Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 78-77 (OT)

17-18 20-13 20-21 14-19 7-6

Position#5

Record17-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game73.5

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#6

Record15-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game71.3

LBL

Other2013-14

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

59-84

-25

H08/01

LBL

Norrkoping

53-63

-10

A10/01

Baltic League

Latvia U18

#13

77-73

A12/01

LBL

Jelgava

#10

71-73

-2

A15/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

85-76

H18/01

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

93-69

+24

H21/01

Baltic League

Rapla

#18

68-71

-3

A24/01

Baltic League

Turiba

#12

85-80

A29/01

LBL

Jurmala

56-67

-11

A01/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

81-78

H05/02

LBL

12-25

16-23

16-18

15-18

7-12

19-17

14-18

13-16

18-21

22-14

19-18

18-20

21-13

13-17

21-18

16-25

18-21

25-11

17-22

25-22

27-28

23-16

25-11

18-14

19-12

24-18

13-25

12-16

24-18

25-15

17-22

19-25

17-21

17-14

16-16

6-16

24-14

21-12

20-24

16-28

146.2Avg total

72.8Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	77.0	73.5	150.5	+3.5	71%
Season at home (11)	82.4	74.3	156.6	+8.1	91%
Season away (13)	72.5	72.8	145.4	-0.3	54%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	73.4	146.2	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	73.0	149.6	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	65.8	78.5	144.3	-12.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	81.2	74.5	155.8	+6.8	75%
vs Weaker (20)	75.8	71.4	147.2	+4.3	70%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

#11

60-67

-7

A08/01

LBL

Turiba

#12

70-63

A11/01

LBL

Jelgava

#10

96-105

105

-9

A12/01

LBL

Saldus

#11

87-45

+42

H15/01

LBL

Ventspils

61-71

-10

A17/01

Baltic League

Nevezis

82-69

+13

H21/01

Baltic League

Parnu

#20

75-59

+16

A25/01

Baltic League

Jekabpils

81-77

H29/01

LBL

Latvia U18

#13

109-63

109

+46

A02/02

LBL

Siauliai

75-94

-19

A05/02

Baltic League

10-19

10-21

22-10

18-17

17-17

19-10

16-10

18-26

23-21

9-25

18-23

46-36

21-9

12-13

28-11

26-12

11-26

14-15

17-18

19-12

23-20

16-20

16-15

27-14

18-12

21-15

17-14

19-18

13-17

25-20

24-25

19-15

39-13

22-18

28-12

20-20

21-19

22-31

15-20

17-24

150.9Avg total

79.6Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.4	71.3	150.7	+8.0	65%
Season at home (12)	82.8	70.8	153.5	+12.0	67%
Season away (11)	75.7	72.0	147.7	+3.7	64%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	71.3	150.9	+8.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	72.4	156.8	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.7	79.6	149.3	-9.9	14%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	72.1	77.9	150.0	-5.7	43%
vs Weaker (16)	83.8	67.2	151.1	+16.6	81%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (20)	18.6	17.3	36.0	+1.3	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.3	14%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	18.1	38.6	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	16.4	34.9	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.7	36.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	19.7	35.8	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.2	20.2	37.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.3	36.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.1	16.3	36.4	+3.8	75%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

28-48

-20

H08/01

LBL

Norrkoping

26-29

-3

A10/01

Baltic League

Latvia U18

#13

40-35

A12/01

LBL

Jelgava

#10

34-30

A15/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

43-32

+11

H18/01

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

50-44

H21/01

Baltic League

Rapla

#18

43-30

+13

A24/01

Baltic League

Turiba

#12

49-33

+16

A29/01

LBL

Jurmala

34-35

-1

A01/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

45-26

+19

H05/02

LBL

73.4Avg total

39.2Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	34.7	71.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	35.3	73.6	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.8	34.3	70.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	34.2	73.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	33.6	77.8	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.2	37.8	70.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	37.9	33.0	70.9	+4.9	70%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

