Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 86-84

17-20 24-17 21-21 24-26

Position#3

Record7-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game75.8

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#6

Record6-8

FormLWLWW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game79.3

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borisfen

#18

60-46

+14

H15/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

62-76

-14

A19/11

LBL

VEF Riga

60-68

-8

A23/11

LBL

Tal Tech

#13

82-75

H30/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

75-81

-6

A03/12

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

71-65

A07/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

78-61

+17

H10/12

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

105-74

105

+31

A14/12

Baltic League

BK Ogre

94-78

+16

H17/12

LBL

Jekabpils

77-55

+22

A21/12

Baltic League

13-18

16-2

17-9

14-17

22-28

12-15

19-13

9-20

14-16

20-19

12-22

14-11

14-24

17-18

18-20

33-13

12-22

20-14

14-19

29-26

14-19

19-16

16-20

22-10

27-18

9-17

23-14

19-12

27-16

30-21

31-13

17-24

26-15

27-12

22-25

19-26

13-14

20-12

25-10

19-19

144.3Avg total

76.4Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.9	75.8	150.7	-0.9	50%
Season at home (6)	84.2	77.0	161.2	+7.2	83%
Season away (8)	68.0	74.9	142.9	-6.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	67.9	144.3	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	66.6	151.6	+18.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	68.0	75.5	143.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	71.3	72.0	143.3	-0.7	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	78.6	68.6	147.1	+10.0	79%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

66-82

-16

A12/11

LBL

Parnu

#15

90-76

+14

H16/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

77-84

-7

H19/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

81-70

+11

H23/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

106-111 OT

106

111

-5

H30/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

53-71

-18

A03/12

LBL

Atyrau

#16

89-75

+14

H08/12

Baltic League

Jurmala

#11

97-103 OT

103

-6

H13/12

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

83-74

A18/12

LBL

Valga

93-58

+35

A21/12

LBL

16-20

18-21

18-23

14-18

15-20

35-23

17-20

23-13

17-27

12-21

24-18

17-20

24-11

20-15

20-24

23-21

18-13

22-22

15-22

13-15

12-20

18-22

10-14

20-12

26-20

18-32

25-11

21-21

23-22

23-25

22-21

27-10

23-25

17-24

16-15

21-12

26-10

21-17

25-19

163.9Avg total

83.5Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	76.1	79.3	155.4	-3.1	43%
Season at home (7)	82.6	82.9	165.4	-0.3	57%
Season away (7)	69.7	75.7	145.4	-6.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	80.4	163.9	+3.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	76.2	159.2	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	76.1	86.4	162.5	-10.2	21%
vs Similar (12)	77.4	80.2	157.6	-2.8	42%
vs Weaker (4)	88.2	69.8	158.0	+18.5	100%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	17.5	35.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	21.0	35.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	16.3	33.1	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.1	37.1	-1.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	14.0	34.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.5	35.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	14.6	33.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.6	36.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.9	16.8	35.6	+2.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.8	16.0	43.8	+11.8	100%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borisfen

#18

29-20

H15/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

34-43

-9

A19/11

LBL

VEF Riga

34-35

-1

A23/11

LBL

Tal Tech

#13

31-42

-11

H30/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

32-36

-4

A03/12

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

33-35

-2

A07/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

36-35

H10/12

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

57-37

+20

A14/12

Baltic League

BK Ogre

53-27

+26

H17/12

LBL

Jekabpils

33-26

A21/12

Baltic League

70.8Avg total

37.2Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	35.5	72.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	35.0	72.3	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	36.1	73.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	33.6	70.8	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	32.0	74.4	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	39.8	73.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.2	34.2	70.4	+1.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.1	35.4	74.5	+3.6	57%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

34-41

-7

A12/11

LBL

Parnu

#15

50-43

H16/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

29-48

-19

H19/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

41-31

+10

H23/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

41-34

H30/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

25-35

-10

A03/12

LBL

Atyrau

#16

46-32

+14

H08/12

Baltic League

Jurmala

#11

44-43

H13/12

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

50-35

+15

A18/12

LBL

Valga

47-22

+25

A21/12

LBL

77.1Avg total

40.7Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	38.7	80.3	+2.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	36.4	77.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	33.4	75.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.6	41.3	79.9	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.0	32.0	78.0	+14.0	100%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.5	36.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.4	39.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	20.5	37.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	15.9	37.0	+5.3	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.6	37.1	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.0	43.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	15.2	32.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	19.2	35.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.4	17.3	35.6	+1.1	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	18.6	34.5	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.4	21.6	38.1	-5.2	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	16.8	40.0	+6.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	35.3	72.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	35.9	74.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	34.8	70.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	34.3	73.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	34.6	77.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	35.8	70.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	37.8	72.9	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.5	33.1	72.6	+6.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	40.3	77.5	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.5	42.2	82.7	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.5	38.1	71.6	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.3	78.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.6	42.7	78.3	-7.1	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.5	38.3	75.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	69-67
14/05/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	97-73
12/05/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	71-80
10/05/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	68-55
16/04/16	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	70-82
17/02/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	82-71
26/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	91-87
03/10/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	71-67
18/02/15	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	87-75
24/01/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	75-89

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/16	A	Jekabpils	77-55
17/12/16	H	BK Ogre	94-78
14/12/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	105-74
10/12/16	H	Jekabpils	78-61
07/12/16	A	BK Ogre	71-65
03/12/16	A	Ventspils	75-81
30/11/16	H	Tal Tech	82-75
23/11/16	A	VEF Riga	60-68
19/11/16	A	Jurmala	62-76
15/11/16	H	Borisfen	60-46

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/16	A	Valga	93-58
18/12/16	A	Barons Kvartals	83-74
13/12/16	H	Jurmala	97-103 OT
08/12/16	H	Atyrau	89-75
03/12/16	A	BK Ogre	53-71
30/11/16	H	Barons Kvartals	106-111 OT
23/11/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	81-70
19/11/16	H	Jekabpils	77-84
16/11/16	H	Parnu	90-76
12/11/16	A	Ventspils	66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	50%	83%	25%
Points / game	74.9	84.2	68.0
Allowed / game	75.8	77.0	74.9
Point differential	-0.9	+7.2	-6.9
Avg total	150.7	161.2	142.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	43%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	LLLWW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	57%	29%
Points / game	76.1	82.6	69.7
Allowed / game	79.3	82.9	75.7
Point differential	-3.1	-0.3	-6.0
Avg total	155.4	165.4	145.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	9	9	0	100%	83.3	66.6	+16.8
2	Ventspils	13	12	1	92%	92.2	71.7	+20.5
3	Barons Kvartals	14	7	7	50%	83.1	77.1	+5.9
4	Jekabpils	12	6	6	50%	77.5	76.0	+1.5
5	Jurmala	16	8	8	50%	76.9	77.6	-0.7
6	Valmiera/ORDO	14	7	7	50%	74.9	75.8	-0.9
7	BK Liepaja	14	6	8	43%	76.1	79.3	-3.1
8	BK Ogre	12	4	8	33%	74.1	83.6	-9.5
9	Valga	9	3	6	33%	75.6	85.4	-9.9
10	Latvijas Universitate	15	2	13	13%	68.4	84.9	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	17	24	21	24	86
BK Liepaja	20	17	21	26	84

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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