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Valparaiso vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 60-66
26-35 34-31
Position#248
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.3
Valparaiso
USA
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game57.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Drake
25 Feb 2026
VALP74
DRAK71
05 Dec 2024
VALP60
DRAK66
29 Nov 2023
VALP65
DRAK83
04 Feb 2023
VALP82
DRAK85
23 Feb 2022
VALP65
DRAK71
07 Feb 2021
VALP74
DRAK57
06 Feb 2021
VALP77
DRAK80
27 Jan 2021
VALP v DRAK
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
VALP66
DRAK61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-38
33-30
44-31
31-41
22-48
39-38
32-42
31-41
63-18
48-28
31-28
36-47
39-32
38-32
35-29
46-24
41-39
46-43
29-42
41-47
146.4Avg total
74.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.470.3149.7+9.157%
Season at home (5)84.664.0148.6+20.680%
Season away (2)66.586.0152.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)74.671.8146.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)76.472.6149.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)66.677.8144.4-11.212%
vs Similar (3)76.068.7144.7+7.367%
vs Weaker (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A22/03
NCAA
York
#632
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H05/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
34-29
45-32
39-48
29-33
32-33
50-23
43-18
25-26
41-25
30-31
33-30
36-27
44-42
32-28
43-35
34-31
47-39
29-23
32-24
135.1Avg total
73.6Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.157.4131.6+16.7100%
Season at home (5)72.653.8126.4+18.8100%
Season away (2)78.066.5144.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.661.5135.1+12.190%
Last 5 (5)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)74.471.3145.7+3.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.969.7149.6+10.182%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +6.5+6.5
ValparaisoDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
63-18
63
18
+45
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
35.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.437.570.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.936.271.1-1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)31.638.970.6-7.329%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.770.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.069.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)31.838.670.3-6.828%-
vs Similar (3)34.334.368.7+0.067%-
vs Weaker (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A10/03
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A22/03
NCAA
York
#632
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H10/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H30/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
34.8Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.831.870.7+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.430.070.4+10.469%-
Last 30 away (14)37.033.970.9+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.829.264.0+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.060.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.334.673.9+4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.231.469.5+6.864%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
8
Drake wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Drake v Valparaiso81-70
30/11/23Valparaiso v Drake65-83
05/02/23Valparaiso v Drake82-85 OT
30/12/22Drake v Valparaiso68-63
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
20/02/20Drake v Valparaiso77-75 OT
11/01/20Valparaiso v Drake66-61
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ADePaul70-89
27/11/24HNorthern Illinois87-82
24/11/24HEastern Illinois81-53
22/11/24HLindenwood77-64
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75
09/11/24HConcordia111-46
04/11/24ALiberty63-83
07/03/24ABelmont61-86
03/03/24HIllinois State75-72
28/02/24ANorthern Iowa54-68
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HGeorgia Southern61-47
25/11/24AVanderbilt81-70
22/11/24AFlorida Atlantic75-63
21/11/24HMiami (FL)80-69
17/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast63-61
10/11/24HStephen F. Austin66-51
05/11/24HYork93-41
22/03/24AWashington State61-66
10/03/24AIndiana State84-80
09/03/24HBradley72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game79.484.666.5
Allowed / game70.364.086.0
Point differential+9.1+20.6-19.5
Avg total149.7148.6152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.172.678.0
Allowed / game57.453.866.5
Point differential+16.7+18.8+11.5
Avg total131.6126.4144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake770100%74.157.4+16.7
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont97278%83.376.7+6.7
4 Murray State75271%80.764.6+16.1
5 Valparaiso74357%79.470.3+9.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)95456%83.675.2+8.3
7 Indiana State95456%83.176.8+6.3
8 Northern Iowa84450%73.166.1+7.0
9 Illinois State84450%80.974.0+6.9
10 Evansville83538%69.872.2-2.5
11 Southern Illinois93633%74.875.0-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso263460
Drake353166
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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