Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 May 2016

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 68-55

19-13 15-17 17-16 17-9

Position#1

Record30-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game72.5

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#4

Record27-12

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game74.5

LBLLBL - Semi-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

68-75

-7

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

80-76

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

90-74

+16

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

79-68

+11

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

64-86

-22

A05/04

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

86-75

+11

H09/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

73-63

+10

H13/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

82-70

+12

A16/04

LBL

VEF Riga

66-62

H20/04

LBL

Ventspils

83-77

H23/04

LBL

18-22

17-25

17-11

16-17

15-22

16-21

15-10

34-23

20-18

22-14

22-16

26-26

21-15

17-21

23-15

18-17

20-23

17-24

15-16

12-23

23-20

15-21

28-12

20-22

20-16

24-21

21-18

8-8

21-19

12-17

20-18

29-16

19-21

13-20

12-8

22-13

18-21

23-15

20-16

22-25

149.7Avg total

77.1Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	82.9	72.5	155.4	+10.5	83%
Season at home (18)	82.1	71.3	153.4	+10.7	89%
Season away (18)	83.8	73.6	157.4	+10.2	78%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	72.6	149.7	+4.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	69.4	147.4	+8.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.4	75.8	152.2	+0.6	60%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.0	74.6	153.6	+4.4	88%
vs Weaker (17)	82.4	69.6	152.0	+12.7	88%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

94-77

+17

A26/03

LBL

Valga

67-84

-17

A02/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

103-66

103

+37

A10/04

LBL

Ventspils

77-100

100

-23

A13/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

70-82

-12

H16/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

74-67

H20/04

LBL

Jelgava

95-71

+24

H23/04

LBL

Jurmala

85-63

+22

H29/04

LBL

Jurmala

79-64

+15

A01/05

LBL

Jurmala

86-83

H03/05

LBL

28-19

16-13

24-18

26-27

7-30

24-21

17-13

19-20

23-14

32-12

18-18

30-22

17-26

19-25

22-21

19-28

19-21

17-12

18-20

16-29

18-13

14-16

26-19

16-19

23-16

19-23

29-17

24-15

18-21

25-14

16-11

26-17

23-21

22-12

16-22

18-9

24-19

26-21

26-23

10-20

158.7Avg total

83.0Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	82.8	74.5	157.3	+8.3	69%
Season at home (20)	85.2	75.7	160.9	+9.5	80%
Season away (19)	80.2	73.3	153.4	+6.9	58%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	75.7	158.7	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	69.6	153.4	+14.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.4	91.6	171.0	-12.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	78.9	73.4	152.3	+5.5	60%
vs Weaker (15)	85.6	76.7	162.3	+8.9	73%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.4	17.5	37.8	+2.9	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.9	17.8	37.6	+2.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	80%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	17.7	38.7	+3.2	67%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

35-47

-12

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

31-43

-12

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

42-32

+10

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

38-36

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

37-47

-10

A05/04

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

38-41

-3

H09/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

44-37

H13/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-36

-3

A16/04

LBL

VEF Riga

32-41

-9

H20/04

LBL

Ventspils

41-36

H23/04

LBL

76.7Avg total

37.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	36.3	74.6	+2.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.2	75.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	42.2	77.8	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.8	36.1	74.9	+2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	40.2	35.2	75.5	+5.0	88%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

44-32

+12

A26/03

LBL

Valga

31-51

-20

A02/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

55-26

+29

A10/04

LBL

Ventspils

36-51

-15

A13/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

36-33

H16/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

32-29

H20/04

LBL

Jelgava

42-39

H23/04

LBL

Jurmala

43-35

H29/04

LBL

Jurmala

45-33

+12

A01/05

LBL

Jurmala

50-40

+10

H03/05

LBL

78.3Avg total

41.4Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	38.0	79.5	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	39.7	82.6	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	36.9	78.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.2	77.6	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	46.8	85.4	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.2	36.2	77.4	+5.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.6	36.3	78.9	+6.3	80%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.1	37.5	+5.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	14.0	33.3	+5.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.4	34.6	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	13.2	31.0	+4.6	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.2	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.3	39.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	17.9	39.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.2	22.1	43.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	35.0	75.9	+5.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.9	75.6	+5.7	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	35.1	76.3	+6.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	31.2	71.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	31.4	69.2	+6.4	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.2	38.5	78.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	42.1	34.4	76.5	+7.7	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.0	78.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	39.4	80.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	38.5	76.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.8	80.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.4	75.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.1	39.4	81.5	+2.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
16/04/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	70-82
17/02/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	82-71
26/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	91-87
03/10/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	71-67
18/02/15	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	87-75
24/01/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	75-89
20/12/14	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	66-71
19/10/14	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	86-75
19/03/14	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	79-82
08/02/14	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-77 OT

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/16	H	Ventspils	83-77
20/04/16	H	VEF Riga	66-62
16/04/16	A	BK Liepaja	82-70
13/04/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	73-63
09/04/16	H	BK Ogre	86-75
05/04/16	A	Lietkabelis	64-86
02/04/16	H	Barons Kvartals	79-68
30/03/16	H	Lietkabelis	90-74
26/03/16	A	Ventspils	80-76
23/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	68-75

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/16	H	Jurmala	86-83
01/05/16	A	Jurmala	79-64
29/04/16	H	Jurmala	85-63
23/04/16	H	Jelgava	95-71
20/04/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	74-67
16/04/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	70-82
13/04/16	A	Ventspils	77-100
10/04/16	A	Barons Kvartals	103-66
02/04/16	A	Valga	67-84
26/03/16	A	Jekabpils	94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	83%	89%	78%
Points / game	82.9	82.1	83.8
Allowed / game	72.5	71.3	73.6
Point differential	+10.5	+10.7	+10.2
Avg total	155.4	153.4	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	56%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	80% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	8%	11%	6%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WLWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	69%	80%	58%
Points / game	82.8	85.2	80.2
Allowed / game	74.5	75.7	73.3
Point differential	+8.3	+9.6	+6.9
Avg total	157.3	160.9	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	40%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	36	30	6	83%	82.9	72.5	+10.5
2	VEF Riga	23	18	5	78%	88.4	72.3	+16.1
3	Ventspils	36	28	8	78%	88.4	68.4	+19.9
4	BK Liepaja	39	27	12	69%	82.8	74.5	+8.3
5	Jekabpils	36	19	17	53%	77.7	79.4	-1.8
6	Jurmala	39	20	19	51%	80.7	79.3	+1.4
7	Valga	23	11	12	48%	78.7	86.2	-7.5
8	Barons Kvartals	36	12	24	33%	78.0	83.2	-5.2
9	Jelgava	36	9	27	25%	70.1	81.1	-11.0
10	BK Ogre	36	9	27	25%	73.4	86.6	-13.1
11	Latvijas Universitate	36	5	31	14%	69.2	84.5	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	19	15	17	17	68
BK Liepaja	13	17	16	9	55

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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