	Jurmala	83-86
15/02/18	H	Ventspils	82-90
07/02/18	H	VEF Riga	60-94
04/02/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	66-98
31/01/18	A	Jekabpils	66-81
20/01/18	H	BK Ogre	80-101
10/01/18	H	Jekabpils	73-74
06/01/18	A	Jekabpils	63-67

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/18	H	Latvijas Universitate	65-87
28/02/18	H	VEF Riga	56-98
24/02/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	87-73
21/02/18	H	Jekabpils	89-73
14/02/18	H	BK Ogre	68-83
11/02/18	A	Jekabpils	91-83
03/02/18	H	Ventspils	66-93
21/01/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	70-78
29/12/17	A	Ventspils	71-97
27/12/17	H	Jurmala	88-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	12%
Home	LLLLL	17%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	12%	17%	8%
Points / game	71.4	74.8	67.9
Allowed / game	86.9	88.8	85.0
Point differential	-15.5	-13.9	-17.1
Avg total	158.2	163.6	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	38%
Home	LWWLL	36%
Away	WWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	38%	36%	40%
Points / game	73.6	73.4	73.9
Allowed / game	82.3	83.5	81.0
Point differential	-8.7	-10.2	-7.1
Avg total	156.0	156.9	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	20	19	1	95%	85.8	68.9	+16.9
2	VEF Riga	17	15	2	88%	85.1	66.5	+18.6
3	Jurmala	19	14	5	74%	81.2	73.5	+7.7
4	BK Ogre	21	14	7	67%	82.5	74.2	+8.3
5	BK Liepaja	21	8	13	38%	73.6	82.3	-8.7
6	Jekabpils	23	7	16	30%	67.9	76.0	-8.1
7	Latvijas Universitate	22	6	16	27%	73.7	79.8	-6.1
8	Valga	11	3	8	27%	67.1	76.1	-9.0
9	Valmiera/ORDO	24	3	21	12%	71.4	86.9	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	20	10	25	21	76
BK Liepaja	20	15	16	23	74

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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