#11

20-40

-20

A08/01

LBL

Turiba

#12

36-27

A11/01

LBL

Jelgava

#10

32-46

-14

A12/01

LBL

Saldus

#11

33-22

+11

H15/01

LBL

Ventspils

25-41

-16

A17/01

Baltic League

Nevezis

39-40

-1

H21/01

Baltic League

Parnu

#20

39-27

+12

A25/01

Baltic League

Jekabpils

38-37

H29/01

LBL

Latvia U18

#13

61-31

+30

A02/02

LBL

Siauliai

43-50

-7

A05/02

Baltic League

72.7Avg total

36.6Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	39.1	75.4	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.1	72.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.0	43.6	76.6	-10.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.9	40.9	75.7	-6.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.6	34.4	75.0	+6.2	75%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.9	19.9	36.9	-3.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	17.5	37.2	+2.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	15.8	37.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	15.9	34.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	15.8	35.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.2	13.7	34.9	+7.5	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.6	19.6	35.3	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	19.8	34.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.5	13.2	30.8	+4.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.6	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.4	17.4	32.9	-2.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	37.4	73.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	34.5	75.7	+6.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	32.6	39.6	72.2	-7.0	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	39.2	72.8	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	39.4	71.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.7	40.7	74.3	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	37.2	30.8	68.0	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	36.9	37.8	74.7	-0.9	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	33.6	75.5	+8.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	35.2	72.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	35.2	78.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.7	36.0	72.7	+0.7	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	35.1	36.3	71.4	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.2	32.9	76.1	+10.3	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/13	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-65
06/11/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	65-80
10/04/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	82-102
16/01/13	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	87-62
16/12/12	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-71
13/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	84-73
21/03/12	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	91-60
17/01/12	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	77-83
13/12/11	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	81-79
19/10/11	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	72-76

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/14	H	Latvijas Universitate	81-78
01/02/14	A	Jurmala	56-67
29/01/14	A	Turiba	85-80
24/01/14	A	Rapla	68-71
21/01/14	H	Tallinna Kalev	93-69
18/01/14	H	Barons Kvartals	85-76
15/01/14	A	Jelgava	71-73
12/01/14	A	Latvia U18	77-73
10/01/14	A	Norrkoping	53-63
08/01/14	H	Ventspils	59-84

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/14	A	Siauliai	75-94
02/02/14	A	Latvia U18	109-63
29/01/14	H	Jekabpils	81-77
25/01/14	A	Parnu	75-59
21/01/14	H	Nevezis	82-69
17/01/14	A	Ventspils	61-71
15/01/14	H	Saldus	87-45
12/01/14	A	Jelgava	96-105
11/01/14	A	Turiba	70-63
08/01/14	A	Saldus	60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	71%
Home	WWLWW	91%
Away	LWLWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	71%	91%	54%
Points / game	77.0	82.4	72.5
Allowed / game	73.5	74.3	72.8
Point differential	+3.5	+8.1	-0.3
Avg total	150.5	156.6	145.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	55%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	12%	18%	8%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	65%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	65%	67%	64%
Points / game	79.4	82.8	75.7
Allowed / game	71.3	70.8	72.0
Point differential	+8.0	+12.0	+3.7
Avg total	150.7	153.5	147.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	42%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	15	14	1	93%	84.6	64.3	+20.3
2	VEF Riga	7	6	1	86%	87.7	67.7	+20.0
3	Valmiera/ORDO	24	17	7	71%	77.0	73.5	+3.5
4	Jekabpils	25	17	8	68%	82.5	72.9	+9.6
5	BK Liepaja	23	15	8	65%	79.4	71.3	+8.0
6	Jurmala	24	14	10	58%	76.6	70.9	+5.7
7	Barons Kvartals	25	12	13	48%	75.1	77.1	-2.0
8	Latvijas Universitate	23	8	15	35%	75.8	79.6	-3.8
9	Saldus	26	9	17	35%	69.8	80.2	-10.4
10	Jelgava	24	8	16	33%	77.8	81.7	-3.9
11	Turiba	25	7	18	28%	72.3	76.8	-4.6
12	Latvia U18	13	0	13	0%	58.2	94.8	-36.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	17	20	20	14	7	78
BK Liepaja	18	13	21	19	6	77

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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