Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 78-65

24-16 19-23 21-17 14-9

Position#5

Record9-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game75.8

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#6

Record8-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game68.7

LBL

Other2013-14

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

57-78

-21

A26/10

LBL

Rapla

#18

70-64

H29/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

#17

56-78

-22

A01/11

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

80-65

+15

A06/11

LBL

Jelgava

#10

70-86

-16

A09/11

LBL

Saldus

#11

94-64

+30

H13/11

LBL

Turiba

#12

81-77

A16/11

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

52-106

106

-54

A19/11

Baltic League

Jelgava

#10

85-75

+10

H27/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

79-71

A30/11

LBL

18-25

13-12

17-22

9-19

15-16

14-6

23-26

18-16

14-10

14-18

12-26

16-24

23-18

17-14

23-21

17-12

12-23

21-28

18-18

19-17

24-15

14-22

24-12

32-15

22-14

19-22

24-19

16-22

12-17

11-30

15-30

14-29

24-16

19-17

17-22

25-20

13-21

21-13

25-18

20-19

148.8Avg total

72.4Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.6	75.8	157.3	+5.8	75%
Season at home (5)	90.2	75.4	165.6	+14.8	100%
Season away (7)	75.4	76.0	151.4	-0.6	57%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	76.4	148.8	-4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	78.6	156.8	-0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	55.0	83.6	138.6	-28.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.8	78.2	158.0	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker (17)	82.5	75.8	158.3	+6.6	82%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barons Kvartals

67-52

+15

A23/10

LBL

Jekabpils

73-86

-13

H26/10

LBL

Nevezis

75-92

-17

A31/10

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

#12

80-81

-1

A01/11

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

65-80

-15

H06/11

LBL

Ventspils

62-75

-13

H09/11

Baltic League

Jelgava

#10

94-61

+33

H13/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

81-73

A17/11

LBL

Jekabpils

77-67 OT

+10

A27/11

LBL

Latvia U18

#13

96-44

+52

H01/12

LBL

21-12

17-18

12-11

17-11

25-31

14-20

14-13

20-22

21-32

13-23

20-19

21-18

12-13

24-21

26-21

18-26

18-23

14-17

21-23

12-17

6-25

25-13

18-17

13-20

28-12

17-16

24-15

25-18

20-25

23-12

19-15

19-21

18-13

19-19

14-18

11-12

20-15

19-10

31-9

26-10

148.1Avg total

77.0Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.3	68.7	146.0	+8.5	73%
Season at home (6)	83.0	69.8	152.8	+13.2	67%
Season away (5)	70.4	67.4	137.8	+3.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	71.1	148.1	+5.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	64.0	146.0	+18.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.3	88.1	161.4	-14.8	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.4	84.2	164.7	-3.8	33%
vs Weaker (10)	88.0	68.9	156.9	+19.1	90%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.1	36.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.5	35.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	19.8	35.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.2	41%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.4	39.8	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.7	21.6	43.2	+0.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	15.2	31.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.2	34.5	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.0	18.2	31.2	-5.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	12%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.3	16.5	35.8	+2.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.0	34.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.4	22.2	40.5	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.8	70%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

31-37

-6

A26/10

LBL

Rapla

#18

29-22

H29/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

#17

28-28

A01/11

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

40-32

A06/11

LBL

Jelgava

#10

33-51

-18

A09/11

LBL

Saldus

#11

38-37

H13/11

LBL

Turiba

#12

41-36

A16/11

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

23-47

-24

A19/11

Baltic League

Jelgava

#10

43-33

+10

H27/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

34-34

A30/11

LBL

69.7Avg total

34.0Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	37.2	73.3	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	34.7	70.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	35.7	69.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	28.6	38.0	66.6	-9.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.1	35.6	73.7	+2.5	65%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barons Kvartals

38-30

A23/10

LBL

Jekabpils

39-51

-12

H26/10

LBL

Nevezis

34-55

-21

A31/10

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

#12

36-34

A01/11

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

32-40

-8

H06/11

LBL

Ventspils

31-38

-7

H09/11

Baltic League

Jelgava

#10

45-28

+17

H13/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

43-37

A17/11

LBL

Jekabpils

37-32

A27/11

LBL

Latvia U18

#13

39-25

+14

H01/12

LBL

74.4Avg total

37.4Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.6	81.4	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	42.2	82.7	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.0	40.7	79.7	-1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	37.0	74.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.8	44.1	79.9	-8.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.9	42.8	84.7	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.4	37.7	80.1	+4.7	60%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.6	39.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	23.0	36.8	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.1	36.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	14.3	37.5	+8.9	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	12.6	22.6	35.2	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	88%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.5	35.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	20.1	39.6	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.5	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.9	78.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	40.2	78.7	-1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.7	79.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	26.4	45.6	72.0	-19.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.1	35.1	75.2	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.8	78.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	40.5	83.7	+2.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	36.6	72.4	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.6	71.7	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.5	44.0	81.5	-6.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.9	40.9	77.8	-4.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.6	31.2	76.8	+14.4	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	65-80
10/04/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	82-102
16/01/13	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	87-62
16/12/12	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-71
13/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	84-73
21/03/12	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	91-60
17/01/12	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	77-83
13/12/11	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	81-79
19/10/11	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	72-76
06/01/11	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	65-60

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/13	A	Barons Kvartals	79-71
27/11/13	H	Jelgava	85-75
19/11/13	A	Pyrinto Tampere	52-106
16/11/13	A	Turiba	81-77
13/11/13	H	Saldus	94-64
09/11/13	A	Jelgava	70-86
06/11/13	A	BK Liepaja	80-65
01/11/13	A	Tallinna Kalev	56-78
29/10/13	H	Rapla	70-64
26/10/13	A	Ventspils	57-78

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/13	H	Latvia U18	96-44
27/11/13	A	Jekabpils	77-67 OT
17/11/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	81-73
13/11/13	H	Jelgava	94-61
09/11/13	H	Ventspils	62-75
06/11/13	H	Valmiera/ORDO	65-80
01/11/13	A	Lietkabelis	80-81
31/10/13	A	Nevezis	75-92
26/10/13	H	Jekabpils	73-86
23/10/13	A	Barons Kvartals	67-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	75%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	75%	100%	57%
Points / game	81.6	90.2	75.4
Allowed / game	75.8	75.4	76.0
Point differential	+5.8	+14.8	-0.6
Avg total	157.3	165.6	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	80%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	17%	20%	14%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	73%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	67%	80%
Points / game	77.3	83.0	70.4
Allowed / game	68.7	69.8	67.4
Point differential	+8.5	+13.2	+3.0
Avg total	146.0	152.8	137.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	8	8	0	100%	82.1	62.5	+19.6
2	Jekabpils	12	10	2	83%	81.7	69.2	+12.4
3	Valmiera/ORDO	12	9	3	75%	81.6	75.8	+5.8
4	BK Liepaja	11	8	3	73%	77.3	68.7	+8.5
5	Jurmala	12	6	6	50%	74.4	70.5	+3.9
6	Jelgava	13	5	8	38%	77.2	77.8	-0.5
7	Barons Kvartals	13	5	8	38%	74.2	77.0	-2.8
8	Saldus	13	5	8	38%	71.5	79.2	-7.7
9	Latvijas Universitate	12	4	8	33%	79.2	78.8	+0.3
10	Turiba	12	2	10	17%	71.1	80.8	-9.8
11	Latvia U18	6	0	6	0%	55.7	99.2	-43.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	24	19	21	14	78
BK Liepaja	16	23	17	9	65

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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