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Valparaiso vs Lindenwood Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-64
39-32 38-32
Position#248
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#217
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lindenwood winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
41-48
41-38
33-44
37-45
27-38
44-36
24-44
21-38
33-30
44-31
31-41
22-48
39-38
32-42
31-41
63-18
48-28
31-28
36-47
146.5Avg total
70.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.368.0148.3+12.333%
Season at home (2)89.060.5149.5+28.550%
Season away (1)63.083.0146.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)70.476.1146.5-5.720%
Last 5 (5)75.472.4147.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)66.877.1143.8-10.314%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LindenwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A17/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
82-106
82
106
-24
H23/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H24/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A05/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
98-30
98
30
+68
H08/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A16/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
32-37
40-47
42-59
32-37
41-45
31-35
36-28
25-36
24-31
29-43
31-50
50-20
48-10
31-38
43-44
28-29
25-38
35-36
40-38
142.4Avg total
68.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.069.2141.2+2.840%
Season at home (2)86.552.0138.5+34.5100%
Season away (3)62.380.7143.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)68.873.6142.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)72.069.2141.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.277.1140.3-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (8)64.470.0134.4-5.650%
vs Weaker (4)81.560.8142.2+20.875%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
ValparaisoLindenwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
63-18
63
18
+45
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.737.470.1-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.036.070.0-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)31.338.970.2-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.272.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)31.638.169.7-6.528%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LindenwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A17/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H08/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.965.9-3.817%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.333.867.1-0.527%-
Last 30 away (15)28.835.964.7-7.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.668.2-3.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.267.8+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.436.966.4-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)29.132.461.5-3.225%-
vs Weaker (4)40.032.072.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Lindenwood wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75
09/11/24HConcordia111-46
04/11/24ALiberty63-83
07/03/24ABelmont61-86
03/03/24HIllinois State75-72
28/02/24ANorthern Iowa54-68
24/02/24AMurray State68-80
22/02/24HIndiana State64-83
17/02/24AMissouri State74-82
15/02/24HNorthern Iowa67-86
Lindenwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HStonehill75-74
16/11/24ARobert Morris53-67
14/11/24ANew Orleans74-82
08/11/24HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy98-30
05/11/24AOklahoma60-93
02/03/24AMorehead State49-67
01/03/24ASouthern Indiana67-63
24/02/24HUALR73-82
23/02/24HUT Martin82-106
17/02/24AEastern Illinois57-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game80.389.063.0
Allowed / game68.060.583.0
Point differential+12.3+28.5-20.0
Avg total148.3149.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lindenwood
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game72.086.562.3
Allowed / game69.252.080.7
Point differential+2.8+34.5-18.3
Avg total141.2138.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake440100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Bradley54180%81.070.2+10.8
3 Belmont54180%83.275.2+8.0
4 Murray State43175%87.062.0+25.0
5 Illinois State43175%83.565.5+18.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)53260%90.872.6+18.2
7 Northern Iowa53260%79.667.4+12.2
8 Southern Illinois42250%78.270.8+7.5
9 Indiana State42250%80.876.5+4.2
10 Valparaiso31233%80.368.0+12.3
11 Evansville51420%66.676.2-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR53260%73.269.4+3.8
2 Siu Edwardsville74357%71.969.1+2.7
3 Tennessee State63350%86.071.0+15.0
4 UT Martin42250%78.069.2+8.8
5 Tennessee Tech63350%73.777.3-3.7
6 Southeast Missouri State52340%77.674.2+3.4
7 Lindenwood52340%72.069.2+2.8
8 Morehead State52340%63.071.6-8.6
9 Western Illinois52340%63.072.4-9.4
10 Southern Indiana51420%71.078.8-7.8
11 Eastern Illinois51420%69.281.6-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso393877
Lindenwood323264
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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