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Valparaiso vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-71
0-0 36-37 0-0 38-34
Position#170
Record16-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game70.9
Valparaiso 🏆
USA
vs
Drake
USA
Position#271
Record12-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valparaiso v Drake
25 Feb 2026
VALP74
DRAK71
05 Dec 2024
VALP60
DRAK66
29 Nov 2023
VALP65
DRAK83
04 Feb 2023
VALP82
DRAK85
23 Feb 2022
VALP65
DRAK71
07 Feb 2021
VALP74
DRAK57
06 Feb 2021
VALP77
DRAK80
27 Jan 2021
VALP v DRAK
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
VALP66
DRAK61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
70-63 OT
70
63
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-20
0-0
30-43
0-0
38-42
0-0
39-36
0-0
27-37
0-0
39-29
0-0
33-40
0-0
32-32
0-0
28-26
0-0
30-32
0-0
38-40
0-0
43-36
0-0
34-34
0-0
30-52
0-0
49-43
0-0
27-32
0-0
35-35
0-0
44-37
0-0
31-29
0-0
40-38
145.2Avg total
72.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.670.9142.4+0.755%
Season at home (16)72.364.8137.1+7.675%
Season away (13)70.778.4149.1-7.731%
Last 10 (10)72.872.4145.2+0.470%
Last 5 (5)74.275.2149.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.971.9137.8-6.036%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.174.5147.6-1.554%
vs Weaker (6)77.760.8138.5+16.883%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-41
0-0
57-49
0-0
26-24
0-0
50-38
0-0
30-36
0-0
52-42
0-0
35-41
0-0
38-46
0-0
43-51
0-0
47-52
0-0
32-47
0-0
44-39
0-0
40-38
0-0
36-43
0-0
38-40
0-0
32-40
0-0
29-38
0-0
33-48
0-0
36-31
0-0
25-35
158.6Avg total
76.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.275.2151.4+1.041%
Season at home (18)78.073.4151.4+4.639%
Season away (11)73.378.1151.4-4.845%
Last 10 (10)76.781.9158.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)69.079.8148.8-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.581.4153.9-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.576.1149.6-2.546%
vs Weaker (5)84.464.4148.8+20.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
ValparaisoDrake
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.265.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.628.963.6+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)31.535.967.4-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.669.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.032.864.8-0.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.433.767.1-0.346%-
vs Weaker (6)34.827.762.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/02
NCAA
74.0Avg total
35.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.669.7-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.935.172.1+1.839%-
Last 30 away (12)29.836.366.1-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.774.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.873.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.939.173.0-5.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.835.967.8-4.146%-
vs Weaker (5)38.828.867.6+10.060%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
8
Drake wins
DateGameScore
10/02/26Drake v Valparaiso76-81
23/01/25Drake v Valparaiso81-71
06/12/24Valparaiso v Drake60-66
01/02/24Drake v Valparaiso81-70
30/11/23Valparaiso v Drake65-83
05/02/23Valparaiso v Drake82-85 OT
30/12/22Drake v Valparaiso68-63
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75
13/02/26AIllinois State64-86
10/02/26ADrake81-76
07/02/26HEvansville70-63 OT
04/02/26ABradley65-72
31/01/26AIndiana State76-72 OT
29/01/26HBelmont77-78
22/01/26HSouthern Illinois69-63
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HSouthern Illinois61-66
15/02/26ANorthern Iowa62-86
13/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-80
10/02/26HValparaiso76-81
07/02/26AIllinois State76-86
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%75%31%
Points / game71.672.370.7
Allowed / game70.964.878.4
Point differential+0.7+7.6-7.7
Avg total142.4137.1149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%6%15%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %41%39%45%
Points / game76.278.073.3
Allowed / game75.273.478.1
Point differential+1.0+4.6-4.8
Avg total151.4151.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)22% (9)100% (2)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3126584%83.373.1+10.2
2 Murray State30201067%83.779.3+4.4
3 Illinois State30191163%75.768.1+7.6
4 Bradley30191163%77.172.9+4.2
5 Northern Iowa30181260%69.161.4+7.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%75.769.5+6.2
7 Valparaiso29161355%71.670.9+0.7
8 Southern Illinois29141548%73.370.2+3.1
9 Drake29121741%76.275.2+1.0
10 Indiana State29101934%74.475.6-1.1
11 Evansville2962321%66.876.5-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valparaiso03603874
Drake03703471
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