Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 101-70

28-15 24-12 27-23 22-20

Position#3

Record21-11

FormLWWLW

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game78.1

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#6

Record15-17

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game81.4

LBLLBL - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

72-86

-14

A04/03

LBL

Skycop

74-64

+10

H08/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

92-80

+12

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

80-62

+18

H18/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

86-79

A22/03

LBL

Ventspils

84-89

-5

A25/03

LBL

Jurmala

80-54

+26

H29/03

LBL

BK Ogre

101-91

101

+10

H08/04

LBL

Jekabpils

67-81

-14

H12/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

88-58

+30

A16/04

LBL

22-24

12-21

22-22

16-19

23-17

14-15

23-17

24-18

23-20

24-22

21-20

16-20

21-9

20-15

23-18

25-25

21-22

25-15

15-17

26-18

18-25

18-26

22-20

20-11

23-19

19-14

18-10

23-27

22-21

23-19

33-24

17-20

18-18

20-17

12-26

8-20

21-16

31-8

28-14

156.8Avg total

82.4Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	81.9	78.1	160.1	+3.8	66%
Season at home (16)	87.6	80.8	168.3	+6.8	81%
Season away (16)	76.3	75.5	151.8	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	74.4	156.8	+8.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	74.6	158.6	+9.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.2	87.0	168.2	-5.8	33%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	70.3	150.6	+10.0	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.5	76.0	164.5	+12.5	100%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

106-82

106

+24

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-109

109

-16

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

69-66

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

65-90

-25

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

79-86

-7

H22/03

LBL

BK Ogre

87-77

+10

A25/03

LBL

Valga

108-85

108

+23

H29/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

92-90 OT

H01/04

LBL

Ventspils

76-90

-14

A08/04

LBL

VEF Riga

75-84

-9

H16/04

LBL

30-17

22-20

30-18

24-27

20-27

29-21

17-30

27-31

18-16

13-20

22-18

16-12

15-21

17-25

19-21

14-23

25-25

22-21

15-25

17-15

20-18

16-22

23-13

28-24

30-25

27-19

31-19

20-22

19-19

24-18

15-17

22-26

21-25

25-18

16-25

14-22

19-24

11-17

19-20

26-23

170.9Avg total

85.0Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	80.1	81.4	161.6	-1.3	47%
Season at home (16)	82.2	83.1	165.4	-0.9	50%
Season away (16)	78.0	79.8	157.8	-1.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	85.9	170.9	-0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	85.2	172.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	78.5	91.8	170.4	-13.3	0%
vs Similar (9)	85.0	81.9	166.9	+3.1	67%
vs Weaker (10)	89.0	72.9	161.9	+16.1	90%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.6	37.9	+0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	20.2	39.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	18.1	40.3	+4.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	17.3	39.7	+5.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.9	17.1	41.0	+6.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.3	42.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	16.1	34.0	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.1	17.6	40.6	+5.5	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	16.8	40.1	+6.5	90%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

34-45

-11

A04/03

LBL

Skycop

37-32

H08/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

47-38

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

37-29

H18/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

46-47

-1

A22/03

LBL

Ventspils

44-43

A25/03

LBL

Jurmala

43-30

+13

H29/03

LBL

BK Ogre

45-48

-3

H08/04

LBL

Jekabpils

35-38

-3

H12/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

29-36

-7

A16/04

LBL

78.3Avg total

39.7Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.3	78.6	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	36.1	78.5	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	38.6	78.8	+1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.6	78.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.0	78.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.3	36.0	72.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.5	35.6	80.1	+8.9	65%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

52-37

+15

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-48

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

31-36

-5

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

32-46

-14

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

47-46

H22/03

LBL

BK Ogre

36-40

-4

A25/03

LBL

Valga

57-44

+13

H29/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

43-37

H01/04

LBL

Ventspils

46-43

A08/04

LBL

VEF Riga

30-41

-11

H16/04

LBL

84.1Avg total

42.3Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	38.6	81.2	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	38.7	82.2	+4.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.8	84.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.0	83.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.5	43.4	81.9	-4.8	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.4	38.1	80.6	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.2	33.9	81.1	+13.3	100%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	16.2	37.9	+5.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.4	14.7	39.1	+9.7	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.1	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.3	24.6	43.9	-5.4	9%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.2	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.1	20.6	40.6	-0.5	41%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.5	41.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.7	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.4	80.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.5	41.2	84.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	35.2	75.3	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.8	78.5	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.6	80.4	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.0	34.3	78.3	+9.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.5	38.9	80.4	+2.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.6	82.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	41.1	82.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.1	84.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.2	85.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.9	47.0	85.9	-8.1	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.3	41.1	81.4	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
22/03/17	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	79-86
25/02/17	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	103-99 OT
29/12/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	86-84
29/10/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	69-67
14/05/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	97-73
12/05/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	71-80
10/05/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	68-55
16/04/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	70-82
17/02/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	82-71
26/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	91-87

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/17	A	Barons Kvartals	88-58
12/04/17	H	Jekabpils	67-81
08/04/17	H	BK Ogre	101-91
29/03/17	H	Jurmala	80-54
25/03/17	A	Ventspils	84-89
22/03/17	A	BK Liepaja	86-79
18/03/17	H	Barons Kvartals	80-62
12/03/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	92-80
08/03/17	H	Skycop	74-64
04/03/17	A	Jekabpils	72-86

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/17	H	VEF Riga	75-84
08/04/17	A	Ventspils	76-90
01/04/17	H	Barons Kvartals	92-90 OT
29/03/17	H	Valga	108-85
25/03/17	A	BK Ogre	87-77
22/03/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	79-86
18/03/17	A	Jekabpils	65-90
11/03/17	H	Jurmala	69-66
08/03/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-109
04/03/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	106-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	66%
Home	WWWWL	81%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	66%	81%	50%
Points / game	81.9	87.6	76.3
Allowed / game	78.1	80.8	75.5
Point differential	+3.8	+6.8	+0.8
Avg total	160.1	168.3	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	50%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	80% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	12%	12%	12%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	47%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	WLLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	80.1	82.2	78.0
Allowed / game	81.4	83.1	79.8
Point differential	-1.3	-0.9	-1.8
Avg total	161.6	165.4	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	25%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	12%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	32	27	5	84%	90.2	75.4	+14.8
2	VEF Riga	18	14	4	78%	83.2	72.7	+10.5
3	Valmiera/ORDO	32	21	11	66%	81.9	78.1	+3.8
4	Jekabpils	33	19	14	58%	78.3	73.0	+5.3
5	Barons Kvartals	33	17	16	52%	82.3	80.0	+2.3
6	BK Liepaja	32	15	17	47%	80.1	81.4	-1.3
7	Jurmala	32	13	19	41%	75.3	78.5	-3.2
8	BK Ogre	32	13	19	41%	78.3	83.2	-4.8
9	Valga	18	3	15	17%	75.1	91.8	-16.7
10	Latvijas Universitate	32	5	27	16%	69.1	82.7	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	28	24	27	22	101
BK Liepaja	15	12	23	20	70

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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