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Valparaiso vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 66-61
34-34 32-27
Position#173
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#138
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Valparaiso v Drake
25 Feb 2026
VALP74
DRAK71
05 Dec 2024
VALP60
DRAK66
29 Nov 2023
VALP65
DRAK83
04 Feb 2023
VALP82
DRAK85
23 Feb 2022
VALP65
DRAK71
07 Feb 2021
VALP74
DRAK57
06 Feb 2021
VALP77
DRAK80
27 Jan 2021
VALP v DRAK
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
VALP66
DRAK61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#69
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
36-40
48-34
50-37
32-42
47-43
34-22
43-33
30-35
27-32
39-42
48-30
34-32
34-40
28-35
35-31
36-31
34-39
28-32
22-31
144.8Avg total
73.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.872.4145.2+0.442%
Season at home (4)76.566.0142.5+10.550%
Season away (8)71.075.6146.6-4.638%
Last 10 (10)73.771.1144.8+2.640%
Last 5 (5)69.870.4140.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.775.3136.0-14.70%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.071.2138.2-4.233%
vs Weaker (7)80.467.9148.3+12.686%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#194
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#303
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
47-78
47
78
-31
A15/12
NCAA
Mount Marty
#373
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#273
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
29-23
36-36
27-17
26-29
30-24
37-43
41-30
22-34
25-44
53-43
39-31
44-34
41-46
37-41
35-39
49-41
31-35
38-34
27-28
138.2Avg total
69.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.267.5136.7+1.775%
Season at home (7)72.066.1138.1+5.986%
Season away (5)65.269.4134.6-4.260%
Last 10 (10)69.768.5138.2+1.280%
Last 5 (5)78.874.4153.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.469.4134.9-4.057%
vs Similar ◀ (4)67.068.5135.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (3)81.368.3149.7+13.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
ValparaisoDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#69
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A08/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)33.734.167.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.531.867.3+3.664%-
Last 30 away (10)31.736.668.3-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.467.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.038.768.7-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.033.268.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (7)36.733.069.7+3.757%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#194
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#47
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#303
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/12
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Mount Marty
#373
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#273
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H08/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
37.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)33.933.967.8+0.035%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.633.769.2+1.944%-
Last 30 away (8)32.034.166.1-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.874.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.436.470.9-2.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)32.530.262.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (3)43.339.783.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Drake wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/20ASouthern Illinois50-63
05/01/20AEvansville81-79 OT
31/12/19HLoyola Chicago63-66
22/12/19HArkansas68-72
19/12/19AHigh Point87-72
17/12/19ACharlotte57-67
08/12/19HCentral Michigan77-55
04/12/19AEastern Michigan79-85
28/11/19HTrinity (IL)98-71
25/11/19ACincinnati77-81 OT
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/20HLoyola Chicago65-62
04/01/20HIndiana State80-76
01/01/20ABradley72-80
21/12/19AAir Force85-80
18/12/19HMount Marty92-74
15/12/19ADayton47-78
07/12/19HSoutheast Missouri State78-73
04/12/19HWisc. Milwaukee56-53
27/11/19AMurray State63-53
26/11/19ANortheastern59-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %42%50%38%
Points / game72.876.571.0
Allowed / game72.466.075.6
Point differential+0.4+10.5-4.6
Avg total145.2142.5146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Drake
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game69.272.065.2
Allowed / game67.566.169.4
Point differential+1.7+5.9-4.2
Avg total136.7138.1134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State119282%73.265.3+7.9
2 Northern Iowa97278%77.766.3+11.3
3 Drake129375%69.267.5+1.7
4 Bradley128467%71.263.4+7.8
5 Murray State117464%73.963.1+10.8
6 Southern Illinois106460%64.258.3+5.9
7 Belmont127558%78.268.8+9.4
8 Evansville126650%75.579.4-3.9
9 Valparaiso125742%72.872.4+0.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)145936%68.071.7-3.7
11 Illinois State134931%65.469.8-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso343266
Drake342761
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